[go: up one dir, main page]

IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfwpa/2017-019.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Financial Deepening in Mexico

Author

Listed:
  • Alexander Herman
  • Mr. Alexander D Klemm
Abstract
International comparisons reveal that—even controlling for a host of explanatory factors—credit depth is exceptionally low in Mexico. Using panel data methods linking credit growth and fundamentals, this paper estimates a long-term gap between actual and expected credit of about 40 percent of GDP. Possible explanations include the history of banking crises, the large informal sector and an inefficient legal system. Using a disequilibrium regression approach, this paper also finds that supply factors are particularly important as determinants of credit in Mexico. Recent financial reforms address many of the supply constraints, but their success will depend on implementation. The main challenge going forward will be to support financial deepening, while limiting risks to financial stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexander Herman & Mr. Alexander D Klemm, 2017. "Financial Deepening in Mexico," IMF Working Papers 2017/019, International Monetary Fund.
  • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/019
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/cat/longres.aspx?sk=44602
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cottarelli, Carlo & Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni & Vladkova-Hollar, Ivanna, 2005. "Early birds, late risers, and sleeping beauties: Bank credit growth to the private sector in Central and Eastern Europe and in the Balkans," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 83-104, January.
    2. Chinn, Menzie D. & Ito, Hiro, 2006. "What matters for financial development? Capital controls, institutions, and interactions," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 163-192, October.
    3. Jean Arcand & Enrico Berkes & Ugo Panizza, 2015. "Too much finance?," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 105-148, June.
    4. Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose & Marco E. Terrones, 2011. "Financial Cycles: What? How? When?," NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 7(1), pages 303-344.
    5. Laffont, Jean-Jacques & Garcia, Rene, 1977. "Disequilibrium Econometrics for Business Loans," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 45(5), pages 1187-1204, July.
    6. Claessens, Stijn & Laeven, Luc, 2004. "What Drives Bank Competition? Some International Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 36(3), pages 563-583, June.
    7. Luis Angeles, 2015. "Credit expansion and the economy," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(13), pages 1064-1072, September.
    8. Khan, Mohsin S. & Senhadji, Abdelhak S. & Smith, Bruce D., 2006. "Inflation And Financial Depth," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(2), pages 165-182, April.
    9. Mr. Fabian Valencia & Mr. Luc Laeven, 2012. "Systemic Banking Crises Database: An Update," IMF Working Papers 2012/163, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Maddala, G S & Nelson, Forrest D, 1974. "Maximum Likelihood Methods for Models of Markets in Disequilibrium," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 42(6), pages 1013-1030, November.
    11. repec:imf:imfsdn:15/8 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Ms. Ratna Sahay & Mr. Martin Cihak & Mr. Papa M N'Diaye & Mr. Adolfo Barajas & Ms. Diana B Ayala Pena & Ran Bi & Miss Yuan Gao & Ms. Annette J Kyobe & Lam Nguyen & Christian Saborowski & Katsiaryna Sv, 2015. "Rethinking Financial Deepening: Stability and Growth in Emerging Markets," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2015/008, International Monetary Fund.
    13. Elizabeth McQuerry, 1999. "The banking sector rescue in Mexico," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, vol. 84(Q3), pages 14-29.
    14. Mr. Niels-Jakob H Hansen & Ms. Olga Sulla, 2013. "Credit Growth in Latin America: Financial Development or Credit Boom?," IMF Working Papers 2013/106, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Ratna Sahay & Martin Cihak & Papa M N'Diaye & Adolfo Barajas & Diana B Ayala Pena & Ran Bi & Yuan Gao & Annette J Kyobe & Lam Nguyen & Christian Saborowski & Katsiaryna Svirydzenka & Seyed Reza Yousef, 2015. "Rethinking Financial Deepening; Stability and Growth in Emerging Markets," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 15/08, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gouzoulis, Giorgos & Constantine, Collin, 2020. "The Political Economy of Inequality in Chile and Mexico: Two Tales of Neoliberalism," SocArXiv gruzp, Center for Open Science.
    2. Dyna Heng & Anna Ivanova & Rodrigo Mariscal & Ms. Uma Ramakrishnan & Joyce Wong, 2016. "Advancing Financial Development in Latin America and the Caribbean," IMF Working Papers 2016/081, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Giorgos Gouzoulis & Collin Constantine, 2020. "The Political Economy of Inequality in Chile and Mexico: Two Tales of Neoliberalism," Working Papers 235, Department of Economics, SOAS University of London, UK.
    4. Bejar, Pablo & Ishi, Kotaro & Komatsuzaki, Takuji & Shibata, Ippei & Sin, Jasmin & Tambunlertchai, Suchanan, 2022. "Can Fintech Foster Competition in the Banking System in Latin America and the Caribbean?," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 3(2).
