[go: up one dir, main page]
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ehl/lserod/118668.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The antecedents of MNC political risk and uncertainty under right-wing populist governments

Author

Listed:
  • Sallai, Dorottya
  • Schnyder, Gerhard
  • Kinderman, Daniel
  • Nölke, Andreas
Abstract
Right-wing populist parties who obtain governmental power rely on ethno-nationalist mobilization for domestic legitimacy. They may therefore adopt policies that explicitly seek to disadvantage foreign multinational corporations (MNCs). Understanding what factors increase a foreign MNC’s exposure to adverse action by right-wing populists is an understudied question in the field of international business policy. We investigate this question in post-socialist member states of the European Union, which constitute extreme cases of right-wing populist government power. As such, they constitute a fertile ground to further our theoretical understanding of the distinction between calculable political risk and incalculable political uncertainty. Through a case study-based theory-building approach, which draws on existing literature and interview data, we derive a series of propositions and develop a research agenda. We identify factors at the country-, sector-, and firm-level that influence exposure to adverse policy action by host-country governments. We explore when political risk may turn into political uncertainty and provide suggestions to foreign MNCs operating in right-wing populist contexts on how to reduce this uncertainty. Our study provides insights for policy makers too, who should be aware of the impact political shifts towards right-wing populist governments have on political uncertainty for foreign companies.

