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Persistence and volatility of Beveridge cycles

Author

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  • Sniekers, F.

    (University of Amsterdam)

Abstract
This paper aims to explain the magnitude and cyclical behavior of the fluctuations in unemployment and vacancies. Adding demand externalities to an otherwise standard search and matching model reduces the need for exogenous shocks in explaining these fluctuations. Under plausible parameter values, the equilibrium dynamics include a stable limit cycle that resembles the empirically observed counterclockwise cycles around the Beveridge curve. Quantitatively, these endogenous `Beveridge cycles' can explain half of the volatility and almost all persistence of unemployment without any exogenous forces, avoiding the amplification and propagation problems of the standard model.

Suggested Citation

  • Sniekers, F., 2014. "Persistence and volatility of Beveridge cycles," CeNDEF Working Papers 14-11, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    • Handle: RePEc:ams:ndfwpp:14-11
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    7. Sterk, Vincent, 2016. "The dark corners of the labor market," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 86244, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    8. Paolo Martellini & Guido Menzio, 2020. "Declining Search Frictions, Unemployment, and Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(12), pages 4387-4437.
    9. Nika Lazaryan & Thomas A. Lubik, 2019. "Global dynamics in a search and matching model of the labor market," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 68(2), pages 461-497, September.
    10. Vincent Sterk, 2016. "The Dark Corners of the Labor Market," Discussion Papers 1603, Centre for Macroeconomics (CFM).
    11. Maxime Menuet & Alexandru Minea & Patrick Villieu & Anastasios Xepapadeas, 2020. "Economic Growth and the Environment: A Theoretical Reappraisal," DEOS Working Papers 2031, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    12. Bella, Giovanni & Mattana, Paolo & Venturi, Beatrice, 2017. "Shilnikov chaos in the Lucas model of endogenous growth," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 451-477.

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