    5. Paula Cruz‐García & María del Carmen Dircio Palacios Macedo & Emili Tortosa‐Ausina, 2021. "Financial inclusion and exclusion across Mexican municipalities," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(5), pages 1496-1526, October.
    6. María del Carmen Dircio Palacios Macedo & Paula Cruz-García & Fausto Hernández-Trillo & Emili Tortosa-Ausina, 2024. "On the evolution over time of Financial Inclusion: A new multivariate index for Mexican municipalities," Working Papers 2024/06, Economics Department, Universitat Jaume I, Castellón (Spain).
    7. Olivier Niyitegeka & Alexis Habiyaremye, 2024. "Financial Contagion between German and BRICS Stock Markets under Multiscale Scrutiny," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-19, September.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. International Monetary Fund, 2015. "Mexico: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2015/314, International Monetary Fund.
    2. Khee Giap Tan & Sasidaran Gopalan & Phuong Anh Nguyen Le, 2017. "Financial Deepening and Economic Growth in Transition Economies of Southeast Asia: A Geweke Causality Analysis," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(03), pages 1-25, September.
    3. Ahmad Hassan Ahmad & Christopher Green & Fei Jiang, 2020. "Mobile Money, Financial Inclusion And Development: A Review With Reference To African Experience," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 753-792, September.
    4. Vinogradov, Dmitri & Makhlouf, Yousef, 2021. "Two faces of financial systems: Provision of services versus shock-smoothing," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    5. Gardó, Sándor & Klaus, Benjamin, 2020. "Overcapacities in banking: Measurement, trends and determinants," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 819-834.
    6. Naceur, Sami Ben & Candelon, Bertrand & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2019. "Taming financial development to reduce crises," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 1-1.
    7. Melecky, Martin & Podpiera, Anca Maria, 2020. "Financial sector strategies and financial sector outcomes: Do the strategies perform?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 44(2).
    8. Alfonso Ugarte Ruiz, 2015. "Understanding the dichotomy of financial development: credit deepening versus credit excess," Working Papers 1501, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    9. Tongurai, Jittima & Vithessonthi, Chaiporn, 2023. "Financial openness and financial market development," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    10. Emmanuel, Ongo Nkoa Bruno & Thierry, Mamadou Asngar & Christian, Atangana Zambo Charles & Ludé, Djam'Angai, 2024. "What drives financial market growth in Africa?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    11. Chuan Li & Joyce Wong, 2018. "Financial Development and Inclusion in the Caribbean," IMF Working Papers 2018/053, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Tongurai, Jittima & Vithessonthi, Chaiporn, 2018. "The impact of the banking sector on economic structure and growth," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 193-207.
    13. Fendoğlu, Salih, 2017. "Credit cycles and capital flows: Effectiveness of the macroprudential policy framework in emerging market economies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 110-128.
    14. Singh, Nirvikar, 2018. "Financial Inclusion: Concepts, Issues and Policies for India," MPRA Paper 91047, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Yuan, Shenguo & Wu, Zhouheng & Liu, Lanfeng, 2022. "The effects of financial openness and financial efficiency on Chinese macroeconomic volatilities," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    16. Pedro S. Amaral & Dean Corbae & Erwan Quintin, 2020. "Cash‐Flow Tranching And The Macroeconomy," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1815-1843, November.
    17. Dyna Heng & Anna Ivanova & Rodrigo Mariscal & Ms. Uma Ramakrishnan & Joyce Wong, 2016. "Advancing Financial Development in Latin America and the Caribbean," IMF Working Papers 2016/081, International Monetary Fund.
    18. Pierre‐Richard Agénor & Timothy Jackson & Enisse Kharroubi & Leonardo Gambacorta & Giovanni Lombardo & Luiz A. Pereira Da Silva, 2021. "Assessing the Gains from International Macroprudential Policy Cooperation," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 53(7), pages 1819-1866, October.
    19. Berger, Allen N. & Molyneux, Phil & Wilson, John O.S., 2020. "Banks and the real economy: An assessment of the research," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    20. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/4712tvppdq9m6q5i7t579thpvf is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Jean-Pierre Allegret & Sana Azzabi, 2014. "Intégration financière internationale et croissance économique dans les pays émergents et en développement : le canal du développement financier," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 22(3), pages 27-68.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; GDP; supply and demand; banking sector; demand and supply; Mexico; Credit gap; credit growth; financial development; credit depth; credit cycle; credit demand and supply; credit quality; Credit; Bank credit; Commercial banks; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Credit cycles; Global; Caribbean;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/019. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Akshay Modi (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/imfffus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.