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Skill Mismatch and the Costs of Job Displacement

Author

Listed:
  • Frank Neffke

    (Center for International Development at Harvard University)

  • Ljubica Nedelkoska

    (Center for International Development at Harvard University)

  • Simon Wiederhold
Abstract
When workers are displaced from their jobs in mass layoffs or firm closures, they experience lasting adverse labor market consequences. We study how these consequences vary with the amount of skill mismatch that workers experience when returning to the labor market. Using novel measures of skill redundancy and skill shortage, we analyze individuals’ work histories in Germany between 1975 and 2010. We estimate difference-in-differences models, using a sample in which we match displaced workers to statistically similar non-displaced workers. We find that displacements increase the probability of occupational change eleven fold, and that the type of skill mismatch after displacement is strongly associated with the magnitude of post-displacement earnings losses. Whereas skill shortages are associated with relatively quick returns to the counterfactual earnings trajectories that displaced workers would have experienced absent displacement, skill redundancy sets displaced workers on paths with permanently lower earnings.

Suggested Citation

  • Frank Neffke & Ljubica Nedelkoska & Simon Wiederhold, 2022. "Skill Mismatch and the Costs of Job Displacement," Growth Lab Working Papers 59, Harvard's Growth Lab.
    • Handle: RePEc:glh:wpfacu:59
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    job displacement; human capital; skill mismatch; occupational change;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J31 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - Wage Level and Structure; Wage Differentials
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • J65 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment Insurance; Severance Pay; Plant Closings

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