[go: up one dir, main page]

IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/econom/v185y2015i2p409-419.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Bayesian regression with nonparametric heteroskedasticity

Author

Listed:
  • Norets, Andriy
Abstract
This paper studies large sample properties of a semiparametric Bayesian approach to inference in a linear regression model. The approach is to model the distribution of the regression error term by a normal distribution with the variance that is a flexible function of covariates. The main result of the paper is a semiparametric Bernstein–von Mises theorem under misspecification: even when the distribution of the regression error term is not normal, the posterior distribution of the properly recentered and rescaled regression coefficients converges to a normal distribution with the zero mean and the variance equal to the semiparametric efficiency bound.

Suggested Citation

  • Norets, Andriy, 2015. "Bayesian regression with nonparametric heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(2), pages 409-419.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:185:y:2015:i:2:p:409-419
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.12.006
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304407614002966
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.12.006?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. De Iorio, Maria & Muller, Peter & Rosner, Gary L. & MacEachern, Steven N., 2004. "An ANOVA Model for Dependent Random Measures," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 99, pages 205-215, January.
    2. Villani, Mattias & Kohn, Robert & Giordani, Paolo, 2009. "Regression density estimation using smooth adaptive Gaussian mixtures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 153(2), pages 155-173, December.
    3. Robinson, P M, 1987. "Asymptotically Efficient Estimation in the Presence of Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(4), pages 875-891, July.
    4. Chernozhukov, Victor & Hong, Han, 2003. "An MCMC approach to classical estimation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 293-346, August.
    5. Shen X., 2002. "Asymptotic Normality of Semiparametric and Nonparametric Posterior Distributions," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 97, pages 222-235, March.
    6. Geweke, John & Keane, Michael, 2007. "Smoothly mixing regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 138(1), pages 252-290, May.
    7. repec:dau:papers:123456789/3984 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Burda, Martin & Prokhorov, Artem, 2014. "Copula based factorization in Bayesian multivariate infinite mixture models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 200-213.
    9. Norets, Andriy & Pelenis, Justinas, 2014. "Posterior Consistency In Conditional Density Estimation By Covariate Dependent Mixtures," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 30(3), pages 606-646, June.
    10. Sally A. Wood, 2002. "Bayesian mixture of splines for spatially adaptive nonparametric regression," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 89(3), pages 513-528, August.
    11. Sonia Petrone & Larry Wasserman, 2002. "Consistency of Bernstein polynomial posteriors," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(1), pages 79-100, January.
    12. White, Halbert, 1982. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Misspecified Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(1), pages 1-25, January.
    13. Gourieroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Trognon, Alain, 1984. "Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Methods: Theory," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 681-700, May.
    14. Gourieroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Trognon, Alain, 1984. "Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Methods: Applications to Poisson Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 701-720, May.
    15. Chung, Yeonseung & Dunson, David B., 2009. "Nonparametric Bayes Conditional Distribution Modeling With Variable Selection," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(488), pages 1646-1660.
    16. Chamberlain, Gary, 1987. "Asymptotic efficiency in estimation with conditional moment restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 305-334, March.
    17. Pati, Debdeep & Dunson, David B. & Tokdar, Surya T., 2013. "Posterior consistency in conditional distribution estimation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 456-472.
    18. Griffin, J.E. & Steel, M.F.J., 2006. "Order-Based Dependent Dirichlet Processes," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 101, pages 179-194, March.
    19. Pelenis, Justinas, 2014. "Bayesian regression with heteroscedastic error density and parametric mean function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 624-638.
    20. Dale J. Poirier, 2011. "Bayesian Interpretations of Heteroskedastic Consistent Covariance Estimators Using the Informed Bayesian Bootstrap," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 457-468, August.
    21. David B. Dunson & Ju-Hyun Park, 2008. "Kernel stick-breaking processes," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 95(2), pages 307-323.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Matthew J. Salois & Kelvin G. Balcombe, 2015. "A Generalized Bayesian Instrumental Variable Approach under Student t-distributed Errors with Application," Manchester School, University of Manchester, vol. 83(5), pages 499-522, September.
    2. Kaplan, David M. & Zhuo, Longhao, 2021. "Frequentist properties of Bayesian inequality tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 221(1), pages 312-336.
    3. repec:cte:wsrepe:ws1504 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Liao, Yuan & Simoni, Anna, 2019. "Bayesian inference for partially identified smooth convex models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 211(2), pages 338-360.
