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On the empirical evidence of asymmetric effects in the Polish interest rate pass-through

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  • Sznajderska, Anna
Abstract
The paper empirically examines the potential asymmetries in the interest rate pass-through in Poland. We investigate the chosen retail interest rates in commercial banks on deposits and loans denominated in the Polish currency. It is considered whether their adjustment to changes in interbank rates is asymmetric in the long term as well as in the short term. We test for asymmetric cointegration using threshold autoregressive models and momentum-threshold autoregressive models. Next, if it is possible applying the threshold error correction models, we search for asymmetries associated with the following factors: the direction of change in the money market rate, the level of the economic activity, the level of liquidity, the level of central bank's credibility, the level of expectations, and the level of competition. Finally, we test whether using the asymmetric models improves the quality of forecasts of retail bank interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Sznajderska, Anna, 2013. "On the empirical evidence of asymmetric effects in the Polish interest rate pass-through," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 78-93.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:joecas:v:10:y:2013:i:2:p:78-93
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeca.2013.11.001
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    Cited by:

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    2. Henry Penikas, 2023. "Smoothing the Key Rate Pass-Through: What to Keep in Mind When Interpreting Econometric Estimates," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 82(3), pages 3-34, September.
    3. Aleksander Welfe & Piotr Karp, 2017. "Makroekonometryczny miesięczny model gospodarki Polski WM-1," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 4, pages 5-38.
    4. Emilia Gosińska & Katarzyna Leszkiewicz-Kędzior & Aleksander Welfe, 2020. "Who is responsible for asymmetric fuel price adjustments? An application of the threshold cointegrated VAR model," Baltic Journal of Economics, Baltic International Centre for Economic Policy Studies, vol. 20(1), pages 59-73.
    5. Holmes, Mark J. & Iregui, Ana María & Otero, Jesús, 2015. "Interest rate pass through and asymmetries in retail deposit and lending rates: An analysis using data from Colombian banks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 270-277.

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