Search Results

Understanding fundamentalist belief through Bayesian updating,
Srijit Mishra, from Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India (2002)
Keywords: Bayesian updating, fundamentalist belief, interaction, variation

Multiperiod Health Insurance Contracts & Bayesian Updating of Beliefs,
Mouhamadou Fall and Anne Lavigne, from Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans (2006)
Keywords: Multiperiod, Health, Insurance, Contracts, Bayesian, Updating, Beliefs

Subjective probability, confidence, and Bayesian updating,
Igor Kopylov, in Economic Theory (2016)
Keywords: Ambiguity, Bayesian updating, Dynamic consistency, Confidence, Multiple priors, Epsilon contamination

Subjective Contingencies and Limited Bayesian Updating,
Stefania Minardi and Andrei Savochkin, from HAL (2017)
Keywords: understanding of uncertainty,subjective state space,non-Bayesian updating

Subjective Contingencies and Limited Bayesian Updating,
Stefania Minardi and Andrei Savochkin, from HEC Paris (2017)
Keywords: understanding of uncertainty; subjective state space; non-Bayesian updating

Separating Bayesian Updating from Non-Probabilistic Reasoning: An Experimental Investigation,
Dan Levin, James Peck and Asen Ivanov, from Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance (2015)
Keywords: Bayesian updating, Non-probabilistic reasoning, Dutch auction

Optimal two-stage ordering policy with Bayesian information updating,
Choi T-M, D Li and H Yan, in Journal of the Operational Research Society (2003)
Keywords: inventory control, Bayesian information updating, dynamic programming

What drives updates of inflation expectations? A Bayesian VAR analysis for the G-7 countries,
Ansgar Belke, Joscha Beckmann and Irina Dubova, from Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association (2018)
Keywords: Bayesian VAR, expectations, inflation, survey data, updating

A Linear Bayesian Updating Model for Probabilistic Spatial Classification,
Xiang Huang and Zhizhong Wang, in Challenges (2016)
Keywords: expert opinions; linear Bayesian updating; spatial classification; transition probabilities

Consensus in Communication Networks under Bayesian Updating,
Antonio Jimenez-Martinez, from CIDE, División de Economía (2012)
Keywords: Communication networks, Bayesian updating, private signals, private messages, consensus.

Dense Orbits of the Bayesian Updating Group Action,
Ziv Hellman and Yehuda Levy, from Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics (2020)
Keywords: Bayesian updating, group actions, descriptive set theory, repeated games.

Non-Bayesian updating: A theoretical framework,
, G., , and ,, in Theoretical Economics (2008)
Keywords: Non-Bayesian updating, temptation and self-control, overreaction, underreaction, learning, law of small numbers

Subjective contingencies and limited Bayesian updating,
Stefania Minardi and Andrei Savochkin, in Journal of Economic Theory (2019)
Keywords: Understanding of uncertainty; Subjective state space; Non-Bayesian updating; Confirmatory bias; Correlation neglect; Robust contracts;

Bayesianism without Learning,
Dov Samet, from University Library of Munich, Germany (1999)
Keywords: Bayesian updating, prior and posterior

When Optimal Choices Feel Wrong: A Laboratory Study of Bayesian Updating, Complexity, and Affect,
Gary Charness and Dan Levin, from Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara (2003)
Keywords: Bayesian updating, Reinforcement; Affect; Experimental economics

Non-Bayesian Updating: A Theoretical Framework,
Larry Epstein and Alvaro Sandroni, from University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER) (2003)
Keywords: non-Bayesian updating, overreaction, underreaction, confirmatory bias, law of small numbers, gambler's fallacy, hot hand fallacy, temptation, self-control, learning, menus

Life cycle reliability assessment of new products—A Bayesian model updating approach,
Weiwen Peng, Hong-Zhong Huang, Yanfeng Li, Ming J. Zuo and Min Xie, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2013)
Keywords: Bayesian reliability; Reliability assessment; Model updating; Product life cycle;

Part-Time Bayesians: Incentives and Behavioral Heterogeneity in Belief Updating,
Carlos Alós-Ferrer and Michele Garagnani, in Management Science (2023)
Keywords: Bayesian updating, incentives, reinforcement, heterogeneity, finite mixture models, machine learning

A Monte Carlo simulation for the assessment of Bayesian updating in dynamic systems,
Antonis Targoutzidis, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2012)
Keywords: Bayesian updating; Monte Carlo; Failure probability; Complexity; Dynamic;

Demand Forecasting in the Early Stage of the Technology's Life Cycle Using Bayesian update,
Chul-Yong Lee and Jongsu Lee, from Seoul National University; Technology Management, Economics, and Policy Program (TEMEP) (2009)
Keywords: demand forecasting, conjoint analysis, Bayesian update, telematics service

