[go: up one dir, main page]

IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/renene/v163y2021icp2137-2152.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Wind turbine power curve modeling using radial basis function neural networks and tabu search

Author

Listed:
  • Karamichailidou, Despina
  • Kaloutsa, Vasiliki
  • Alexandridis, Alex
Abstract
Wind turbine power curve (WTPC) modeling is of great importance for performance monitoring. This work proposes a new method for producing highly accurate non-parametric models for wind turbines based on artificial neural networks (ANNs). To achieve this, we employ networks belonging to the radial basis function (RBF) architecture, and feed them with additional important input variables besides wind speed. To further increase modeling accuracy, while at the same time keeping the computational cost at acceptable levels, we introduce a new training algorithm based on the successful non-symmetric fuzzy means (NSFM) approach, which in this work is hybridized with the tabu search (TS) metaheuristic technique, enabling the method to train efficiently datasets of high dimensionality. The resulting method is evaluated on real data from four wind turbines, whereas a comparison with numerous WTPC modeling schemes, including parametric and non-parametric models is conducted. The solution found by the proposed algorithm outperforms the results produced by its rivals in terms of both modeling accuracy and efficiency, while in most cases it also leads to simpler models. The resulting models can be used successfully, not only for accurate WTPC modeling, but also for constructing wind turbine performance analysis tools, e.g. 3-D power curves.

