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Trade in Small Arms and Light Weapons: Are embargoes effective?

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  • Adelaide Baronchelli
  • Raul Caruso
  • Roberto Ricciuti
Abstract
This paper analyses the trade in Small Arms and Light Weapons (SALW) from 1990 to 2017. Our analysis relies on an unbalanced panel of 79,245 observations reporting SALW exports between 9275 pairs of countries. In particular, we study the impact of embargoes on trade in SALW. We use a gravity model framework including, in addition to traditional gravity variables, specifically SALW trade controls. The main results show that: (i) embargoes reduce SALW exports to sanctioned countries by 33%; (ii) an EU embargo appears to determine a decrease of 37% of SALW transfers, whereas for UN embargoes the impact is not significant. In addition, we found no warning signals of sanctions‐busting. First, countries do not seem to import a larger number of SALW if neighbours are under an embargo. Second, the findings show that embargoes have no statistically significant effect on the trade in sporting arms. Results are robust to some robustness checks, in particular to endogeneity.

Suggested Citation

  • Adelaide Baronchelli & Raul Caruso & Roberto Ricciuti, 2022. "Trade in Small Arms and Light Weapons: Are embargoes effective?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(5), pages 1336-1361, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:worlde:v:45:y:2022:i:5:p:1336-1361
    DOI: 10.1111/twec.13217
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    Cited by:

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    3. Daria Suprunenko, 2024. "Not-so-innocent bystanders: Trade with neighbors of sanctioned countries," IEER Working Papers 123, Institute of Empirical Economic Research, Osnabrueck University.
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    5. Dizaji, Sajjad Faraji & Murshed, Syed Mansoob, 2024. "External arms embargoes and their implications for government expenditure, democracy and internal conflict," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    6. Apeti, Ablam Estel & N’Doua, Bossoma Doriane, 2023. "The impact of timber regulations on timber and timber product trade," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions

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