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Modelos ARCH, GARCH y EGARCH: aplicaciones a series financieras

Author

Listed:
  • Marta Casas Monsegny
  • Edilberto Cepeda
Abstract
En este artículo se incluye una descripción de los modelos ARCH, GARCH y EGARCH, y de los procesos de estimación de sus parámetros usando máxima verosimilitud. Se propone un modelo alternativo para el análisis de series financieras y se estudian las series de precios y de retornos de las acciones deGillette. La selección de modelos usando los criterios AIC y BIC permite concluir que, de los modelos considerados el GARCH(1,2) es el que mejor explica el comportamiento de los precios de las acciones y el EGARCH(2,1) es el que mejor explica la serie de los retornos.

Suggested Citation

  • Marta Casas Monsegny & Edilberto Cepeda, 2008. "Modelos ARCH, GARCH y EGARCH: aplicaciones a series financieras," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:004845
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    File URL: http://www.fce.unal.edu.co/media/files/documentos/Cuadernos/48/v27n48_casas_2008.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gil-León, José Mauricio & Toca-Toca, Julián Santiago, 2020. "Política monetaria no convencional en EE.UU y comportamiento de los mercados emergentes en América Latina," Revista Tendencias, Universidad de Narino, vol. 21(1), pages 24-51, January.
    2. Federico Galán-Valdivieso & Elena Villar-Rubio & María-Dolores Huete-Morales, 2018. "The erratic behaviour of the EU ETS on the path towards consolidation and price stability," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 18(5), pages 689-706, October.
    3. Eduardo Sandoval & Paula Urrutia, 2014. "Zero-Cost Collar Strategy For Chilean Exporters: Black-Scholes Valuation Vs Monte Carlo Simulations, Estrategia Collar Costo Cero Para Exportadores Chilenos. Valuacion De Black-Scholes Vs Simulaciones," Revista Internacional Administracion & Finanzas, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 7(5), pages 25-40.
    4. Omar Alejandro González Rivas, 2016. "Causalidad en Segundos Momentos: Una aplicación a la volatilidad bursátil en México, Estados Unidos y Australia," Graduate theses (Spanish) TESG 006, CIDE, División de Economía.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    modelos ARCH; GARCH y EGARCH; predicción;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C19 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Other
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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