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Investor herds and oil prices evidence in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) equity markets

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  • Talat Ulussever
  • Riza Demirer
Abstract
This paper scrutinizes the effect of crude oil prices on herd behavior among investors in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets. Using firm level data from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait, Bahrain, Dubai and Abu Dhabi stock exchanges, we examine equity return dispersions within industry portfolios and test whether investor herds exist in these markets. We then assess whether crude oil price movements have any effect on the investment behavior of traders in the aforementioned markets. Our findings reveal significant evidence supporting herd behavior in all GCC equity markets with the exception of Oman and Qatar, more consistently during periods of market losses. Furthermore, we find significant oil price effects on herd behavior in these markets, particularly during periods of extreme positive changes in the price of oil. Our findings suggest that investors’ tendency to act as a herd in the said markets is significantly affected by the developments in the oil market.

Suggested Citation

  • Talat Ulussever & Riza Demirer, 2017. "Investor herds and oil prices evidence in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) equity markets," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 17(3), pages 1-77–89.
    • Handle: RePEc:tcb:cebare:v:17:y:2017:i:3:p:77-89
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Imed Medhioub & Mustapha Chaffai, 2021. "Herding behaviour theory and oil price dispersion: a sectoral analysis of the Gulf Cooperation Council stock market," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 22(1), pages 43-50, February.
    6. Imed Medhioub & Mustapha Chaffai, 2019. "Islamic Finance and Herding Behavior Theory: A Sectoral Analysis for Gulf Islamic Stock Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-11, November.
    7. Hamdi, Besma & Aloui, Mouna & Alqahtani, Faisal & Tiwari, Aviral, 2019. "Relationship between the oil price volatility and sectoral stock markets in oil-exporting economies: Evidence from wavelet nonlinear denoised based quantile and Granger-causality analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 536-552.
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    13. Youssef, Mouna & Mokni, Khaled, 2018. "On the effect of herding behavior on dependence structure between stock markets: Evidence from GCC countries," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 52-63.
    14. Felix Chukwubuzo Alio & Victor O. Okolo & Obiamaka P. Egbo & Hillary Chijindu Ezeaku, 2019. "Energy Prices and the Nigerian Stock Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(6), pages 33-37.
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    16. Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael & Wang, Yu-Ann, 2020. "Herding behaviour in energy stock markets during the Global Financial Crisis, SARS, and ongoing COVID-19," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Investor herds; Equity return dispersion; GCC stock markets; Crude oil;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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