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Global warming and urbanization

Author

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  • Helbling, Marc
  • Meierrieks, Daniel
Abstract
Analyzing 118 countries between 1960 and 2016, we find that higher temperatures correlate with higher urbanization rates in the long run, where this relationship is much more pronounced than any short-term linkage. The long-run relationship between global warming and urbanization is also conditional upon country-specific conditions. This long-run association is especially relevant in poorer and more agriculture-dependent countries with an urban bias as well as in initially non-urban countries in hotter climate zones. We also provide suggestive evidence that warming contributes to losses in agricultural productivity and to pro-urban shifts in public goods provision and that the global warming-urbanization nexus is partly mediated through these channels. Consequently, we argue that the estimated long-run relationship between temperature and urbanization partly captures the potential impact of increasing temperatures on urbanization via a rural push (by impairing agriculture) and an urban pull (via an increased demand for public goods primarily supplied in cities).

Suggested Citation

  • Helbling, Marc & Meierrieks, Daniel, 2022. "Global warming and urbanization," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, issue Latest Ar, pages 1-1.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:265120
    DOI: 10.1007/s00148-022-00924-y
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    Cited by:

    1. Martina Giorio & Rossana Paparella, 2023. "Climate Mitigation Strategies: The Use of Cool Pavements," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-26, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; global warming; urbanization; rural–urban migration; panel vector error correction models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population

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