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South Africa Exports of Metal and Articles of Base Metal: A Gravity Model Approach

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Abstract
Using a gravity model, this study estimates trade potential of the metals and articles of base metal sector (SIC 72-83) for the period 1995 to 2004 between South Africa and 33 countries. The analysis shows that importer's GDP, exporter's GDP, exporter's population, membership of SADC and being part of Africa are associated with an increase in exports of metal products. Distance is associated with a decrease in metal exports. Importer's population does not have a significant impact on exports of metal and articles of base metal products. The study finds that that among others, Canada, Hong Kong, India, Mozambique, Republic of Korea, United Kingdom and Zimbabwe, have the biggest unexploited trade potential. It is important for trade analysts and policy makers to ensure that South Africa's trade potential is fully exploited to enhance economic growth.

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  • J H Eita & A C Jordaan, 2007. "South Africa Exports of Metal and Articles of Base Metal: A Gravity Model Approach," Studies in Economics and Econometrics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 81-96, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:rseexx:v:31:y:2007:i:3:p:81-96
    DOI: 10.1080/10800379.2007.12106437
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    Cited by:

    1. Makochekanwa, Albert, 2012. "Impacts of Regional Trade Agreements on Trade in Agrifood Products: Evidence from Eastern and Southern Africa," Conference papers 332242, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    2. Gilroy B. Michael & Lukas Elmar & Heimann Christian, 2013. "Technologiestandort Deutschland und internationale Wissensspillover / Technology Site Germany and International Knowledge Spillovers: Welchen Einfluss nehmen ausländische MNU auf deutsche Exporte? / W," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), De Gruyter, vol. 233(5-6), pages 575-599, October.
    3. B. Michael Gilroy & Elmar Lukas & Christian Heimann, 2010. "Welchen Einfluss hat die Anwesenheit von ausländischen und multinationalen Unternehmungen auf die deutschen Exporte?," Working Papers CIE 31, Paderborn University, CIE Center for International Economics.

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