Suggested Citation

  • Sallai, Dorottya & Schnyder, Gerhard & Kinderman, Daniel & Nölke, Andreas, 2023. "The antecedents of MNC political risk and uncertainty under right-wing populist governments," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 118668, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:118668
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/118668/
    File Function: Open access version.
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Juliet Johnson & Andrew Barnes, 2015. "Financial nationalism and its international enablers: The Hungarian experience," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(3), pages 535-569, June.
    2. Daniel Kinderman, 2021. "German Business Mobilization against Right-Wing Populism," Politics & Society, , vol. 49(4), pages 489-516, December.
    3. Dani Rodrik, 2018. "Populism and the economics of globalization," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 1(1), pages 12-33, June.
    4. Hartwell, Christopher A. & Devinney, Timothy, 2021. "Populism, political risk, and pandemics: The challenges of political leadership for business in a post-COVID world," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(4).
    5. Stephen J Kobrin, 1979. "Political Risk: A Review and Reconsideration," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 10(1), pages 67-80, March.
    6. Dang, Quyen Thao & Jasovska, Pavlina & Rammal, Hussain Gulzar, 2020. "International business-government relations: The risk management strategies of MNEs in emerging economies," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 55(1).
    7. Rajneesh Narula & John Dunning, 2010. "Multinational Enterprises, Development and Globalization: Some Clarifications and a Research Agenda," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 263-287.
    8. Sarianna M Lundan, 2018. "From the editor: Engaging international business scholars with public policy issues," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 1(1), pages 1-11, June.
    9. Phillip H. Kim & Karl Wennberg & Grégoire Croidieu, 2016. "Untapped Riches of Meso-Level Applications in Multilevel Entrepreneurship Mechanisms," Post-Print hal-02312380, HAL.
    10. Ovtchinnikov, Alexei V. & Reza, Syed Walid & Wu, Yanhui, 2020. "Political Activism and Firm Innovation," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(3), pages 989-1024, May.
    11. Ziad F. Elsahn & Maureen Benson-Rea, 2018. "Political Schemas and Corporate Political Activities During Foreign Market Entry: A Micro-process Perspective," Management International Review, Springer, vol. 58(5), pages 771-811, October.
    12. Phillip H. Kim & Karl Wennberg & Gregoire Croidieu, 2016. "Untapped Riches of Meso-Level Applications in Multilevel Entrepreneurship Mechanisms," Post-Print hal-02276717, HAL.
    13. Mezias, John M., 2002. "How to identify liabilities of foreignness and assess their effects on multinational corporations," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 8(3), pages 265-282.
    14. Alvaro Cuervo-Cazurra & Andrew Inkpen & Aldo Musacchio & Kannan Ramaswamy, 2014. "Governments as owners: State-owned multinational companies," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 45(8), pages 919-942, October.
    15. Pei Sun & Jonathan P. Doh & Tazeeb Rajwani & Donald Siegel, 2021. "Navigating cross-border institutional complexity: A review and assessment of multinational nonmarket strategy research," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 52(9), pages 1818-1853, December.
    16. López-Duarte, Cristina & Vidal-Suárez, Marta M., 2010. "External uncertainty and entry mode choice: Cultural distance, political risk and language diversity," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 575-588, December.
    17. Caroline T Witte & Martijn J Burger & Elena I Ianchovichina & Enrico Pennings, 2017. "Dodging bullets: The heterogeneous effect of political violence on greenfield FDI," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 48(7), pages 862-892, September.
    18. Marek Naczyk, 2022. "Taking back control: comprador bankers and managerial developmentalism in Poland," Review of International Political Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(5), pages 1650-1674, September.
    19. Jing-Lin Duanmu, 2014. "State-owned MNCs and host country expropriation risk: The role of home state soft power and economic gunboat diplomacy," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 45(8), pages 1044-1060, October.
    20. Catherine Welch & Rebecca Piekkari & Emmanuella Plakoyiannaki & Eriikka Paavilainen-Mantymaki, 2011. "Theorising from case studies: Towards a pluralist future for international business research," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 42(5), pages 740-762, June.
    21. Magnus Feldmann & Glenn Morgan, 2021. "Brexit and British Business Elites: Business Power and Noisy Politics," Politics & Society, , vol. 49(1), pages 107-131, March.
    22. Dorothee Bohle & Aidan Regan, 2021. "The Comparative Political Economy of Growth Models: Explaining the Continuity of FDI-Led Growth in Ireland and Hungary," Politics & Society, , vol. 49(1), pages 75-106, March.
    23. Jeremy Clegg, 2019. "From the editor: International business policy: What it is, and what it is not," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 2(2), pages 111-118, June.
    24. Monica de Bolle & Jeromin Zettelmeyer, 2019. "Measuring the Rise of Economic Nationalism," Working Paper Series WP19-15, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
    25. John Francis & CongCong Zheng & Ananda Mukherji, 2009. "An Institutional Perspective on Foreign Direct Investment," Management International Review, Springer, vol. 49(5), pages 565-583, October.
    26. Bryan Rooney & Matthew DiLorenzo, 2021. "Political turnover, regime type, and investment behavior," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(4), pages 777-793, July.
    27. Cavusgil, S. Tamer & Deligonul, Seyda & Ghauri, Pervez N. & Bamiatzi, Vassiliki & Park, Byung Il & Mellahi, Kamel, 2020. "Risk in international business and its mitigation," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 55(2).
    28. W. J. Henisz, 2000. "The Institutional Environment for Economic Growth," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 12(1), pages 1-31, March.
    29. Hartwell, Christopher A., 2018. "The impact of institutional volatility on financial volatility in transition economies," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 598-615.
    30. Anthony P Cannizzaro, 2020. "Social influence and MNE strategic response to political risk: A global network approach," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 51(5), pages 829-850, July.
