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Robust small area estimation under spatial non-stationarity

Author

Listed:
  • Baldermann, Claudia
  • Salvati, Nicola
  • Schmid, Timo
Abstract
Geographically weighted small area methods have been studied in literature for small area estimation. Although these approaches are useful for the estimation of small area means efficiently under strict parametric assumptions, they can be very sensitive to outliers in the data. In this paper, we propose a robust extension of the geographically weighted empirical best linear unbiased predictor (GWEBLUP). In particular, we introduce robust projective and predictive small area estimators under spatial non-stationarity. Mean squared error estimation is performed by two different analytic approaches that account for the spatial structure in the data. The results from the model-based simulations indicate that the proposed approach may lead to gains in terms of efficiency. Finally, the methodology is demonstrated in an illustrative application for estimating the average total cash costs for farms in Australia.

Suggested Citation

  • Baldermann, Claudia & Salvati, Nicola & Schmid, Timo, 2016. "Robust small area estimation under spatial non-stationarity," Discussion Papers 2016/5, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:fubsbe:20165
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. N. Salvati & N. Tzavidis & M. Pratesi & R. Chambers, 2012. "Small area estimation via M-quantile geographically weighted regression," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 21(1), pages 1-28, March.
    3. Bönke, Timm & Kemptner, Daniel & Lüthen, Holger, 2018. "Effectiveness of early retirement disincentives: Individual welfare, distributional and fiscal implications," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 25-37.
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    5. Ray Chambers & Nikos Tzavidis, 2006. "M-quantile models for small area estimation," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 93(2), pages 255-268, June.
    6. Monica Pratesi & Nicola Salvati, 2008. "Small area estimation: the EBLUP estimator based on spatially correlated random area effects," Statistical Methods & Applications, Springer;Società Italiana di Statistica, vol. 17(1), pages 113-141, February.
    7. Ray Chambers & Hukum Chandra & Nicola Salvati & Nikos Tzavidis, 2014. "Outlier robust small area estimation," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 76(1), pages 47-69, January.
    8. J. D. Opsomer & G. Claeskens & M. G. Ranalli & G. Kauermann & F. J. Breidt, 2008. "Non‐parametric small area estimation using penalized spline regression," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 70(1), pages 265-286, February.
    9. Chandra, Hukum & Salvati, Nicola & Chambers, Ray & Tzavidis, Nikos, 2012. "Small area estimation under spatial nonstationarity," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(10), pages 2875-2888.
    10. V. Dongmo Jiongo & D. Haziza & P. Duchesne, 2013. "Controlling the bias of robust small-area estimators," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 100(4), pages 843-858.
    11. Jiming Jiang & P. Lahiri, 2006. "Mixed model prediction and small area estimation," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 15(1), pages 1-96, June.
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    13. Ray Chambers & Nicola Salvati & Nikos Tzavidis, 2016. "Semiparametric small area estimation for binary outcomes with application to unemployment estimation for local authorities in the UK," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 179(2), pages 453-479, February.
    14. Timo Schmid & Ralf Münnich, 2014. "Spatial robust small area estimation," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 653-670, August.
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    Cited by:

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bias correction; geographical weighted regression; mean squared error; model-based simulation; spatial statistics;
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