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Modeling default dependence with threshold models

Author

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  • Overbeck, Ludger
  • Schmidt, Wolfgang M.
Abstract
We investigate the problem of modeling defaults of dependent credits. In the framework of the class of structural default models we study threshold models where for each credit the underling ability-to-pay process is a transformation of a Wiener processes. We propose a model for dependent defaults based on correlated Wiener processes whose time scales are suitably transformed in order to calibrate the model to given marginal default distributions for each underlying credit. At the same time the model allows for a straightforward analytic calibration to dependency information in the form of joint default probabilities.

Suggested Citation

  • Overbeck, Ludger & Schmidt, Wolfgang M., 2003. "Modeling default dependence with threshold models," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 41, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:fsfmwp:41
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Egami, Masahiko & Esteghamat, Kian, 2006. "An approximation method for analysis and valuation of credit correlation derivatives," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 341-364, February.
    4. Boeing, Philipp & Mueller, Elisabeth & Sandner, Philipp, 2012. "What makes Chinese firms productive? Learning from indigenous and foreign sources of knowledge," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 196, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    5. Polleit, Thorsten, 2004. "The slowdown in German bank lending - revisited," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 53, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    6. Boenkost, Wolfram & Schmidt, Wolfgang M., 2003. "Notes on convexity and quanto adjustments for interest rates and related options," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 47, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    7. Kostka, Genia & Moslener, Ulf & Andreas, Jan G., 2011. "Barriers to energy efficiency improvement: Empirical evidence from small-and-medium sized enterprises in China," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 178, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    8. Alexander Libman & Vladimir Kozlov & André Schultz, 2012. "Roving Bandits in Action: Outside Option and Governmental Predation in Autocracies," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(4), pages 526-562, November.
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    10. Böing, Philipp & Müller, Elisabeth, 2012. "Technological Capabilities of Chinese Enterprises: Who is Going to Compete Abroad?," VfS Annual Conference 2012 (Goettingen): New Approaches and Challenges for the Labor Market of the 21st Century 62081, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit default; credit derivative; default dependence; structural form models; threshold model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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