Suggested Citation

  • Karamichailidou, Despina & Kaloutsa, Vasiliki & Alexandridis, Alex, 2021. "Wind turbine power curve modeling using radial basis function neural networks and tabu search," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 2137-2152.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:163:y:2021:i:c:p:2137-2152
    DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2020.10.020
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148120315871
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.renene.2020.10.020?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pelletier, Francis & Masson, Christian & Tahan, Antoine, 2016. "Wind turbine power curve modelling using artificial neural network," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 207-214.
    2. Kusiak, Andrew & Zheng, Haiyang & Song, Zhe, 2009. "Models for monitoring wind farm power," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 583-590.
    3. Manobel, Bartolomé & Sehnke, Frank & Lazzús, Juan A. & Salfate, Ignacio & Felder, Martin & Montecinos, Sonia, 2018. "Wind turbine power curve modeling based on Gaussian Processes and Artificial Neural Networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 1015-1020.
    4. Chang, G.W. & Lu, H.J. & Chang, Y.R. & Lee, Y.D., 2017. "An improved neural network-based approach for short-term wind speed and power forecast," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 301-311.
    5. Thapar, Vinay & Agnihotri, Gayatri & Sethi, Vinod Krishna, 2011. "Critical analysis of methods for mathematical modelling of wind turbines," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(11), pages 3166-3177.
    6. Fred Glover, 1989. "Tabu Search---Part I," INFORMS Journal on Computing, INFORMS, vol. 1(3), pages 190-206, August.
    7. Ciulla, G. & D’Amico, A. & Di Dio, V. & Lo Brano, V., 2019. "Modelling and analysis of real-world wind turbine power curves: Assessing deviations from nominal curve by neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 477-492.
    8. Marčiukaitis, Mantas & Žutautaitė, Inga & Martišauskas, Linas & Jokšas, Benas & Gecevičius, Giedrius & Sfetsos, Athanasios, 2017. "Non-linear regression model for wind turbine power curve," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 732-741.
    9. Marvuglia, Antonino & Messineo, Antonio, 2012. "Monitoring of wind farms’ power curves using machine learning techniques," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 574-583.
    10. Lydia, M. & Kumar, S. Suresh & Selvakumar, A. Immanuel & Prem Kumar, G. Edwin, 2014. "A comprehensive review on wind turbine power curve modeling techniques," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 452-460.
    11. Ouyang, Tinghui & Kusiak, Andrew & He, Yusen, 2017. "Modeling wind-turbine power curve: A data partitioning and mining approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(PA), pages 1-8.
    12. Li, Gong & Shi, Jing & Zhou, Junyi, 2011. "Bayesian adaptive combination of short-term wind speed forecasts from neural network models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 352-359.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Cheng, Biyi & Du, Jianjun & Yao, Yingxue, 2022. "Machine learning methods to assist structure design and optimization of Dual Darrieus Wind Turbines," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PA).
    2. Davide Astolfi & Ravi Pandit & Andrea Lombardi & Ludovico Terzi, 2022. "Multivariate Data-Driven Models for Wind Turbine Power Curves including Sub-Component Temperatures," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-18, December.
    3. Pengfei Zhang & Zuoxia Xing & Shanshan Guo & Mingyang Chen & Qingqi Zhao, 2022. "A New Wind Turbine Power Performance Assessment Approach: SCADA to Power Model Based with Regression-Kriging," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-15, July.
    4. Wen-Jie Liu & Yu-Ting Bai & Xue-Bo Jin & Ting-Li Su & Jian-Lei Kong, 2022. "Adaptive Broad Echo State Network for Nonstationary Time Series Forecasting," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(17), pages 1-21, September.
    5. Wen, Yi & Kamranzad, Bahareh & Lin, Pengzhi, 2021. "Assessment of long-term offshore wind energy potential in the south and southeast coasts of China based on a 55-year dataset," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    6. Farah, Shahid & David A, Wood & Humaira, Nisar & Aneela, Zameer & Steffen, Eger, 2022. "Short-term multi-hour ahead country-wide wind power prediction for Germany using gated recurrent unit deep learning," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    7. Mohammad Mahdi Forootan & Iman Larki & Rahim Zahedi & Abolfazl Ahmadi, 2022. "Machine Learning and Deep Learning in Energy Systems: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-49, April.
    8. Sara Carcangiu & Alessandra Fanni & Augusto Montisci, 2022. "Optimal Design of an Inductive MHD Electric Generator," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-17, December.
    9. Hanafi, Saïd & Wang, Yang & Glover, Fred & Yang, Wei & Hennig, Rick, 2023. "Tabu search exploiting local optimality in binary optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 308(3), pages 1037-1055.
    10. Qian, Guo-Wei & Ishihara, Takeshi, 2022. "A novel probabilistic power curve model to predict the power production and its uncertainty for a wind farm over complex terrain," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PA).
    11. Li, Tenghui & Liu, Xiaolei & Lin, Zi & Morrison, Rory, 2022. "Ensemble offshore Wind Turbine Power Curve modelling – An integration of Isolation Forest, fast Radial Basis Function Neural Network, and metaheuristic algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PD).
