Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of Output Gap and Real Exchange Rate Cycles for Turkey
Author
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Mehmet Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel, 2013.
"End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions : An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey,"
Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 13(3), pages 61-71.
- M. Fatih Ekinci & Gazi Kabas & Enes Sunel, 2013. "End-Point Bias in Trend-Cycle Decompositions : An Application to the Real Exchange Rates of Turkey," Working Papers 1316, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Günes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2018.
"Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 100(3), pages 550-566, July.
- Güneş Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2016. "Intuitive and reliable estimates of the output gap from a Beveridge-Nelson filter," BIS Working Papers 584, Bank for International Settlements.
- Güneş Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2017. "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2017/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Gunes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2017. "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," Discussion Papers 2016-09A, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- Gunes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2017. "Intuitive and reliable estimates of the output gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," CAMA Working Papers 2017-03, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Gunes Kamber & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2016. "Intuitive and Reliable Estimates of the Output Gap from a Beveridge-Nelson Filter," Discussion Papers 2016-09, School of Economics, The University of New South Wales.
- F. OğunC & D. Ece, 2004. "Estimating the output gap for Turkey: an unobserved components approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 177-182.
- Beveridge, Stephen & Nelson, Charles R., 1981. "A new approach to decomposition of economic time series into permanent and transitory components with particular attention to measurement of the `business cycle'," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 151-174.
- Morley, James C., 2002. "A state-space approach to calculating the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 75(1), pages 123-127, March.
- Harun Alp & Fethi Ogunc & Cagri Sarikaya, 2012. "Monetary Policy and Output Gap : Mind the Composition," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1207, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2022.
"A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Financial factors and the business cycle," CAMA Working Papers 2020-44, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2021. "A Unified Approach for Jointly Estimating the Business and Financial Cycle, and the Role of Financial Factors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 415, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Morley, James & Rodríguez-Palenzuela, Diego & Sun, Yiqiao & Wong, Benjamin, 2023.
"Estimating the euro area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
- Morley, James & Palenzuela, Diego Rodriguez & Sun, Yiqiao & Wong, Benjamin, 2022. "Estimating the Euro Area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic," Working Paper Series 2716, European Central Bank.
- Biolsi, Christopher, 2021. "Labor productivity forecasts based on a Beveridge–Nelson filter: Is there statistical evidence for a slowdown?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
- Berger, Tino & Morley, James & Wong, Benjamin, 2023.
"Nowcasting the output gap,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 18-34.
- Tino Berger & James Morley & Benjamin Wong, 2020. "Nowcasting the output gap," CAMA Working Papers 2020-78, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Kamber, Güneş & Wong, Benjamin, 2020.
"Global factors and trend inflation,"
Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
- Güneş Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Global factors and trend inflation," BIS Working Papers 688, Bank for International Settlements.
- Gunes Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2019. "Global factors and trend inflation," CAMA Working Papers 2019-62, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Güneş Kamber & Benjamin Wong, 2018. "Global Factors and Trend Inflation," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2018/01, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
- Murasawa Yasutomo, 2022.
"Bayesian multivariate Beveridge–Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration,"
Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 26(3), pages 387-415, June.
- Murasawa, Yasutomo, 2019. "Bayesian multivariate Beveridge--Nelson decomposition of I(1) and I(2) series with cointegration," MPRA Paper 91979, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Tino Berger & Lorenzo Pozzi, 2023. "Cyclical consumption," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 23-064/VI, Tinbergen Institute.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2022.
"A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 415, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
- Berger, Tino & Richter, Julia & Wong, Benjamin, 2021. "A unified approach for jointly estimating the business and financial cycle, and the role of financial factors," Working Papers 02/2021, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.
- Tino Berger & Julia Richter & Benjamin Wong, 2021. "A Unified Approach for Jointly Estimating the Business and Financial Cycle, and the Role of Financial Factors," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 4/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2022.
"Why Has the U.S. Economy Stagnated since the Great Recession?,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(2), pages 246-258, May.
