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Capital Flows: Issues and Policies

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  • Peter Montiel
Abstract
This paper presents an analytical overview of recent contributions to the literature on the policy implications of capital flows in emerging and developing countries, focusing specifically on capital inflows as well as on the links between inflows and subsequent capital-flow reversals. The objective is to clarify the policy challenges that such inflows pose and to evaluate the policy alternatives available to the recipient countries to cope with those challenges. A large menu of possible policy responses to large capital inflows is considered, and experience with the use of such policies is reviewed. A policy `decision tree`-i. e. , an algorithm for determining how to deploy policies in response to an exogenous inflow episode- is developed, and strategies to achieve resilience to both inflows and outflows in a world where exogenous events may frequently drive capital flows in both directions are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Montiel, 2013. "Capital Flows: Issues and Policies," Research Department Publications IDB-WP-411, Inter-American Development Bank, Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:idb:wpaper:idb-wp-411
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    Cited by:

    1. Joyce, Joseph P., 2019. "Partners, not debtors: The external liabilities of emerging market economies," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 320-337.
    2. Shigeto Kitano & Kenya Takaku, 2017. "Capital Controls and Financial Frictions in a Small Open Economy," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(4), pages 761-793, September.
    3. Özmen, Erdal & Taşdemir, Fatma, 2024. "Globalisation and governance: Thresholds for the impacts of the main determinants of capital inflows?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 168-176.
    4. Matteo F. Ghilardi & Shanaka J. Peiris, 2016. "Capital Flows, Financial Intermediation and Macroprudential Policies," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 27(4), pages 721-746, September.
    5. Fatma Taşdemir & Erdal Özmen, 2018. "Exchange Rate Regimes As Thresholds: The Main Determinants Of Capital Inflows In Emerging Market Economies," ERC Working Papers 1810, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Oct 2018.
    6. Wenwen Sheng & M. C. Sunny Wong, 2017. "Capital Flow Management Policies and Riskiness of External Liability Structures: the Role of Local Financial Markets," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(3), pages 461-498, July.
    7. Miguel Lebre De Freitas & Luis Catela Nunes & Madalena Sampaio Rodrigues, 2018. "Euro Area Membership and the Probability of a Sudden Stop: An Empirical Assessment," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(4), pages 818-836, May.
    8. Kitano, Shigeto & Takaku, Kenya, 2020. "Capital controls, macroprudential regulation, and the bank balance sheet channel," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    9. Stefan Goldbach & Volker Nitsch, 2022. "Covid-19 and Capital Flows: The Responses of Investors to the Responses of Governments," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 751-774, September.
    10. Mercado, Rogelio V., 2019. "Capital flow transitions: Domestic factors and episodes of gross capital inflows," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 251-264.
    11. Yu-Fu Chen & Michael Funke, 2017. "Greece’s Three-Act Tragedy: A Simple Model of Grexit vs. Staying Afloat inside the Single Currency Area," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 28(2), pages 297-318, April.
    12. Özmen, Erdal & Taşdemir, Fatma, 2021. "Gross capital inflows and outflows: Twins or distant cousins?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 45(3).
    13. Kyoungsoo Yoon & Jayoung Kim, 2015. "Costs of Foreign Capital Flows in Emerging Market Economies: Unexpected Economic Growth and Increased Financial Market Volatility," Working Papers 2015-21, Economic Research Institute, Bank of Korea.
    14. Ruijie Cheng & Ramkishen S. Rajan, 2020. "Monetary trilemma, dilemma, or something in between?," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(2), pages 257-276, August.
    15. Muhammad Imran & Abdul Rashid, 2023. "The Empirical Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment Episodes," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 15(3), pages 409-435, September.
    16. Pagliacci, Carolina, 2014. "Latin American Performance to External Shocks: What Has Really Been Sweat?," MPRA Paper 57816, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Boonman, Tjeerd, 2023. "Have drivers of portfolio capital flows changed since the Global Financial Crisis?," MPRA Paper 116507, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Boonman, Tjeerd M., 2023. "Portfolio capital flows before and after the Global Financial Crisis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts

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