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Detecting Technological Catch-Up In Economic Convergence

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  • Pigliaru, Francesco
Abstract
Our aim is to address the problem of measuring how much of the convergence that we observe is due to convergence in technology versus convergence in capital-labour ratios, in the absence of data on the level of technology. To this aim, we first develop a growth model where technology accumulation in lagging economies depends on their propensity to innovate and on technological spillovers, and convergence is due both to capital deepening and to catch-up. We study the transitional dynamics of the model to show how to discriminate empirically among the following three hypotheses - (i) convergence due to capital deepening with technology levels uniform across economies, as in Mankiw, Romer and Weil (1992); (ii) convergence due to capital deepening with stationary differences in individual technologies, as in Islam (1995); (iii) convergence due to both catch-up and capital deepening (non-stationary differences in individual technologies. We show that, in the absence of TFP data, hypotheses (ii) and (iii) may be difficult to distinguish in cross-section or panel data. We suggest that discrimination can be nevertheless obtained by exploiting the fact that if heterogeneity is the source of catch-up, technology growth is not uniform across countries and the initial differences in technology levels may tend to decrease over time. Given this implication, one way to discriminate between (ii) and (iii) would be to test whether estimates of fixed-effects in sub-periods show the pattern implied by either hypothesis.
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Suggested Citation

  • Pigliaru, Francesco, 2000. "Detecting Technological Catch-Up In Economic Convergence," ERSA conference papers ersa00p21, European Regional Science Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:wiw:wiwrsa:ersa00p21
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    18. Raffaele Paci & Francesco Pigliaru, 2002. "Technological Diffusion, Spatial Spillovers and Regional Convergence in Europe," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Juan R. Cuadrado-Roura & Martí Parellada (ed.), Regional Convergence in the European Union, chapter 12, pages 273-292, Springer.
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    Cited by:

    1. M. Musumeci, 2000. "Innovazione tecnologica e beni culturali. Uno studio sulla situazione della Sicilia," Working Paper CRENoS 200008, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    2. Adriana Di Liberto & Francesco Pigliaru & Roberto Mura, 2008. "How to measure the unobservable: a panel technique for the analysis of TFP convergence," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 60(2), pages 343-368, April.
    3. Hartwig, Jochen, 2012. "Testing the growth effects of structural change," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 11-24.
    4. Alexoaei Alina Petronela & Robu Raluca Georgiana, 2018. "A theoretical review on the structural convergence issue and the relation to economic development in integration areas," Proceedings of the International Conference on Business Excellence, Sciendo, vol. 12(1), pages 34-44, May.
    5. Perez-Trujillo, Manuel & Lacalle-Calderon, Maricruz, 2020. "The impact of knowledge diffusion on economic growth across countries," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    6. R. Naylor, 2001. "Firm profits and the number of firms under unionised oligopoly," Working Paper CRENoS 200109, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    7. C. Antonelli & R. Marchionatti & S. Usai, 2000. "Productivity and External Knowledge: The Italian Case," Working Paper CRENoS 200009, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    8. Alexiadis Stilianos & Christos Ap. LADIAS, 2011. "Optimal Allocation Of Investment And Regional Disparities," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 45-59, December.
    9. Alexiadis, Stilianos & Tomkins, Judith, 2010. "Technology adoption and club convergence," MPRA Paper 21260, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. LR. Keller & E. Strazzera, 2000. "Examining predictive models among discounting models," Working Paper CRENoS 200005, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    11. Palan, Nicole & Schmiedeberg, Claudia, 2010. "Structural convergence of European countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 21(2), pages 85-100, May.
    12. Silvia Dal Bianco, 2010. "Technology Diffusion or Capital Accumulation? An Empirical Assessment of Convergence in Manufacturing," Quaderni di Dipartimento 114, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
    13. Raffaele Paci & Francesco Pigliaru, 2002. "Technological Diffusion, Spatial Spillovers and Regional Convergence in Europe," Advances in Spatial Science, in: Juan R. Cuadrado-Roura & Martí Parellada (ed.), Regional Convergence in the European Union, chapter 12, pages 273-292, Springer.
    14. repec:hrs:journl:v:3:y:2011:i:2:p:45-59 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. R. Naylor, 2001. "Industry profits and market size under bilateral oligopoly," Working Paper CRENoS 200108, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
    16. R. Carcangiu & G. Sistu & S. Usai, 1999. "Struttura socio-economica dei comuni della Sardegna. Suggerimenti da un'analisi cluster," Working Paper CRENoS 199903, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.

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