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A note on observational equivalence of micro assumptions on macro level

Author

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  • Ponomarenko, Alexey
Abstract
The author set up a simplistic agent-based model where agents learn with reinforcement observing an incomplete set of variables. The model is employed to generate an artificial dataset that is used to estimate standard macro econometric models. The author shows that the results are qualitatively indistinguishable (in terms of the signs and significances of the coefficients and impulse-responses) from the results obtained with a dataset that emerges in a genuinely rational system.

Suggested Citation

  • Ponomarenko, Alexey, 2020. "A note on observational equivalence of micro assumptions on macro level," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 14, pages 1-15.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifweej:20203
    DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2020-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Thomas J. Sargent, 1973. "Rational Expectations, the Real Rate of Interest, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 4(2), pages 429-480.
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    5. Stephan Schuster, 2012. "BRA: An Algorithm for Simulating Bounded Rational Agents," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 39(1), pages 51-69, January.
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    8. Andolfatto, David & Hendry, Scott & Moran, Kevin, 2008. "Are inflation expectations rational?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(2), pages 406-422, March.
    9. Ilek, Alex, 2017. "A Note On The Rationality Test," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(8), pages 2121-2137, December.
    10. Gode, Dhananjay K & Sunder, Shyam, 1993. "Allocative Efficiency of Markets with Zero-Intelligence Traders: Market as a Partial Substitute for Individual Rationality," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 101(1), pages 119-137, February.
    11. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1972. "Expectations and the neutrality of money," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 4(2), pages 103-124, April.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    microfoundations; bounded rationality; reinforcement learning; agent- based model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness

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