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Análisis de la reciente modificación al índice bursátil inmobiliario en la bolsa mexicana de valores

Author

Listed:
  • Sergio Solís Tepexpa
  • Luis Fernando Muñoz González
Abstract
Resumen Después de la crisis subprime en Estados Unidos, el mercado mexicano de construcción de vivienda sufrió una caída importante a raíz del sobre endeudamiento de sus oferentes, lo que se reflejó en la evolución desfavorable del índice Habita o IH.MX. En este escenario se llevó a cabo una reestructuración de la muestra de dicho indicador, con miras a una mejora esperada en este. Al analizar el comportamiento de la volatilidad del senalado índice, a través de la metodología GARCH, en el período diciembre de 2015 - febrero de 2017 se sigue apreciando un alto grado de volatilidad. Ello apunta a la visión sistémica de la economía, que va más allá de los elementos meramente técnicos y fundamentales, tal como lo plantea la teoría de los mercados eficientes, resultando insuficiente para explicar lo anterior. ***** Abstract After the subprime crisis in the United States, the Mexican housing construction market suffered a major fall from the over-indebtedness of its bidders, which was reflected in the unfavorable evolution in Habita Index or IH.MX. In this scenario was carried out a restructuring of the sample of this indicator, with a view to an expected improvement in it. When analyzing the behavior of the volatility of the indicated index, through the GARCH methodology, in the period December 2015 February 2017, a high degree of volatility is still appreciating. This points to the systemic view of the Economy, which goes beyond of the merely technical and/or fundamental elements, as stated by the theory of efficient markets, being insufficient to explain the above.

Suggested Citation

  • Sergio Solís Tepexpa & Luis Fernando Muñoz González, 2017. "Análisis de la reciente modificación al índice bursátil inmobiliario en la bolsa mexicana de valores," Revista Lebret, Universidad Santo Tomás - Bucaramanga, vol. 9, pages 25-44, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000385:016409
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    File URL: http://revistas.ustabuca.edu.co/index.php/LEBRET/article/view/1949/1531
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Garch; habita; reestructuración; volatilidad.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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