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Currency Crises and Monetary Policy in Economies with Partial Dollarisation of Liabilities

Author

Listed:
  • Peter Flaschel

    (University of Bielefeld)

  • Christian Proano

    (University of Bielefeld, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation)

  • Willi Semmler

    (New School for Social Research, New York)

Abstract
The right response to a speculative attack on the domestic currency by monetary authorities in a country with liabilities in US dollars has been a matter of hot debate among academics and policy makers especially after the East Asian Crisis. Using a modified version of the currency crisis model discussed in Proano, Flaschel and Semmler (2005) the authors show that an increase of the domestic interest rate by the central bank as a response to the speculative attack can have serious negative effects on aggregate demand by depressing the investment activity of those domestic firms which are not indebted in foreign currency. The authors demonstrate that in specific situations the standard (IMF supported) increase of the domestic interest rate might not be the best response to a speculative attack on the domestic currency from a medium term point of view.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Flaschel & Christian Proano & Willi Semmler, 2006. "Currency Crises and Monetary Policy in Economies with Partial Dollarisation of Liabilities," IMK Working Paper 05-2006, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:imk:wpaper:05-2006
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kaminsky, Graciela L. & Reinhart, Carmen M., 2002. "Financial markets in times of stress," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 451-470, December.
    2. Andreas Röthig & Willi Semmler & Peter Flaschel, 2009. "Corporate Currency Hedging and Currency Crises," Chapters, in: Andreas Pyka & Uwe Cantner & Alfred Greiner & Thomas Kuhn (ed.), Recent Advances in Neo-Schumpeterian Economics, chapter 7, Edward Elgar Publishing.
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    7. Paul R. Krugman, 2000. "Crises : the price of globalization?," Proceedings - Economic Policy Symposium - Jackson Hole, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, pages 75-106.
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    9. Frederic S. Mishkin, 1996. "Understanding Financial Crises: A Developing Country Perspective," NBER Working Papers 5600, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christian R. Proaño, 2013. "Monetary Policy Rules And Macroeconomic Stabilization In Small Open Economies Under Behavioral Fx Trading: Insights From Numerical Simulations," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 81(6), pages 992-1011, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mundell-Fleming-Tobin model; liability dollarisation; debt-financed investment; financial crisis; currency crisis; deflation.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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