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Strategic Interactions and Portfolio Choice in Money Management: Theory and Evidence

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  • ALVARO PEDRAZA
Abstract
I study portfolio choice of strategic fund managers in the presence of a peer‐based underperformance penalty. While the penalty generates herding behavior, correlated trading among managers is exacerbated when a strategic setting is considered. The equilibrium portfolios are driven by the least restricted manager, who may vary according to the realization of returns. I compare model predictions to evidence from the Colombian pension fund management industry, where six asset managers are in charge of portfolio allocation for the mandatory contributions of the working population. These managers are subject to a peer‐based underperformance penalty, which is known as the minimum return guarantee (MRG). I study trading behavior by managers before and after a change in the strictness of the MRG in June 2007. The evidence suggests that a tighter MRG results in more trading in the direction of peers, a behavior that is more pronounced for underperforming managers. I show that these findings are consistent with the qualitative and quantitative predictions of the theoretical model.

Suggested Citation

  • Alvaro Pedraza, 2015. "Strategic Interactions and Portfolio Choice in Money Management: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(8), pages 1531-1569, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jmoncb:v:47:y:2015:i:8:p:1531-1569
    DOI: 10.1111/jmcb.12283
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Maria Cristina Arcuri & Gino Gandolfi & Fabrizio Laurini, 2023. "Robust portfolio optimization for banking foundations: a CVaR approach for asset allocation with mandatory constraints," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 31(2), pages 557-581, June.
    2. Leano,Miguel & Pedraza Morales,Alvaro Enrique, 2016. "Informed trading in business groups, ownership concentration, and market liquidity," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7688, The World Bank.
    3. Pedraza, Alvaro & Pulga, Fredy & Vasquez, Jose, 2020. "Costly index investing in foreign markets," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    4. Pedraza, Alvaro & Pulga, Fredy, 2019. "Asset price effects of peer benchmarking: Evidence from a natural experiment," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 53-65.
    5. Jana Bielagk & Arnaud Lionnet & Goncalo Dos Reis, 2015. "Equilibrium pricing under relative performance concerns," Papers 1511.04218, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2017.
    6. Agudelo, Diego A. & Byder, James & Yepes-Henao, Paula, 2019. "Performance and informed trading. Comparing foreigners, institutions and individuals in an emerging stock market," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 187-203.
    7. Hasan, Iftekhar & Tunaru, Radu & Vioto, Davide, 2023. "Herding behavior and systemic risk in global stock markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 107-133.
    8. Fernando Avalos & Ramon Moreno & Tania Romero, 2015. "Leverage on the buy side," BIS Working Papers 517, Bank for International Settlements.
    9. Jana Bielagk & Arnaud Lionnet & Gonçalo dos Reis, 2015. "Equilibrium pricing under relative performance concerns," Working Papers hal-01245812, HAL.

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