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Fiscal rules and the Sovereign Default Premium

Author

Listed:
  • Juan Carlos Hatchondo

    (Indiana University)

  • Leonardo Martinez

    (IMF)

  • Francisco Roch

    (IMF)

Abstract
We use a sovereign default model to study the effects of introducing limits to the decision-making capabilities of governments---fiscal rules. We show that optimal limits to the debt level vary greatly across parameterizations of the model that deliver different levels of debt tolerance. In contrast, optimal limits to the sovereign premium paid by the government are very similar across parameterizations. Since levels of debt tolerance are difficult to identify and vary both across countries and over time, and political constraints often force common fiscal rule targets across countries, these findings indicate that sovereign-premium limits may be preferable to debt limits.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Carlos Hatchondo & Leonardo Martinez & Francisco Roch, 2015. "Fiscal rules and the Sovereign Default Premium," CAEPR Working Papers 2015-010, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    • Handle: RePEc:inu:caeprp:2015010
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fiscal Rules; Debt Limit; Spread Limit; Default; Sovereign Default Premium; Countercyclical Policy; Endogenous Borrowing Constraints; Long-term Debt; Debt Dilution; Debt Tolerance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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