2019 Bremen state election
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All 84 seats of the Bürgerschaft of Bremen 43 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 1,469,506 (64.1%) 13.9% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2019 Bremen state election was held on 26 May 2019 to elect the members of the Bürgerschaft of Bremen, as well as the city councils of Bremen and Bremerhaven. The election took place on the same day as the 2019 European Parliament election.[1][2][3]
The opposition Christian Democratic Union (CDU) became the largest party in the Bürgerschaft, while the Social Democratic Party (SPD) fell to second place. The Greens and The Left also recorded small upswings.
Despite winning a narrow plurality, the CDU was opposed by a left-wing majority in the Bürgerschaft. Incumbent Mayor Carsten Sieling resigned after the election, and was succeeded by fellow SPD member Andreas Bovenschulte, who formed a three-party coalition government between the SPD, Greens, and Left. This was the first time that The Left had been involved in a government in western Germany.[4][5]
Parties
[edit]The table below lists parties represented in the previous Bürgerschaft of Bremen.
Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2015 result | 2019 seats | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | Seats | ||||||
SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands |
Social democracy | Carsten Sieling | 32.8% | 30 / 83
|
31 / 83
| ||
CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands |
Christian democracy | Carsten Meyer-Heder | 22.4% | 20 / 83
|
20 / 83
| ||
Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Bündnis 90/Die Grünen |
Green politics | Maike Schaefer | 15.1% | 14 / 83
|
12 / 83
| ||
Linke | The Left Die Linke |
Democratic socialism | Kristina Vogt | 9.5% | 8 / 83
|
8 / 83
| ||
FDP | Free Democratic Party Freie Demokratische Partei |
Classical liberalism | Lencke Wischhusen | 6.6% | 6 / 83
|
6 / 83
| ||
AfD | Alternative for Germany Alternative für Deutschland |
German nationalism Right-wing populism |
Frank Magnitz | 5.5% | 4 / 83
|
1 / 83
| ||
BiW | Citizens in Rage Bürger in Wut |
Right-wing populism | Hinrich Lührssen | 3.2% | 1 / 83
|
3 / 83
|
Opinion polls
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | Linke | FDP | AfD | Others | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019 state election | 26 May 2019 | – | 24.9 | 26.7 | 17.4 | 11.3 | 5.9 | 6.1 | 7.7 | 1.8 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20–23 May 2019 | 1,664 | 24.5 | 26 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 7.5 | 1.5 |
INSA | 15–20 May 2019 | 1,000 | 23 | 28 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13–15 May 2019 | 1,021 | 24.5 | 26 | 18 | 12 | 5.5 | 8 | 6 | 1.5 |
Infratest dimap | 13–15 May 2019 | 1,007 | 24 | 27 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
Infratest dimap | 25 Apr–2 May 2019 | 1,000 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 |
INSA | 22 Mar–1 Apr 2019 | 1,000 | 25 | 25 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 6 | Tie |
Infratest dimap | 24–30 Jan 2019 | 1,000 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1 |
FGW Telefonfeld | 20–23 Aug 2018 | 1,015 | 26 | 26 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 3 | Tie |
pollytix | 22 Jun–2 Jul 2018 | 1,000 | 28 | 24 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 4 |
INSA | 14–18 May 2018 | 1,003 | 22 | 24 | 14 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 2 |
Infratest dimap | 13–18 Apr 2018 | 1,002 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 2 |
2017 federal election | 24 Sep 2017 | – | 26.8 | 25.1 | 11.1 | 13.1 | 9.3 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 1.7 |
Infratest dimap | 9–14 Jan 2017 | 1,003 | 29 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 5 |
Infratest dimap | 26 Apr–2 May 2016 | 1,000 | 29 | 22 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 7 |
2015 state election | 10 May 2015 | – | 32.8 | 22.4 | 15.1 | 9.5 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 8.0 | 10.4 |
Mayor polling
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | None/Unsure | Lead | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sieling SPD |
