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Dynamics of monetary policy spillover: The role of exchange rate regimes

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  • Rohit, Abhishek Kumar
  • Dash, Pradyumna
Abstract
In a time-varying framework, our study investigates the role of exchange rate regimes in explaining monetary policy spillover across a set of AEs and EMEs. We also investigate the channels contributing to the dynamism in the degree of such spillover. We find that the flexible exchange rate regime in the AEs insulates them against the spillover to a relatively larger extent as compared to the managed float regime in the EMEs. We also find that the spillover is strongly time-varying, being influenced by macroeconomic conditions in the centre economy. Risk-taking, portfolio rebalancing, and signaling channels are found to be significant in explaining the rise in spillover in the EMEs, but not in the AEs. The rise in the connectedness of interest rates in the AEs occurred only during the global financial crisis (2008–12), owing to their higher policy coordination with the US. This should not be misconstrued as monetary policy spillover.

Suggested Citation

  • Rohit, Abhishek Kumar & Dash, Pradyumna, 2019. "Dynamics of monetary policy spillover: The role of exchange rate regimes," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 276-288.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:77:y:2019:i:c:p:276-288
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2018.09.007
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    Cited by:

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    4. Guo, Junjie & Li, Xuelian & Zhang, Weiran & Li, Youshu, 2024. "Monetary policy spillovers among five systemic economies: Evidence from the time and frequency domains," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    5. Rohit, Abhishek & Dash, Pradyumna & Rao, D. Tripati, 2020. "A comparative assessment of the spillovers of US monetary policy shocks and its mitigation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    6. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Wróblewska, Justyna, 2020. "Insulating property of the flexible exchange rate regime: A case of Central and Eastern European countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 34-49.
    7. Cui, Baisheng & Li, Jiaqi & Zhang, Yi, 2024. "Asymmetries in the international spillover effects of monetary policy: Based on TGVAR model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PA).
    8. Ghosh, Taniya & Kumar, Shakti, 2022. "The effectiveness of macro-prudential policies in the face of global uncertainty –the role of exchange-rate regimes," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    9. Gabriel Caldas Montes & Irineu da Silva Rodrigues Júnior & Júlio Cesar Albuquerque Bastos & Linican Monteiro Batista, 2024. "Effects of monetary policy credibility and the open economy trilemma on monetary policy efficiency," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 1236-1258, April.
    10. Renée Fry-McKibbin & Kate McKinnon & Vance L Martin, 2022. "Measuring Global Interest Rate Comovements with Implications for Monetary Policy Interdependence," RBA Annual Conference Papers acp2022-07, Reserve Bank of Australia, revised Dec 2022.
    11. LIU, Jingting & TAN, Sook Rei & CHIA, Wai Mun, 2024. "Exposure to Dollar, financial Openness, and the heterogeneous impact of US monetary spillover," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mundellian trilemma; Policy spillovers; Spillover index; Monetary autonomy; Liquidity; VIX;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance

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