    5. David M. Kaplan, 2015. "Bayesian and frequentist tests of sign equality and other nonlinear inequalities," Working Papers 1516, Department of Economics, University of Missouri.
    6. Nguyen Ngoc Thach & Bui Hoang Ngoc, 2021. "Impact of Economic Freedom on Corruption Revisited in ASEAN Countries: A Bayesian Hierarchical Mixed-Effects Analysis," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-16, January.
    7. Bodnar, Olha & Bodnar, Taras, 2024. "Gibbs sampler approach for objective Bayesian inference in elliptical multivariate meta-analysis random effects model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    8. Christopher D. Walker, 2024. "Semiparametric Bayesian Inference for a Conditional Moment Equality Model," Papers 2410.16017, arXiv.org.
    9. repec:cte:whrepe:ws1504 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Kline, Brendan, 2024. "Classical p-values and the Bayesian posterior probability that the hypothesis is approximately true," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 240(1).
    11. Yuan Liao & Anna Simoni, 2016. "Bayesian Inference for Partially Identified Convex Models: Is it Valid for Frequentist Inference?," Departmental Working Papers 201607, Rutgers University, Department of Economics.
    12. Christoph Breunig & Ruixuan Liu & Zhengfei Yu, 2022. "Double Robust Bayesian Inference on Average Treatment Effects," Papers 2211.16298, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
    13. Christopher D. Walker, 2023. "Parametrization, Prior Independence, and the Semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises Theorem for the Partially Linear Model," Papers 2306.03816, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    14. Lewis, Gabriel, 2022. "Heteroskedasticity and Clustered Covariances from a Bayesian Perspective," MPRA Paper 116662, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pelenis, Justinas, 2014. "Bayesian regression with heteroscedastic error density and parametric mean function," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 178(P3), pages 624-638.
    2. Norets, Andriy & Pelenis, Justinas, 2012. "Bayesian modeling of joint and conditional distributions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 168(2), pages 332-346.
    3. Pelenis, Justinas, 2012. "Bayesian Semiparametric Regression," Economics Series 285, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    4. Barrientos, Andrés F. & Canale, Antonio, 2021. "A Bayesian goodness-of-fit test for regression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    5. Petrova, Katerina, 2022. "Asymptotically valid Bayesian inference in the presence of distributional misspecification in VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(1), pages 154-182.
    6. Miguel A. Delgado & Thomas J. Kniesner, 1997. "Count Data Models With Variance Of Unknown Form: An Application To A Hedonic Model Of Worker Absenteeism," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 79(1), pages 41-49, February.
    7. Villani, Mattias & Kohn, Robert & Nott, David J., 2012. "Generalized smooth finite mixtures," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(2), pages 121-133.
    8. Debdeep Pati & David Dunson, 2014. "Bayesian nonparametric regression with varying residual density," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 66(1), pages 1-31, February.
    9. Andrés F. Barrientos & Alejandro Jara & Fernando A. Quintana, 2017. "Fully Nonparametric Regression for Bounded Data Using Dependent Bernstein Polynomials," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 112(518), pages 806-825, April.
    10. Norets, Andriy & Pelenis, Justinas, 2022. "Adaptive Bayesian estimation of conditional discrete-continuous distributions with an application to stock market trading activity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(1), pages 62-82.
    11. repec:jss:jstsof:40:i05 is not listed on IDEAS
    12. Huang, Yifan & Meng, Shengwang, 2020. "A Bayesian nonparametric model and its application in insurance loss prediction," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 84-94.
    13. Pati, Debdeep & Dunson, David B. & Tokdar, Surya T., 2013. "Posterior consistency in conditional distribution estimation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 456-472.
    14. Stefano Favaro & Antonio Lijoi & Igor Prünster, 2012. "On the stick–breaking representation of normalized inverse Gaussian priors," DEM Working Papers Series 008, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.
    15. Vijverberg, Wim P. & Hasebe, Takuya, 2015. "GTL Regression: A Linear Model with Skewed and Thick-Tailed Disturbances," IZA Discussion Papers 8898, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    16. Tang, Niansheng & Wang, Wenjun, 2019. "Robust estimation of generalized estimating equations with finite mixture correlation matrices and missing covariates at random for longitudinal data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 640-655.
    17. Fuentes-García, Ruth & Mena, Ramsés H. & Walker, Stephen G., 2009. "A nonparametric dependent process for Bayesian regression," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 1112-1119, April.
    18. Gabriele Fiorentini & Enrique Sentana, 2021. "Specification tests for non‐Gaussian maximum likelihood estimators," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(3), pages 683-742, July.
    19. Anatolyev, Stanislav, 2009. "Dynamic modeling under linear-exponential loss," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 82-89, January.
    20. Federico Bassetti & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2018. "Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(522), pages 675-685, April.
    21. Patrick Gagliardini & Elisa Ossola & Olivier Scaillet, 2016. "Time‐Varying Risk Premium in Large Cross‐Sectional Equity Data Sets," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 985-1046, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:185:y:2015:i:2:p:409-419. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jeconom .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.