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From financial to real economic crisis. Evidence from individual firm-bank relationships in Germany

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  • Dwenger, Nadja
  • Fossen, Frank
  • Simmler, Martin
Abstract
What began as a financial crisis in the U.S. in 2007/8 quickly became a massive crisis of the global real economy. We investigate the importance of the bank lending and firm borrowing channel in the international transmission of bank distress to the real economy, in particular to firm investment. We exploit a unique data set for Germany which contains financial statements at the level of the firm for the period 2004 2010 together with the financial statements of each firm s relationship bank(s). The data include small and medium sized firms. Using instrumental variable estimations in first differences to eliminate firm- and bank-specific effects, we find that banks which were affected at the onset of the financial crisis due to proprietary trading activities cut back lending more strongly relative to non-affected banks. Firms whose relationship banks reduce lending downsize real investment significantly. The effect tends to be larger for smaller and younger firms as well as for firms unable to provide much collateral. We also document that some of the firms partially offset reduced credit supply by using up internal funds, by issuing new equity, and by establishing new bank relationships.

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  • Dwenger, Nadja & Fossen, Frank & Simmler, Martin, 2015. "From financial to real economic crisis. Evidence from individual firm-bank relationships in Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113000, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:vfsc15:113000
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    2. Bucă, Andra & Vermeulen, Philip, 2017. "Corporate investment and bank-dependent borrowers during the recent financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 164-180.
    3. Erika Urbankova & David Krizek, 2020. "Homogeneity of Determinants in the Financial Sector and Investment in EU Countries," Economies, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-17, February.
    4. Kilian Huber, 2015. "The Persistence of a Banking Crisis," Discussion Papers 1532, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    5. João Amador & Arne J. Nagengast, 2015. "The Effect of Bank Shocks on Firm-Level and Aggregate Investment," Working Papers w201515, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    6. Kilian Huber, 2018. "Disentangling the Effects of a Banking Crisis: Evidence from German Firms and Counties," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 108(3), pages 868-898, March.

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    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • D92 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Intertemporal Firm Choice, Investment, Capacity, and Financing
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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