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1991 British Columbia general election

The 1991 British Columbia general election was the 35th provincial election in the Province of British Columbia, Canada. It was held to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. The election was called on September 19, 1991, and held on October 17, 1991. The incumbent Social Credit Party of British Columbia, which had been beset by scandals during Bill Vander Zalm's only term as premier, was defeated by the New Democratic Party of Mike Harcourt. Liberal Party leader Gordon Wilson surprised observers by leading his party to winning one-third of the votes cast, and forming the official opposition in the legislature after having held no seats at all since 1979. The new legislature met for the first time on March 17, 1992.

1991 British Columbia general election
← 1986 October 17, 1991 1996 →
75 seats of the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
38 seats were needed for a majority
Turnout64.03%[1] Decrease 1.77 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
BCL
SC
Leader Mike Harcourt Gordon Wilson Rita Johnston
Party New Democratic Liberal Social Credit
Leader since 1987 1987 1991
Leader's seat Vancouver-Mount Pleasant Powell River-Sunshine Coast Surrey-Newton (lost re-election)
Last election 22 seats 0 seats 47 seats
Seats won 51 17 7
Seat change Increase29 Increase17 Decrease40
Popular vote 595,391 486,208 351,660
Percentage 40.71% 33.25 24.27
Swing Decrease1.89 Increase26.51 Decrease25.27
Premier before election

Rita Johnston
Social Credit

Premier after election

Mike Harcourt
New Democratic

The election was held at the same time as a referendum on recall and initiative.[2] It was also the first British Columbia general election with only single-member districts.[3]

Background

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Under Vander Zalm's leadership, Socred's control shifted from urban fiscal conservatives to social conservatives. Vander Zalm seemingly cruised to victory in the 1986 provincial election, held just a month after he was sworn in. In truth, however, a number of more moderate Socreds were not at home with the party's rightward turn on social issues, and began defecting to the Liberals.

This process was exacerbated by Vander Zalm's eccentricity, and the constant scandals that plagued his government. As well, Vander Zalm allowed his principal secretary, David Poole, to amass a substantial amount of power, despite being unelected.

Vander Zalm resigned in April 1991 amid a conflict of interest scandal surrounding the sale of a theme park that he owned. Socred members elected the lesser-known Deputy Premier Rita Johnston, a close ally of Vander Zalm, to be their new leader, over Grace McCarthy, a longtime associate of former Premier Bill Bennett. Many viewed this as a mistake, as Johnston was close to the Vander Zalm legacy; even NDP leader Mike Harcourt admitted later that he preferred Johnston over McCarthy, as the latter would be a much tougher opponent in an election.

Campaign

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Johnston had little time to make up ground in the polls or distance herself from the now-detested Vander Zalm. Additionally, the Socreds were still bitterly divided over the bruising leadership contest. The NDP went into the elections as heavy favourites after leading in opinion polls for almost four years.

The Liberals, who had not been represented in the legislature since 1979, gained slightly in the polls due to great resentment against the ruling Socreds and skepticism towards the NDP. A turning point came when Wilson successfully took legal action to be included in the televised leaders' debate, which took place on 8 October. During the debate Johnston and Harcourt exchanged many bitter attacks, while Wilson, still not considered a serious contender, was able to successfully portray himself as an "outsider" who was above the partisan bickering of the other two parties. Liberal support surged dramatically as a result of Wilson's performance. One of the memorable moments of the debate came as Harcourt and Johnston argued loudly amongst each other, when Wilson pointed towards them and declared, "Here's a classic example of why nothing ever gets done in the province of British Columbia."[4]

Opinion polls

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Last day
of poll 		New Democratic Liberal Social Credit Others Pollster Sample Margin Source
Results 40.7 33.3 24.1 1.9
10 October 1991 38 30 29 3 Angus Reid 1,004 ± 3,1 [5]
25 September 1991 48
(39) 		11
(9) 		39
(32) 		2
(2) 		— — — [6]
15 July 1990 47 8 36 9 Angus Reid 801 ± 3,5 [7]
21 January 1990 49 — 43 — Angus Reid 470 ± 4,2 [8]
25 April 1989 53 10 32 5 Angus Reid 807 ± 3,5 [9]
20 April 1989 48 11 35 6 Marktrend — — [9]
4 November 1988 43 18 34 5 Marktrend — — [9]
1 October 1988 41 — 23 — Goldfarb 1,000 ± 3,0 [10]
29 November 1987 46
(31) 		6
(4) 		40
(27) 		7
(5) 		— 475 ± 4,5 [11]
1986 Elections 42.6 6.7 49.3 1.4

Riding-specific polls

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Oak Bay-Gordon Head by-election

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Evolution of voting intentions at provincial level
Polling firm Last day
of survey 		Source BCNDP BCLP BCSC Other ME Sample
By-election 1989 December 13, 1989 45.26 43.68 9.11 1.94
Angus Reid December 1989 [12] 52 38 — — — —
Angus Reid December 1989 [13] 45 41 — — — 400
McIntyre & Mustel December 7, 1989 [14] 49 44 4 — 5.0 350
Election 1986 December 13, 1989 35.91 52.50 2.38 9.21

Results

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The Socreds were swept from power in a massive NDP landslide. This was not due to the NDP winning a higher percentage of the vote as much as it was due to Socred support collapsing in favour of the BC Liberals, splitting the vote. The defeat was magnified by moderate Socred supporters voting Liberal, continuing a shift that dated to early in Vander Zalm's tenure. The combined effect was to decimate the Socred caucus, which was reduced from 47 members to only seven—only three over the minimum for official party status. Johnston herself lost her own seat in Surrey-Newton to NDP challenger Penny Priddy, and all but five members of her cabinet were defeated.

