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The Latin American bank capital buffers and business cycle: Are they pro-cyclical?

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  • Carvallo, Oscar
  • Kasman, Adnan
  • Kontbay-Busun, Sine
Abstract
This paper examines capital buffer fluctuations over the business cycle and provides empirical evidence on determinants of capital buffers for the banking sectors of 13 Latin American and Caribbean countries for the period 2001–2012. Results indicate that there is a negative and significant relationship between regulatory capital buffers and GDP growth for five countries, while positive and significant for six. Banks’ adjustment costs, size, profitability and risk are significant determinants of buffers holdings. We present evidence that capital buffers are more likely to fluctuate pro-cyclically in those countries where costs of adjustment are lower and capital regulation is less stringent.

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  • Carvallo, Oscar & Kasman, Adnan & Kontbay-Busun, Sine, 2015. "The Latin American bank capital buffers and business cycle: Are they pro-cyclical?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 148-160.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:36:y:2015:i:c:p:148-160
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2015.02.003
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    Cited by:

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    3. Lin, Karen Lai Kai, 2020. "The Cyclical Patterns of Capital Buffers: Evidence from Japanese Banks," Hitotsubashi Journal of commerce and management, Hitotsubashi University, vol. 53(1), pages 49-68, February.
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    7. Syed Moudud-Ul-Huq, 2021. "The Impact of Business Cycle on Banks’ Capital Buffer, Risk and Efficiency: A Dynamic GMM Approach from a Developing Economy," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 22(4), pages 921-940, August.
    8. Ben Maatoug, Abderrazek & Ben Ayed, Wassim & Ftiti, Zied, 2019. "Are MENA banks’ capital buffers countercyclical? Evidence from the Islamic and conventional banking systems," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 109-118.
    9. Ghulame Rubbaniy & Ali Awais Khalid & Stathis Polyzos & Balqees Naser Almessabi, 2022. "Cyclicality of capital adequacy ratios in heterogeneous environment: A nonlinear panel smooth transition regression explanation," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(6), pages 1960-1979, September.
    10. Óscar Alfonso Carvallo & Leslie A.Jiménez, 2018. "Colchones de capital bancario y prociclicidad en América Latina," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Alberto Ortiz Bolaños (ed.), Política Monetaria y Estabilidad Financiera en América Latina y el Caribe, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 5, pages 137-163, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    11. Rodolfo Tomás da Fonseca Nicolay & Claudio Oliveira de Moraes & Bruno Pires Tiberto, 2018. "The Effect of Central Bank Communication on the Capital Buffer of Banks: Evidence from an Emerging Economy," Econometric Research in Finance, SGH Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, vol. 3(1), pages 1-26, September.
    12. Samina RIAZ & Venus Khim-Sen LIEW & Rossazana Bt Ab RAHIM, 2019. "The Impact of Business Cycle on Pakistani Banks Capital Buffer and Portfolio Risk," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 57-71, March.
    13. Andres Murcia & Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2016. "Moving in tandem: bank provisioning in emerging market economies," BIS Working Papers 548, Bank for International Settlements.
    14. Ben Bouheni, Faten & Hasnaoui, Amir, 2017. "Cyclical behavior of the financial stability of eurozone commercial banks," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 392-408.
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    17. Luis Arturo Bárcenas & Lorena Barreiro & Carolina Pagliacci, 2016. "What Is the Role of Size in Latin American Banks’ Performancein Response to External Shocks?," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 233-273, july-dece.
    18. Syed Moudud-Ul-Huq, 2019. "Banks’ capital buffers, risk, and efficiency in emerging economies: are they counter-cyclical?," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 9(4), pages 467-492, December.

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