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Debt and Financial Fragility: Italian Non-Financial Companies after the Pandemic

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Abstract
This paper analyses the evolution of debt of Italian firms from 2010 to 2020 with special focus on the first year of the Covid-19 pandemic. By means of quantile regressions, our approach investigates several heterogeneities to assess the vulnerabilities of the most fragile firms. We find that, on average, Italian non-financial companies (NFCs) reduced their indebtedness over the sample period, a trend which did not get interrupted during the first year of the pandemic. By exploiting the high heterogeneity in the data, however, we find that the turmoil affected the most indebted firms and the trend of declining indebtedness for these firms was reversed. Moreover, sectors that were suspended ex lege during the first lockdown: i) already had the highest levels of the debt-to-assets ratios over our sample period, and ii) experienced the steepest increase in debt in 2020 relative to the previous year. Finally, our results show that highly indebted firms exhibit a qualitative different behaviour compared to the rest of the sample and that excessively piling up debt severely increases the likelihood of exiting the market.

Suggested Citation

  • Bassam Fattouh & Beniamino Pisicoli & Pasquale Scaramozzino, 2023. "Debt and Financial Fragility: Italian Non-Financial Companies after the Pandemic," CEIS Research Paper 551, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 08 Feb 2023.
    • Handle: RePEc:rtv:ceisrp:551
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    leverage; corporate debt; debt ratio; quantile regression;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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