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A Note on Stock Market Seasonality: The Impact of Stock Price Volatility on the Application of Dummy Variable Regression Model

In: Handbook of Investment Analysis, Portfolio Management, and Financial Derivatives In 4 Volumes

Author

Listed:
  • Chin-Chen Chien
  • Cheng Few Lee
  • Andrew M. L. Wang
Abstract
This article provides both statistical analysis and empirical evidence that the dummy variable regression models extensively employed in the market seasonality literature may wind-up misleading results. We show that the estimates of the said model tend to reject the null hypothesis incorrectly once the stock returns exhibit higher volatility for the specified period under examination. Our empirical results suggest that the so-called “January effect” could be attributed to the application of inappropriate statistical method.

Suggested Citation

  • Chin-Chen Chien & Cheng Few Lee & Andrew M. L. Wang, 2024. "A Note on Stock Market Seasonality: The Impact of Stock Price Volatility on the Application of Dummy Variable Regression Model," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Cheng Few Lee & Alice C Lee & John C Lee (ed.), Handbook of Investment Analysis, Portfolio Management, and Financial Derivatives In 4 Volumes, chapter 39, pages 1329-1338, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789811269943_0039
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    Keywords

    Financial Accounting; Financial Auditing; Mutual Funds; Hedge Funds; Asset Pricing; Options; Portfolio Analysis; Risk Management; Investment Analysis; Momentum Analysis; Behavior Analysis; Futures; Index Futures; CDCs; Financial Econometrics; Statistics; Financial Derivatives; Financial Accounting;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • M42 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Auditing
    • G3 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance

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