- Eo, Yunjong & Morley, James, 2017. "Why has the US economy stagnated since the Great Recession?," Working Papers 2017-14, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Jun 2019.
- Yunjong Eo & James Morley, 2020. "Why has the U.S. economy stagnated since the Great Recession?," Discussion Paper Series 2001, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
- Kim, Chang-Jin, 2008. "Markov-switching and the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition: Has US output persistence changed since 1984?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 146(2), pages 227-240, October.
- de Silva, Ashton & Hyndman, Rob J. & Snyder, Ralph, 2009.
"A multivariate innovations state space Beveridge-Nelson decomposition,"
Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(5), pages 1067-1074, September.
- de Silva, Ashton, 2007. "A multivariate innovations state space Beveridge Nelson decomposition," MPRA Paper 5431, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Perron, Pierre & Wada, Tatsuma, 2009.
"Let's take a break: Trends and cycles in US real GDP,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 749-765, September.
- Pierre Perron & Tatsuma Wada, 2005. "Let’s Take a Break: Trends and Cycles in US Real GDP," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series wp2009-006, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Feb 2009.
- Pierre Perron† & Tatsuma Wada, 2005. "Let’s Take a Break: Trends and Cycles in US Real GDP?," Boston University - Department of Economics - Working Papers Series WP2005-031, Boston University - Department of Economics, revised Oct 2005.
- Josefine Quast & Maik H. Wolters, 2022.
"Reliable Real-Time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(1), pages 152-168, January.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter," VfS Annual Conference 2019 (Leipzig): 30 Years after the Fall of the Berlin Wall - Democracy and Market Economy 203535, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2019. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," IMFS Working Paper Series 133, Goethe University Frankfurt, Institute for Monetary and Financial Stability (IMFS).
- Quast, Josefine & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Reliable real-time output gap estimates based on a modified Hamilton filter," Kiel Working Papers 2158, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Fernandes, Mário Correia & Dutra, Tiago Mota & Dias, José Carlos & Teixeira, João C.A., 2023. "Modelling output gaps in the Euro Area with structural breaks: The COVID-19 recession," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 1046-1058.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2016.
"The Multistep Beveridge--Nelson Decomposition,"
Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(3), pages 373-395, March.
- Proietti, Tommaso, 2009. "The Multistep Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition," MPRA Paper 15345, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Proietti, Tommaso, 2011. "The Multistep Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition," Working Papers 09/2011, University of Sydney Business School, Discipline of Business Analytics.
- Tommaso Proietti, 2009. "The Multistep Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition," EERI Research Paper Series EERI_RP_2009_24, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
- Panovska, Irina & Ramamurthy, Srikanth, 2022. "Decomposing the output gap with inflation learning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
- Yasutomo Murasawa, 2014. "Measuring the natural rates, gaps, and deviation cycles," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 495-522, September.
- Cayen, Jean-Philippe & van Norden, Simon, 2005.
"The reliability of Canadian output-gap estimates,"
The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 373-393, December.
- Cayen, Jean-Philippe & van Norden, Simon, 2004. "The reliability of Canadian output gap estimates," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2004,29, Deutsche Bundesbank.
- Robert Dixon & G.C. Lim, 2004.
"Underlying Inflation in Australia: Are the Existing Measures Satisfactory?,"
The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 80(251), pages 373-386, December.
- Robert Dixon & Guay Lim, 2003. "Underlying Inflation in Australia: Are the Existing Measures Satisfactory?," Department of Economics - Working Papers Series 878, The University of Melbourne.
- Haoran Zhao & Sen Guo & Huiru Zhao, 2018. "A Multi-Stage Intelligent Model for Electricity Price Prediction Based on the Beveridge–Nelson Disintegration Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-18, May.
More about this item
Keywords
Beveridge-Nelson decomposition; Beveridge-Nelson filter; Hodrick-Prescott filter; output gap; real exchange rate cycles; signal-to-noise ratio.;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-ARA-2019-07-22 (MENA - Middle East and North Africa)
- NEP-MAC-2019-07-22 (Macroeconomics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:94698. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Joachim Winter (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/vfmunde.html .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.