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Economic Implications of Global Energy Interconnection

Author

Listed:
  • Feng Shenghao
  • Philip Adams
  • Zhang Keyu
  • Peng Xiujian
  • Yang Jun
Abstract
This study uses a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model to quantify the economic implications of the proposed Global Electricity Interconnection (GEI) electricity system. Enhancements to the model for this study include: (a) a detailed and up-to-date electricity database; (b) a new fuel-factor nesting structure; (c) re-estimated values for the constant elasticity of substitution (CES) parameters between fossil fuel power generation and non-fossil fuel power generation; (d) a base-case (for years between 2011-2050) consistent with the New Policy Scenario outlined in the World Energy Outlook 2018; and (e) the stylized characteristics of the operation of the GEI network. Modelling results suggest that, by 2050, compared to the base-case: (1) the GEI network will increase world GDP by 0.33 per cent; (2) all regions will benefit from GEI development; (3) world output of coal, oil and gas will fall by 1.4, 0.2 and 0.9 per cent, respectively; (4) the shares of renewable energy in total electricity and total primary energy will increase by 4.3 and 2.9 percentage points; and (5) global CO2 emissions will fall by 0.72 per cent.

Suggested Citation

  • Feng Shenghao & Philip Adams & Zhang Keyu & Peng Xiujian & Yang Jun, 2020. "Economic Implications of Global Energy Interconnection," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-307, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-307
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    GEI (global energy interconnection); CGE (computable general equilibrium); nesting structure; CES (constant elasticity of substitution); Economic impacts;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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