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Post-crisis export performance: The Indonesian experience in regional perspective

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  • Prema-Chandra Athukorala
Abstract
This paper examines post-crisis export performance in Indonesia against the backdrop of pre-crisis experience and the comparative export performance of other Southeast Asian countries. It surveys trends and patterns of export performance, focusing on comparative experience in major commodity categories and changing revealed comparative advantage. It also examines the implications for Indonesia's export performance of China's emergence as a major competitor in world trade, considers market prospects for textile and garment exports following the demise of the Multi-fibre Arrangement, and explores the factors contributing to the post-crisis export slowdown. The findings support the view that Indonesia's poor export performance in the post-crisis era is largely supply driven. They strengthen the case for reversal of recent backsliding in macroeconomic policy reform, and for speedy implementation of the unfinished reform agenda. Prudent macroeconomic management, while necessary, is not sufficient to achieve rapid and sustained export growth in an era of rapid economic globalisation.

Suggested Citation

  • Prema-Chandra Athukorala, 2006. "Post-crisis export performance: The Indonesian experience in regional perspective," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(2), pages 177-211.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:bindes:v:42:y:2006:i:2:p:177-211
    DOI: 10.1080/00074910600873658
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. Prema-chandra Athukorala, 2005. "Product Fragmentation and Trade Patterns in East Asia," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 4(3), pages 1-27, Fall.
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    12. Athukorala, Prema-chandra & Sen, Kunal, 1998. "Processed food exports from developing countries: patterns and determinants," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 23(1), pages 41-54, February.
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    16. L. Peter Rosner, 2000. "Indonesia's Non-Oil Export Performance During the Economic Crisis: Distinguishing Price Trends from Quantity Trends," Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(2), pages 61-95.
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    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

    1. Athukorala, Prema-chandra & Wai-Heng, Loke, 2007. "Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Malaysia," Agricultural Distortions Working Paper Series 48476, World Bank.
    2. Luh Putu Gita Santhi & Ni Putu Wiwin Setyari, 2019. "The Impact of Trade Facilitation on Export Performance in Six ASEAN Countries Period 2005- 2016," International Journal of Applied Economics, Finance and Accounting, Online Academic Press, vol. 5(2), pages 89-100.
    3. repec:idn:journl:v:20:y:2017:i:1b:p:1-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Asep Suryahadi & Athia Yumna & Umbu Reku Raya & Deswanto Marbun, "undated". "Percepatan Penanggulangan Kemiskinan dan Kerentanan: Tren, Peluang, dan Kendala," Working Papers 3444, Publications Department.
    5. Prema-Chandra Athukorala, 2008. "Singapore And Asean In The New Regional Division Of Labor," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 53(03), pages 479-508.
    6. Dionisius Narjoko & Hal Hill, 2007. "Winners and Losers during a Deep Economic Crisis: Firm‐level Evidence from Indonesian Manufacturing," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 21(4), pages 343-368, December.
    7. M. Chatib BASRI & Hal HILL, 2011. "Indonesian Growth Dynamics," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 6(1), pages 90-107, June.
    8. Kelly Bird & Hal Hill & Sandy Cuthbertson, 2008. "Making Trade Policy in a New Democracy after a Deep Crisis: Indonesia," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(7), pages 947-968, July.
    9. Mia Mikic & Mochamad Pasha (ed.), 2011. "Fighting Irrelevance: The Role of Regional Trade Agreements in International Production Networks in Asia," STUDIES IN TRADE AND INVESTMENT, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), number tipub2597, April.
    10. Prema-Chandra Athukorala, 2008. "China's integration into global production networks and its implications for export-led growth strategy in other countries in the region," Departmental Working Papers 2008-04, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    11. Arief Bustaman & Rina Indiastuti & B. Budiono & Titik Anas, 2022. "Quality of Indonesia’s domestic institutions and export performance in the era of global value chains," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 11(1), pages 1-29, December.
    12. Aswicahyono, Haryo & Bird, Kelly & Hill, Hal, 2009. "Making Economic Policy in Weak, Democratic, Post-crisis States: An Indonesian Case Study," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 354-370, February.
    13. Hal Hill, 2012. "The Best of Times and the Worst of Times: Indonesia and Economic Crises," Departmental Working Papers 2012-03, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    14. Prema-chandra Athukorala, 2009. "Trends and Patterns of Foreign Direct Investments in Asia," Margin: The Journal of Applied Economic Research, National Council of Applied Economic Research, vol. 3(4), pages 365-408, October.
    15. Rudy Rahmaddi & Masaru Ichihashi, 2011. "How Do Foreign and Domestic Demand Affect Exports Performance? An Econometric Investigation of Indonesia's Exports," IDEC DP2 Series 1-4, Hiroshima University, Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation (IDEC), revised Jan 2012.
    16. Prema-chandra Athukorala, 2008. "Trade and Investment Patterns in Asia : Regionalisation or Globalisation?," EABER Working Papers 21794, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    17. Asep Suryahadi & Umbu Reku Raya & Deswanto Marbun & Athia Yumna, "undated". "Accelerating Poverty and Vulnerability Reduction: Trends, Opportunities, and Constraints," Working Papers 305, Publications Department.
    18. Haryo Aswicahyono & Chris Manning, 2011. "Exports and Job Creation in Indonesia Before and After the Asian Financial Crisis," Departmental Working Papers 2011-11, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    19. Haryo Aswicahyono & Hal Hill & Dionisius Narjoko, 2010. "Industrialisation after a Deep Economic Crisis: Indonesia," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(6), pages 1084-1108.
    20. Coxhead, Ian & Li, Muqun, 2008. "Prospects for Skills-Based Export Growth in a Labour-Abundant, Resource-Rich Economy: Indonesia in Comparative Perspective," Staff Paper Series 524, University of Wisconsin, Agricultural and Applied Economics.
    21. M. Chatib Basri & Hal Hill, 2008. "Indonesia – Trade Policy Review 2007," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(11), pages 1393-1408, November.
    22. Telisa Falianty, 2017. "Balance of Payment Dynamic in Indonesia and the Structure of Economy," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 63, pages 53-80, June.
    23. Anne Booth, 2011. "China’s Economic Relations with Indonesia: Threats and Opportunities," Journal of Current Southeast Asian Affairs, Institute of Asian Studies, GIGA German Institute of Global and Area Studies, Hamburg, vol. 30(2), pages 141-160.
    24. Deshal de Mel & Suwendrani Jayaratne, 2012. "Vertical Integration of Industries in South Asia," Chapters, in: Sultan Hafeez Rahman & Sridhar Khatri & Hans-Peter Brunner (ed.), Regional Integration and Economic Development in South Asia, chapter 2, Edward Elgar Publishing.

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