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What Drives Enrolment Gaps in Further Education? The Role of Beliefs in Sequential Schooling Decisions

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  • Chris Belfield
  • Teodora Boneva
  • Christopher Rauh
  • Jonathan Shaw
Abstract
We study students’ motives to obtain sixth form and university education in a sample of 885 secondary school students in the UK. At each educational stage, perceptions about the consumption value of education explain a substantial share of the variation in students’ intentions to obtain further education, while beliefs about the monetary benefits and costs are not found to play an important role. Beliefs about the consumption value of university predict not only students’ intentions to go to university but also their intentions to go to sixth form, highlighting the importance of dynamic considerations in the choice. We further document that students’ beliefs about the consumption value of further schooling strongly predict students’ perceptions about how likely it is that they will obtain the necessary grades to proceed to the next educational stage. Differences in the perceived consumption value across gender and socioeconomic groups can account for a sizeable proportion of the gender and socioeconomic gaps in students’ intentions to pursue further education as well as in their perceptions about their own performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Chris Belfield & Teodora Boneva & Christopher Rauh & Jonathan Shaw, 2020. "What Drives Enrolment Gaps in Further Education? The Role of Beliefs in Sequential Schooling Decisions," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 87(346), pages 490-529, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:econom:v:87:y:2020:i:346:p:490-529
    DOI: 10.1111/ecca.12307
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    Cited by:

    1. Hassani-Nezhad, Lena & Anderberg, Dan & Chevalier, Arnaud & Lührmann, Melanie & Pavan, Ronni, 2021. "Higher education financing and the educational aspirations of teenagers and their parents," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    2. Grewenig, Elisabeth & Lergetporer, Philipp & Werner, Katharina & Woessmann, Ludger, 2022. "Incentives, search engines, and the elicitation of subjective beliefs: Evidence from representative online survey experiments," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(1), pages 304-326.
    3. Leibing, Andreas & Peter, Frauke & Waights, Sevrin & Spiess, C. Katharina, 2023. "Gender gaps in early wage expectations," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    4. Boneva, Teodora & Golin, Marta & Kaufmann, Katja Maria & Rauh, Christopher, 2022. "Beliefs about Maternal Labor Supply," IZA Discussion Papers 15788, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Jan Berkes & Frauke Peter & C. Katharina Spiess & Felix Weinhardt, 2022. "Information Provision and Postgraduate Studies," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 89(355), pages 627-646, July.
    6. Aucejo, Esteban M. & French, Jacob & Zafar, Basit, 2023. "Estimating students’ valuation for college experiences," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    7. Pamela Giustinelli, 2022. "Expectations in Education: Framework, Elicitation, and Evidence," Working Papers 2022-026, Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Working Group.
    8. Boneva, Teodora & Kaufmann, Katja Maria & Rauh, Christopher, 2021. "Maternal Labor Supply: Perceived Returns, Constraints, and Social Norms," IZA Discussion Papers 14348, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    9. Burdea, Valeria & Woon, Jonathan, 2022. "Online belief elicitation methods," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    10. Loviglio, Annalisa, 2023. "School Quality beyond Test Scores: The Role of Schools in Shaping Educational Outcomes," IZA Discussion Papers 16111, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

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