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Reassessing the Link between the Japanese Yen and Emerging Asian Currencies

Author

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  • Bong-Han Kim
  • Hyeongwoo Kim
  • Hong-Ghi Min
Abstract
We reassess the degree of exchange rate co-movement between the Japanese yen and 5 emerging Asian currencies relative to the US dollar in the 2000s. It is often claimed that these currencies have been closely tied with the Japanese yen possibly due to active interactions of Japan and emerging Asian economies. We question the validity of such claims, reporting substantially lower, even negative, dynamic conditional correlations between these currencies and the yen-dollar exchange rate in the second half of the 2000s. Our novel multivariate GARCH framework identifies the liquidity deterioration, measured by the TED spread, and the elevated risk aversion, measured by the sovereign CDS premium, in international capital markets as the two major driving forces of such decoupling phenomena.

Suggested Citation

  • Bong-Han Kim & Hyeongwoo Kim & Hong-Ghi Min, 2011. "Reassessing the Link between the Japanese Yen and Emerging Asian Currencies," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2011-05, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
    • Handle: RePEc:abn:wpaper:auwp2011-05
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    9. Abd. Majid, M. Shabri & Sofyan, Hizir & Rahmanda, Moh. Rizky, 2018. "Dynamic Interdependence of the Indonesian Rupiah with the ASEAN and the World Largest Forex Markets," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 52(1), pages 57-66.
    10. Aloui, Chaker & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Hamida, Hela ben, 2015. "Global factors driving structural changes in the co-movement between sharia stocks and sukuk in the Gulf Cooperation Council countries," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 311-329.
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    15. Bouri, Elie & Lucey, Brian & Saeed, Tareq & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Extreme spillovers across Asian-Pacific currencies: A quantile-based analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Yen-Dollar Exchange Rate; Emerging Asian Currencies; Dynamic Conditional Correlation; DCCX-MGARCH;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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