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The impact of sovereign rating changes and financial contagion on stock market returns: Evidence from five Asian countries

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  • Li, Huimin
  • Jeon, Bang Nam
  • Cho, Seong-Yeon
  • Chiang, Thomas C.
Abstract
This paper investigates the significance of changes in foreign currency sovereign credit ratings for both domestic and cross-country stock market returns of five Asian countries during the period from January 1990 to March 2003. Using the changes in sovereign credit ratings announced by Standard & Poor's, the panel estimation finds that stock returns in the Asian countries are affected by sovereign rating changes in their own and in other Asian countries. The credit rating agencies do not show strong evidence of pro-market-performance behavior during the 1997 Asian financial crisis. However, the contagion effect was found to exist in the sense that rating changes in one country affect stock market returns in other crisis-hit countries, which suggests that sovereign credit rating changes functioned as an additional channel of international financial contagion during the 1997 Asian financial crises.

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  • Li, Huimin & Jeon, Bang Nam & Cho, Seong-Yeon & Chiang, Thomas C., 2008. "The impact of sovereign rating changes and financial contagion on stock market returns: Evidence from five Asian countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 46-55.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:glofin:v:19:y:2008:i:1:p:46-55
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    Cited by:

    1. Chunling Li & Khansa Pervaiz & Muhammad Asif Khan & Muhammad Atif Khan & Judit Oláh, 2022. "Impact of Sovereign Credit Rating Disclosure on Chinese Financial Market," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440221, March.
    2. Krishna Reddy & Rudi Bosman & Nawazish Mirza, 2019. "Impact Of Credit Ratings On Stock Returns," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 21(3), pages 343-366, January.
    3. Chen, Chih-Chun & Chen, Chun-Da & Lien, Donald, 2024. "Transmission process and determinants of sovereign credit contagions: Global evidence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 552-567.
    4. Camille Baulant & Nivine Albouz, 2021. "Has financial globalization since 1990 reduced income inequality: the role of rating announcements on the volatility and the returns of the Brazilian Financial Market [Les annonces de notation souv," Working Papers hal-03258994, HAL.
    5. Chunling Li & Khansa Pervaiz & Muhammad Asif Khan & Faheem Ur Rehman & Judit Oláh, 2019. "On the Asymmetries of Sovereign Credit Rating Announcements and Financial Market Development in the European Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-14, November.
    6. Jeon, Bang Nam, 2012. "From the 1997-98 Asian financial crisis to the 2008-09 global economic crisis: lessons from Korea’s experience," MPRA Paper 36469, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Opoku Mensah, Mary & Agbloyor, Elikplimi Komla & Harvey, Simon Kwadzogah & Fiador, Vera Ogeh, 2017. "Sovereign credit ratings and bank funding cost: Evidence from Africa," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 887-899.
    8. Böninghausen, Benjamin & Zabel, Michael, 2015. "Credit ratings and cross-border bond market spillovers," Working Paper Series 1831, European Central Bank.
    9. Alsakka, Rasha & ap Gwilym, Owain, 2012. "Foreign exchange market reactions to sovereign credit news," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 845-864.
    10. Böninghausen, Benjamin & Zabel, Michael, 2015. "Credit ratings and cross-border bond market spillovers," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 115-136.
    11. Bales, Kyle & Malikane, Christopher, 2020. "The effect of credit ratings on emerging market volatility," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    12. María Concepción Verona Martel & José Juan Déniz Mayor, 2011. "Las agencias de rating y la crisis fi nanciera de 2008: ¿El fi n de un poder sin control?," Revista Criterio Libre, Universidad Libre - Sede Principal, June.
    13. Sensoy, Ahmet & Eraslan, Veysel & Erturk, Mutahhar, 2016. "Do sovereign rating announcements have an impact on regional stock market co-movements? The case of Central and Eastern Europe," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 552-567.
    14. Shaen Corbet, 2014. "The Contagion Effects of Sovereign Downgrades: Evidence from the European Financial Crisis," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 4(1), pages 83-92.
    15. Janna Mai Nguyen & Dodo zu Knyphausen‐Aufseß, 2014. "The Impact of Sovereign Credit Ratings on Corporations: A Literature Review and Research Recommendations," Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(3), pages 125-178, August.
    16. Atif HUSSAIN* & Tahir SAEED*, 2016. "Cointegration of Stock Market Returns: A Case of Asian Countries," Pakistan Journal of Applied Economics, Applied Economics Research Centre, vol. 26(2), pages 153-181.
    17. Burak PIRGAIP, 2017. "Derecelendirme Notu Degisikliklerinin Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Pay Piyasasi’na Etkileri," Ege Academic Review, Ege University Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 17(3), pages 351-368.
    18. Ahmet Sensoy, 2016. "Impact of sovereign rating changes on stock market co-movements: the case of Latin America," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(28), pages 2600-2610, June.
    19. Schertler, Andrea & Moch, Nils, 2021. "Bank foreign assets, government support and international spillover effects of sovereign rating events on bank stock prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    20. Ibrahim Fatnassi & Zied Ftiti & Habib Hasnaoui, 2014. "Stock Market Reactions to Sovereign Credit Rating Changes: Evidence from Four European Countries," Working Papers 2014-111, Department of Research, Ipag Business School.
    21. Fahad Bashir & Omar Masood & Abdullah Imran Sahi, 2017. "Sovereign Credit Rating Changes and Its Impact on Financial Markets of Europe during Debt Crisis Period in Greece and Ireland," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 7(4), pages 146-159, October.
    22. Luitel, Prabesh & Vanpée, Rosanne, 2018. "How do sovereign credit ratings help to financially develop low-developed countries?," ECMI Papers 13956, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    23. Baker, H. Kent & Kumar, Satish & Pandey, Nitesh, 2021. "Thirty years of the Global Finance Journal: A bibliometric analysis," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    24. Sema Bayraktar & Thomas C. Chiang, 2017. "Comovements of Stock Markets between Turkey and Global Countries," Czech Journal of Economics and Finance (Finance a uver), Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, vol. 67(3), pages 250-275, June.

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