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“Flip This House”: Investor Speculation and the Housing Bubble

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Abstract
The recent financial crisis—the worst in eighty years—had its origins in the enormous increase and subsequent collapse in housing prices during the 2000s. While the housing bubble has been the subject of intense public debate and research, no single answer has emerged to explain why prices rose so fast and fell so precipitously. In this post, we present new findings from our recent New York Fed study that uses unique data to suggest that real estate “investors”—borrowers who use financial leverage in the form of mortgage credit to purchase multiple residential properties—played a previously unrecognized, but very important, role. These investors likely helped push prices up during 2004-06; but when prices turned down in early 2006, they defaulted in large numbers and thereby contributed importantly to the intensity of the housing cycle’s downward leg.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew F. Haughwout & Donghoon Lee & Joseph Tracy & Wilbert Van der Klaauw, 2011. "“Flip This House”: Investor Speculation and the Housing Bubble," Liberty Street Economics 20111205, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fednls:86779
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FRBNY Consumer Credit Panel; mortgage defaults; Real Estate Investors;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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