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Trading volume reactions to a change in dividend policy: the Canadian evidence

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  • GORDON RICHARDSON
  • STEPHAN E. SEFCIK
  • REX THOMPSON
Abstract
. This study examines the volume of trading in the stock of 34 Canadian companies that initiated a policy of regular cash dividends during the period 1972–1982. Using a time†series methodology linked to changes in Canadian tax legislation, we test whether the volume of trading surrounding first†time dividend adoptions declined after 1978, a year when tax legislation changed the taxation of dividends toward tax neutrality for investors in high tax brackets. We observe a significant trading volume decline after 1978, which we interpret as implying that fewer investors wanted to dispose of initial dividend stocks after 1978. The result is inconsistent with dividend irrelevance theories and possibly points to tax clientele relevance in Canada. Résumé. Les auteurs examinent le volume de titres négociés pour 34 sociétés canadiennes ayant mis en place une politique de versement périodique de dividendes en espèces durant la période 1972–1982. À l'aide d'une méthodologie de séries chronologiques liée aux changements apportés à la législation fiscale canadienne, les auteurs vérifient si le volume des titres négociés dans le contexte de l'adoption initiale de cette politique de dividendes a décliné après 1978, année au cours de laquelle le fisc a modifié l'imposition des dividendes pour pencher vers la neutralité fiscale pour les investisseurs appartenant aux tranches d'impôt élevées. Ils observent un déclin appréciable du volume de titres négociés après 1978, déclin qui suppose, selon eux, qu'un moins grand nombre d'investisseurs ont voulu se défaire de telles actions après 1978. Ce résultat s'oppose aux théories de la non†pertinence du dividende et pourrait indiquer la pertinence de la «clientèle fiscale» au Canada.

Suggested Citation

  • Gordon Richardson & Stephan E. Sefcik & Rex Thompson, 1988. "Trading volume reactions to a change in dividend policy: the Canadian evidence," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(1), pages 299-317, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:coacre:v:5:y:1988:i:1:p:299-317
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1911-3846.1988.tb00707.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Modigliani, Franco, 1982. "Debt, Dividend Policy, Taxes, Inflation and Market Valuation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 37(2), pages 255-273, May.
    2. Miller, Merton H. & Scholes, Myron S., 1978. "Dividends and taxes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 6(4), pages 333-364, December.
    3. Malatesta, Paul H. & Thompson, Rex, 1985. "Partially anticipated events: A model of stock price reactions with an application to corporate acquisitions," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(2), pages 237-250, June.
    4. Merton H. Miller & Franco Modigliani, 1961. "Dividend Policy, Growth, and the Valuation of Shares," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 34, pages 411-411.
    5. Elton, Edwin J & Gruber, Martin J, 1970. "Marginal Stockholder Tax Rates and the Clientele Effect," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 52(1), pages 68-74, February.
    6. Booth, Laurence D & Johnston, David J, 1984. "The Ex-Dividend Day Behavior of Canadian Stock Prices: Tax Changes and Clientele Effects," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 39(2), pages 457-476, June.
    7. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron, 1974. "The effects of dividend yield and dividend policy on common stock prices and returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 1-22, May.
    8. Richardson, Gordon & Sefcik, Stephan E. & Thompson, Rex, 1986. "A test of dividend irrelevance using volume reactions to a change in dividend policy," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 313-333, December.
    9. Lakonishok, Josef & Vermaelen, Theo, 1983. "Tax Reform and Ex-Dividend Day Behavior," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 38(4), pages 1157-1179, September.
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