Meyer-Heder CDU | ||||
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26 May 2019 | 45 | 34 | - | 11 |
Infratest dimap | 26 May 2019 | 42 | 36 | - | 6 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23 May 2019 | 43 | 31 | 26 | 12 |
Infratest dimap | 16 May 2019 | 42 | 28 | 17 | 14 |
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16 May 2019 | 42 | 29 | 29 | 13 |
Infratest dimap Archived 2019-05-09 at the Wayback Machine | 7 May 2019 | 39 | 31 | 18 | 8 |
Preferred coalition
[edit]Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Assessment | SPD Grüne |
SPD Grüne Linke |
CDU Grüne |
SPD CDU |
CDU Grüne FDP |
SPD Grüne FDP | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | May 2019 | Positive | 41 | 39 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 20 | |||||||||
Negative | 57 | 59 | 68 | 70 | 71 | 76 |
Election result
[edit]Party | Votes | % | +/- | Seats | Total seats |
+/- | Seats % | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bremen | Bremerhaven | |||||||||
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) | 391,709 | 26.7 | 4.3 | 20 | 4 | 24 | 4 | 28.6 | ||
Social Democratic Party (SPD) | 366,375 | 24.9 | 7.9 | 19 | 4 | 23 | 7 | 27.4 | ||
Alliance 90/The Greens (Grüne) | 256,181 | 17.4 | 2.3 | 13 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 19.0 | ||
The Left (Linke) | 166,378 | 11.3 | 1.8 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 11.9 | ||
Alternative for Germany (AfD) | 89,939 | 6.1 | 0.6 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6.0 | ||
Free Democratic Party (FDP) | 87,420 | 5.9 | 0.7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6.0 | ||
Citizens in Rage (BiW) | 35,808 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | ||
Die PARTEI (PARTEI) | 24,433 | 1.7 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ±0 | 0 | ||
Free Voters (FW) | 14,205 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ±0 | 0 | ||
Pirate Party Germany (Piraten) | 14,143 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ±0 | 0 | ||
Party of Humanists (Humanists) | 6,655 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ±0 | 0 | ||
Basic Income Alliance (BGE) | 5,970 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ±0 | 0 | ||
V-Partei³ (V³) | 4,277 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ±0 | 0 | ||
Welcome to Reality (WIR) | 2,821 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ±0 | 0 | ||
Human World (MW) | 2,565 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ±0 | 0 | ||
The Right (Right) | 627 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ±0 | 0 | ||
Total | 1,469,506 | 100.0 | 69 | 15 | 84 | 1 | ||||
Voter turnout | 64.1 | 13.9 |
Demographic subgroup | CDU | SPD | Grüne | Linke | AfD | FDP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total vote | 27 | 25 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 6 |
Gender | ||||||
Men | 26 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 6 |
Women | 24 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 5 |
Education | ||||||
lower Education | 25 | 39 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
higher Education | 24 | 19 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 6 |
Election decision (as % of their voters) | ||||||
Disappointment | 38 | 21 | 24 | 28 | 54 | 37 |
Conviction | 55 | 69 | 71 | 64 | 42 | 57 |
Others | ||||||
Last-Minute-Decision | 22 | 25 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 7 |
First-time-Voter | 11 | 15 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 10 |
References
[edit]- ^ "Bürgerschaftswahl 2019 in Bremen: Die wichtigsten Fakten im Überblick". www.merkur.de (in German). 2019-04-05. Retrieved 2019-05-05.
- ^ "Bürgerschaftswahl 2019 in Bremen: Fragen und Antworten zur Wahl in Bremen". handelsblatt.com (in German). Retrieved 2019-05-05.
- ^ "Bürgerschaftswahl 2019 - Wahlen zur Bremischen Bürgerschaft". landesportal.bremen.de (in German). Retrieved 2019-05-05.
- ^ "Bremen: So tickt Andreas Bovenschulte (SPD)". Die Welt. 8 July 2019 – via www.welt.de.
- ^ "Bremer SPD schließt Koalition mit CDU aus - buten un binnen". www.butenunbinnen.de. Archived from the original on 2019-05-26. Retrieved 2019-05-31.
- ^ "Tagesschau.de".