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Les modèles d'équilibre général calculable à générations imbriquées : enjeux, méthodes et résultats

Author

Listed:
  • Jacques Le Cacheux

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

  • Vincent Touzé

    (OFCE - Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) - Sciences Po - Sciences Po)

Abstract
L'approche calculable de l'équilibre général a connu des progrès considérables, notamment grâce à la prise en compte de la dimension du temps et de la notion de génération. Cette branche particulière de la modélisation appliquée regroupe les modèles d'équilibre général calculable à générations imbriquées. Cet article propose d'en dresser un bilan. Au regard des tendances démographiques et des législations en vigueur, une discussion sur les enjeux d'une analyse en terme de génération est, tout d'abord, menée. Par la suite, le noyau théorique de ces modèles est présenté, avant de donner un inventaire des principaux travaux menés depuis le début des années 1980, ainsi que des techniques d'estimation et de simulation utilisées. Pour terminer, les principaux enseignements sur les conséquences des politiques économiques en matière de retraite, de fiscalité ou d'endettement public ainsi que des différentes évolutions crédibles de la démographie sont récapitulés.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacques Le Cacheux & Vincent Touzé, 2002. "Les modèles d'équilibre général calculable à générations imbriquées : enjeux, méthodes et résultats," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-01017728, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:spmain:hal-01017728
    DOI: 10.3917/reof.080.0087
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal-sciencespo.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01017728
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    Cited by:

    1. Gaël Dupont & Cyrille Hagneré & Vincent Touzé, 2003. "Les modèles de microsimulation dynamique dans l'analyse des réformes des systèmes de retraites : une tentative de bilan," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(4), pages 167-191.
    2. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/eu4vqp9ompqllr09hi4ch92c6 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/eu4vqp9ompqllr09hi4ch92c6 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Vincent Touzé, 2005. "Fiscal incidence of unfunded pension system: an analytical investigation," Documents de Travail de l'OFCE 2005-03, Observatoire Francais des Conjonctures Economiques (OFCE).
    5. Sabine Mage-Bertomeu, 2006. "Les modèles d'équilibre général appliqués à la politique commerciale : développements récents," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 116(3), pages 357-381.
    6. Vincent Touzé, 2011. "Le financement des retraites aux États-Unis," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03461438, HAL.
    7. Tahar ABDESSALEM & Houyem CHEKKI CHERNI, 2016. "Tunisian Pension System Sustainability: Towards A Multidimensional Reform," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 44, pages 165-182.
    8. Mouez Fodha & Patricia Le Maitre, 2007. "Transition démographique, chômage involontaire et redistribution intergénérationnelle : simulations dans un cadre d'équilibre général à générations imbriquées," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne v07011, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.

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