The Liberals returned to the legislature as the official opposition after a 12-year absence, replacing Social Credit as the main alternative to the NDP in the province.

Party Party leader # of
candidates 		Seats Popular vote
1986 Elected % Change # % % Change
  New Democrats Michael Harcourt 75 22 51 +131.8% 595,391 40.71% -1.89%
Liberal Gordon Wilson 71 - 17   486,208 33.25% +26.51%
Social Credit Rita Johnston 74 47 7 -85.1% 351,660 24.27% -25.27%
Green   42 - - - 12,650 0.86% +0.62%
  Independents 16 - - - 10,281 0.70% +0.57%
Reform Ron Gamble 4 * - * 2,673 0.18% *
Family Coalition   8 * - * 1,310 0.09% *
  Libertarian   11 - - - 860 0.06% +0.04%
  Western Canada Concept Doug Christie 5 - - - 651 0.04% +0.02%
  Conservative Peter B. Macdonald[15] 4 - - - 426 0.03% -0.70%
  Human Race   2 * - * 110 0.01% *
  Green Go (Green Wing/Rhino)   1 * - * 93 0.01% *
  Communist League   3 - - - 92 0.01% -0.02%
  Interdependence Party   1 * - * 62 x *
Total 317 69 75 +8.7% 1,462,467 100%  
Source: Elections BC

Notes: x - less than 0.005% of the popular vote.

* Party did not nominate candidates in the previous election.

Popular vote
NDP
 
 40.71%
Liberal
 
 33.25%
Social Credit
 
 24.05%
Others
 
 1.99%
Seats summary
NDP
 
 68.00%
Liberal
 
 22.67%
Social Credit
 
 9.33%

Legacy

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This was considered a political realignment due to the high turnover in MLAs and the effective end of the Socreds as a political force. The party was completely shut out of the legislature in the 1996 election, never to return. Meanwhile, the Liberals replaced them as the main non-socialist party in British Columbia. The NDP and Liberals would go on to be the two main parties in the province until 2024, when the Liberals, who by then had renamed themselves BC United, withdrew from that year's general election and endorsed the Conservative Party of British Columbia.

However, neither Harcourt, Wilson, or Johnston would contest the subsequent 1996 election as leaders of the major parties, with Johnston and Harcourt having retired from politics by that campaign. Johnston, having lost her seat, resigned the leadership of the Socreds immediately in early 1992. Harcourt resigned as premier in 1996 due to a scandal among the MLAs in his caucus. Wilson proved unable to consolidate the party's leadership due to inexperience and he was eventually deposed in 1993, and he crossed to the NDP in 1997 after a brief spell as founder, leader and sole MLA of the Progressive Democratic Alliance. He served as an MLA and minister until his defeat in 2001. Wilson was also a candidate for the NDP's leadership in 2000, won by Ujjal Dosanjh.

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "B.C. Voter Participation: 1983 to 2013" (PDF). Elections BC. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 28, 2019. Retrieved May 11, 2017.
  2. ^ "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on October 9, 2007. Retrieved April 5, 2008.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  3. ^ "Elections BC - SOV91 Forword". Archived from the original on October 4, 2007. Retrieved February 2, 2008.
  4. ^ "Gordon Wilson's debate triumph in B.C." CBC News Archives. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. October 8, 1991. Retrieved October 25, 2016.
  5. ^ Tom Barrett (October 12, 1991). "Liberals leap into second, poll suggests: Socreds overtaken by narrow margin; NDP still in the lead". Vancouver Star. p. A1.
  6. ^ The Canadian Press (September 28, 1991). "Poll shows NDP lead on decline". Vancouver Star. p. B13.
  7. ^ The Canadian Press (July 29, 1990). "NDP lead widening in B.C., poll finds". Toronto Star. p. A15.
  8. ^ The Canadian Press (January 21, 1990). "Vander Zalm gets boost, poll finds". Toronto Star. p. A15.
  9. ^ a b c Chris Rose (May 2, 1989). "Harcourt, NDP sweep voter poll: 53 per cent would vote for party to oust Socreds". Vancouver Sun. p. A1.
  10. ^ The Canadian Press (October 19, 1988). "Most in B.C. see Vander Zalm as liability to party, poll shows". Toronto Star. p. A18.
  11. ^ The Canadian Press (November 29, 1987). "Majority unhappy with Vander Zalm B.C. poll finds". Toronto Star. p. A12.
  12. ^ Kieran, Brian (December 12, 1989). "Political pundits pick the NDP, 7 to 5". The Province. p. 6.
  13. ^ Hume, Mark (December 9, 1989). "Poll shows close race in Oak Bay: Generation, gender gaps split conservative riding". The Vancouver Sun. p. A1.
  14. ^ Hauka, Don (December 8, 1989). "Neck and neck in Oak Bay". The Province. p. 1.
  15. ^ Macdonald was not eligible to run as a candidate in 1991. He moved to Canada at the age of 10 and only discovered during the election campaign that he was a British subject and had never obtained his Canadian citizenship. (Matas, Robert, "B.C. Tory leader ineligible for election He discovered just two weeks ago that he isn't a Canadian citizen", Globe and Mail, October 2, 1991

Further reading

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