    12. Zou, Runmin & Yang, Jiaxin & Wang, Yun & Liu, Fang & Essaaidi, Mohamed & Srinivasan, Dipti, 2021. "Wind turbine power curve modeling using an asymmetric error characteristic-based loss function and a hybrid intelligent optimizer," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    13. Hu, Yue & Liu, Hanjing & Wu, Senzhen & Zhao, Yuan & Wang, Zhijin & Liu, Xiufeng, 2024. "Temporal collaborative attention for wind power forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    14. Saeedreza Jadidi & Hamed Badihi & Youmin Zhang, 2021. "Fault-Tolerant Cooperative Control of Large-Scale Wind Farms and Wind Farm Clusters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-29, November.
    15. Papadimitrakis, M. & Giamarelos, N. & Stogiannos, M. & Zois, E.N. & Livanos, N.A.-I. & Alexandridis, A., 2021. "Metaheuristic search in smart grid: A review with emphasis on planning, scheduling and power flow optimization applications," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    16. Wang, Peng & Li, Yanting & Zhang, Guangyao, 2023. "Probabilistic power curve estimation based on meteorological factors and density LSTM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rogers, T.J. & Gardner, P. & Dervilis, N. & Worden, K. & Maguire, A.E. & Papatheou, E. & Cross, E.J., 2020. "Probabilistic modelling of wind turbine power curves with application of heteroscedastic Gaussian Process regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 1124-1136.
    2. Yan, Jie & Zhang, Hao & Liu, Yongqian & Han, Shuang & Li, Li, 2019. "Uncertainty estimation for wind energy conversion by probabilistic wind turbine power curve modelling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 1356-1370.
    3. Han, Shuang & Qiao, Yanhui & Yan, Ping & Yan, Jie & Liu, Yongqian & Li, Li, 2020. "Wind turbine power curve modeling based on interval extreme probability density for the integration of renewable energies and electric vehicles," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 190-203.
    4. Marino Marrocu & Luca Massidda, 2017. "A Simple and Effective Approach for the Prediction of Turbine Power Production From Wind Speed Forecast," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-14, November.
    5. Francisco Bilendo & Angela Meyer & Hamed Badihi & Ningyun Lu & Philippe Cambron & Bin Jiang, 2022. "Applications and Modeling Techniques of Wind Turbine Power Curve for Wind Farms—A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-38, December.
    6. Marčiukaitis, Mantas & Žutautaitė, Inga & Martišauskas, Linas & Jokšas, Benas & Gecevičius, Giedrius & Sfetsos, Athanasios, 2017. "Non-linear regression model for wind turbine power curve," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 732-741.
    7. Xu, Keyi & Yan, Jie & Zhang, Hao & Zhang, Haoran & Han, Shuang & Liu, Yongqian, 2021. "Quantile based probabilistic wind turbine power curve model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 296(C).
    8. Zou, Runmin & Yang, Jiaxin & Wang, Yun & Liu, Fang & Essaaidi, Mohamed & Srinivasan, Dipti, 2021. "Wind turbine power curve modeling using an asymmetric error characteristic-based loss function and a hybrid intelligent optimizer," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    9. Wang, Yun & Duan, Xiaocong & Zou, Runmin & Zhang, Fan & Li, Yifen & Hu, Qinghua, 2023. "A novel data-driven deep learning approach for wind turbine power curve modeling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 270(C).
    10. Díaz, Santiago & Carta, José A. & Castañeda, Alberto, 2020. "Influence of the variation of meteorological and operational parameters on estimation of the power output of a wind farm with active power control," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 812-826.
    11. Gonzalez, Elena & Stephen, Bruce & Infield, David & Melero, Julio J., 2019. "Using high-frequency SCADA data for wind turbine performance monitoring: A sensitivity study," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 841-853.
    12. Hu, Yang & Xi, Yunhua & Pan, Chenyang & Li, Gengda & Chen, Baowei, 2020. "Daily condition monitoring of grid-connected wind turbine via high-fidelity power curve and its comprehensive rating," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 2095-2111.
    13. Ravi Pandit & David Infield, 2018. "Gaussian Process Operational Curves for Wind Turbine Condition Monitoring," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-20, June.
    14. Sebastiani, Alessandro & Angelou, Nikolas & Peña, Alfredo, 2024. "Wind turbine power curve modelling under wake conditions using measurements from a spinner-mounted lidar," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 364(C).
    15. Mehrjoo, Mehrdad & Jafari Jozani, Mohammad & Pawlak, Miroslaw, 2020. "Wind turbine power curve modeling for reliable power prediction using monotonic regression," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(P1), pages 214-222.
    16. Ouyang, Tinghui & Kusiak, Andrew & He, Yusen, 2017. "Modeling wind-turbine power curve: A data partitioning and mining approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(PA), pages 1-8.
    17. Siyu Tao & Qingshan Xu & Andrés Feijóo & Stefanie Kuenzel & Neeraj Bokde, 2019. "Integrated Wind Farm Power Curve and Power Curve Distribution Function Considering the Wake Effect and Terrain Gradient," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-14, June.
    18. Ciulla, G. & D’Amico, A. & Di Dio, V. & Lo Brano, V., 2019. "Modelling and analysis of real-world wind turbine power curves: Assessing deviations from nominal curve by neural networks," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 477-492.
    19. Taslimi-Renani, Ehsan & Modiri-Delshad, Mostafa & Elias, Mohamad Fathi Mohamad & Rahim, Nasrudin Abd., 2016. "Development of an enhanced parametric model for wind turbine power curve," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 544-552.
    20. Nasery, Praanjal & Aziz Ezzat, Ahmed, 2023. "Yaw-adjusted wind power curve modeling: A local regression approach," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 1368-1376.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:163:y:2021:i:c:p:2137-2152. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/renewable-energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.