    31. Izzet Sidki Darendeli & T L Hill, 2016. "Uncovering the complex relationships between political risk and MNE firm legitimacy: Insights from Libya," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 47(1), pages 68-92, January.
    32. Oh, Chang Hoon & Shin, Jiyoung & Oetzel, Jennifer, 2021. "How does experience change firms' foreign investment decisions to non-market events?," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 27(1).
    33. Henisz, Witold J, 2000. "The Institutional Environment for Multinational Investment," The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 16(2), pages 334-364, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ricz, Judit & Sallai, Dorottya & Sass, Magdolna, 2023. "The role of the state in shaping the internationalization of firms in the twenty-first century," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121380, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Christopher A. Hartwell & Barclay James & Thomas Lindner & Jakob Müllner & Paul M. Vaaler, 2024. "Populist politics and international business policy: problems, practices, and prescriptions for MNEs," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 7(1), pages 12-18, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dorottya Sallai & Gerhard Schnyder & Daniel Kinderman & Andreas Nölke, 2024. "The antecedents of MNC political risk and uncertainty under right-wing populist governments," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 7(1), pages 41-63, March.
    2. Puhr, Harald & Müllner, Jakob, 2024. "Vox populi, vox dei: A concept and measure for grassroots socio-political risk using Google Trends," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 30(2).
    3. Andrei Panibratov & Ramsés A. Sánchez Herrera & Alvar Castello Esquerdo & Daria Klishevich, 2023. "Surviving populism: A corporate political activity approach in Mexico," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(2), pages 182-200, June.
    4. Benischke, Mirko H. & Guldiken, Orhun & Doh, Jonathan P. & Martin, Geoffrey & Zhang, Yanze, 2022. "Towards a behavioral theory of MNC response to political risk and uncertainty: The role of CEO wealth at risk," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(1).
    5. Timothy M. Devinney & Christopher A. Hartwell & Jennifer Oetzel & Paul Vaaler, 2023. "Managing, theorizing, and policymaking in an age of sociopolitical uncertainty: Introduction to the special issue," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 6(2), pages 133-140, June.
    6. Lee, Hyoungjin & Chung, Chris Changwha, 2022. "Go small or go home: Operational exposure to violent conflicts and foreign subsidiary exit," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(6).
    7. Hartwell, Christopher A. & Devinney, Timothy M., 2024. "The demands of populism on business and the creation of “corporate political obligations”," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(2).
    8. Chengguang Li & Ilgaz Arikan & Oded Shenkar & Asli Arikan, 2020. "The impact of country-dyadic military conflicts on market reaction to cross-border acquisitions," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 51(3), pages 299-325, April.
    9. Iiris Saittakari & Tiina Ritvala & Rebecca Piekkari & Perttu Kähäri & Sami Moisio & Tomas Hanell & Sjoerd Beugelsdijk, 2023. "A review of location, politics, and the multinational corporation: Bringing political geography into international business," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 54(6), pages 969-995, August.
    10. Matevž (Matt) Rašković & Katalin Takacs Haynes & Anastas Vangeli, 2024. "The emergence of populism as an institution and its recursive mechanisms: A socio-cognitive theory perspective," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 7(1), pages 19-40, March.
    11. Lee, Hyoungjin & Park, Junmin & Chung, Chris Changwha, 2022. "CEO compensation, governance structure, and foreign direct investment in conflict-prone countries," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 31(6).
    12. Pei Sun & Jonathan P. Doh & Tazeeb Rajwani & Donald Siegel, 2021. "Navigating cross-border institutional complexity: A review and assessment of multinational nonmarket strategy research," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 52(9), pages 1818-1853, December.
    13. Gammeltoft, Peter & Panibratov, Andrei, 2024. "Emerging market multinationals and the politics of internationalization," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(3).
    14. Caroline T Witte & Martijn J Burger & Elena I Ianchovichina & Enrico Pennings, 2017. "Dodging bullets: The heterogeneous effect of political violence on greenfield FDI," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 48(7), pages 862-892, September.
    15. Chen, Zibang & Giroud, Axèle & Rygh, Asmund & Han, Xia, 2024. "Chinese SMEs’ location choice and political risk: The moderating role of legitimacy," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(3).
    16. Bucheli, Marcelo & DeBerge, Thomas, 2024. "Multinational enterprises’ nonmarket strategies: Insights from History," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(2).
    17. Wei, Qiao & Li, Wen Helena & De Sisto, Marco & Gu, Jinlong, 2020. "What types of top management teams' experience matter to the relationship between political hazards and foreign subsidiary performance?," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 26(4).
    18. Röell, Christiaan & Osabutey, Ellis & Rodgers, Peter & Arndt, Felix & Khan, Zaheer & Tarba, Shlomo, 2022. "Managing socio-political risk at the subnational level: Lessons from MNE subsidiaries in Indonesia," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 57(3).
    19. Fragkiskos Filippaios & Fatima Annan-Diab & Amir Hermidas & Charikleia Theodoraki, 2019. "Political governance, civil liberties, and human capital: Evaluating their effect on foreign direct investment in emerging and developing economies," Journal of International Business Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Academy of International Business, vol. 50(7), pages 1103-1129, September.
    20. Rachida Aïssaoui & Frances Fabian, 2022. "Globalization, economic development, and corruption: A cross-lagged contingency perspective," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 5(1), pages 1-28, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    business–government relations; MNE–host-country relations; multinational corporations (MNCs) and enterprises (MNEs); political risk; populism;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J50 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Labor-Management Relations, Trade Unions, and Collective Bargaining - - - General

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ehl:lserod:118668. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: LSERO Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/lsepsuk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.