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Forbearance Patterns in the Post-Crisis Period

Author

Listed:
  • Katharina Bergant
  • Thore Kockerols
Abstract
Using supervisory loan-level data on corporate loans, we show that banks facing high levels of non-performing loans relative to their capital and provisions were more likely to grant forbearance measures to the riskiest group of borrowers. More specifically, we find that risky borrowers are more likely to get an increase in the overall limit or the maturity of a loan product from a distressed lender. As a second step, we analyse the effectiveness of this practice in reducing the probability of default. We show that the most common measure of forbearance is effective in the short run but no forbearance measure significantly reduces the probability of default in the long run. Our evidence also suggests that forbearance and new lending are substitutes for banks, as high shares of forbearance are negatively correlated with new lending to the same group of borrowers. Taken together, these findings can help policy makers shape surveillance and regulation in a future recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Katharina Bergant & Thore Kockerols, 2020. "Forbearance Patterns in the Post-Crisis Period," IMF Working Papers 2020/140, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2020/140
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    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=49587
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    Cited by:

    1. Feyen,Erik H.B. & Alonso Gispert,Tatiana & Kliatskova,Tatsiana & Mare,Davide Salvatore, 2020. "Taking Stock of the Financial Sector Policy Response to COVID-19 around the World," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9497, The World Bank.
    2. Suarez, Javier & Sánchez Serrano, Antonio, 2018. "Approaching non-performing loans from a macroprudential angle," Report of the Advisory Scientific Committee 7, European Systemic Risk Board.
    3. Feyen, Erik & Alonso Gispert, Tatiana & Kliatskova, Tatsiana & Mare, Davide S., 2021. "Financial Sector Policy Response to COVID-19 in Emerging Markets and Developing Economies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    4. Berlinger, Edina & Kiss, Hubert János & Khayouti, Sára, 2022. "Loan forbearance takeup in the Covid-era - The role of time preferences and locus of control," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; risky borrower; outstanding balance; x Time; bank characteristic; borrower rating; interest rate; Time level; rating class; Loans; Nonperforming loans; Capital adequacy requirements; Credit; Credit risk; Global; Non-Performing Loans; Zombie Lending; Banking Regulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation

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