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The Market Microstructure of the European Climate Exchange

Author

Listed:
  • Bruce Mizrach

    (Rutgers University)

  • Yoichi Otsubo

    (Rutgers University)

Abstract
This paper analyzes the market microstructure of the European Climate Exchange, the largest EU ETS trading venue. The ECX captures 2/3 of the screen traded market in EUA and more than 90% in CER. Trading volumes are active, with EUA volume doubling in 2009. Spreads range from €0.02 to €0.06 for EUA futures and from €0.07 to €0.18 for CER. Market impact estimates imply that an average trade will move the EUA market by €0.0108 and the CER market €0.0429. Both Granger-Gonzalo and Hasbrouck information shares imply that approximately 90% of price discovery is taking place in the ECX futures market. We find imbalances in the order book help predict returns for up to three days. A simple trading strategy that enters the market long or short when the order imbalance is strong is profitable even after accounting for spreads and market impact.

Suggested Citation

  • Bruce Mizrach & Yoichi Otsubo, 2010. "The Market Microstructure of the European Climate Exchange," Departmental Working Papers 201005, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:rut:rutres:201005
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    carbon trading; market microstructure; bid-ask spread; market impact; information shares;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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