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Late to the game? Capital flows to the Western Balkans

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  • Zsoka Koczan
Abstract
The boom and bust in capital flows to the New Member States of the European Union have received a considerable amount of attention; foreign direct investment and bank flows to the region and countries’ participation in regional supply chains have been well-documented. Relatively little has, however, been written about capital flows to the Western Balkans economies, which are often perceived to be ‘late arrivals’ to large capital flows. This paper aims to examine how capital flows to the Western Balkans compare with flows to the New Member States, in terms of levels as well as dynamics. We find that while financial integration took off somewhat later in the Western Balkans than in the New Member States, it has increased rapidly, despite still much lower capital account openness. Capital inflows as a share of GDP are comparable to those observed in the New Member States, (perhaps surprisingly) diverse in terms of source countries and broadly similar in composition, though with equity shares higher than they were in the New Member States at comparable levels of GDP per capita.

Suggested Citation

  • Zsoka Koczan, 2017. "Late to the game? Capital flows to the Western Balkans," IMF Working Papers 2017/092, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2017/092
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    WP; equity share; flows to the Western Balkans; portfolio equity investment; terms of trade; Capital flows; foreign direct investment; Western Balkans; capital outflow; Western Balkans economy; FDI inflow; interest rate differential; outflows from the Western Balkans; cross-border capital flow; inflows to the Western Balkans; greenfield FDI; Capital inflows; Stocks; Capital outflows; Global;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • O57 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries
    • P27 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Performance and Prospects

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