General Bayesian updating and the loss-likelihood bootstrap,
S P Lyddon, C C Holmes and S G Walker, in Biometrika (2019)
Keywords: Bayesian bootstrap, Fisher information, General Bayesian updating, Loss function, Loss-likelihood bootstrap, Model misspecification, Weighted likelihood bootstrap

Dense Orbits of the Bayesian Updating Group Action,
Ziv Hellman and Yehuda John Levy, in Mathematics of Operations Research (2022)
Keywords: Primary: 37B20, 91A26, Bayesian updating, group actions, descriptive set theory, repeated games

Efficient Bayesian model updating for dynamic systems,
Yushan Liu, Luyi Li and Zeming Chang, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2023)
Keywords: Bayesian updating; Principal component analysis (PCA); Model calibration; Kriging model; Uncertainty analysis;

Paying is believing: The effect of costly information on Bayesian updating,
Pedro Robalo and Rei Sayag, in Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2018)
Keywords: Information; Bayesian updating; Decision making under risk; Sunk cost; Heuristics and biases;

Bayesian Updating for Complementarily Additive Beliefs under Ambiguity,
Mayumi Horie, from Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research (2016)
Keywords: ambiguous belief, Bayesian update rule, multiple priors, non-additive measure, subjective probability, biseparable preference

An Axiomatic Model of Non-Bayesian Updating,
Larry Epstein, from University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER) (2005)
Keywords: Bayes' Rule, non-Bayesian updating, asset price volatility, no-trade theorems, agreeing to bet, common knowledge, temptation, self-control, conservatism, representativeness, overconfidence

An Axiomatic Model of Non-Bayesian Updating,
Larry Epstein, from University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER) (2005)
Keywords: Bayes' Rule, non-Bayesian updating, asset price volatility, no-trade theorems, agreeing to bet, common knowledge, temptation, self-control, conservatism, representativeness, overconfidence

How Peer Influence Affects Attribute Preferences: A Bayesian Updating Mechanism,
Vishal Narayan, Vithala R. Rao and Carolyne Saunders, in Marketing Science (2011)
Keywords: preference revision, Bayesian updating, attribute preference uncertainty, social networks, social influence, conjoint analysis, Bayesian estimation

Bayesian updating with adaptive, uncertainty-informed subset simulations: High-fidelity updating with multiple observations,
Zeyu Wang and Abdollah Shafieezadeh, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2023)
Keywords: Bayesian updating; Bayesian Inference; Calibration; Reliability Analysis; Kriging; Markov Chain Monte Carlo; Subset simulation;

A two-period newsvendor model for prepositioning with a post-disaster replenishment using Bayesian demand update,
T. Devi Prasad Patra and J.K. Jha, in Socio-Economic Planning Sciences (2021)
Keywords: Prepositioning; Bayesian demand update; Newsvendor model; Stocking policy;

Bayesian updating of reliability of civil infrastructure facilities based on condition-state data and fault-tree model,
Jianye Ching and Sou-Sen Leu, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2009)
Keywords: Reliability; Civil infrastructure; Life-cycle analysis; Bayesian update; Inspection;

Bayesian updating of solar panel fragility curves and implications of higher panel strength for solar generation resilience,
Luis Ceferino, Ning Lin and Dazhi Xi, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2023)
Keywords: Solar panels; Fragility functions; Hurricane hazards; Bayesian update; Structural reliability;

On a diversity of perspectives and world views: Learning under Bayesian vis-á-vis DeGroot updating,
Aniruddha Ghosh and M. Khan, in Economics Letters (2021)
Keywords: Bayesian updating; DeGroot’s consensus; Learning; Models; Oracles;

Revising Seismic Vulnerability of Bridges Based on Bayesian Updating Method to Evaluate Traffic Capacity of Bridges,
Wei Wang, Fengying Wu and Ziyi Wang, in Sustainability (2020)
Keywords: seismic vulnerability; bridge structure; Bayesian updating method; traffic capacity

Regular updating,
Alain Chateauneuf, Thibault Gajdos and Jean-Yves Jaffray, in Theory and Decision (2011)
Keywords: Convex capacities, $${\varepsilon}$$ -contamination, Updating, Full Bayesian updating rule, Regular updating,

A Bayesian model updating approach for detection-related problems in water distribution networks,
H.A. Jensen and D.J. Jerez, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2019)
Keywords: Bayesian model updating; Large scale water distribution systems; Leakage detection; Model class selection;

Valuing the Cultural Monuments of Armenia: Bayesian Updating of Prior Beliefs in Contingent Valuation,
Anna Alberini and Alberto Longo, from Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (2007)
Keywords: Valuation of Cultural Heritage Sites, Non-Market Valuation, Contingent Valuation, Bayesian Updating, Prior Beliefs

Optimal Ordering Policy for Retailers with Bayesian Information Updating in a Presale System,
Jinxian Quan and Sung-Won Cho, in Sustainability (2021)
Keywords: e-commerce; presale system; ordering policy for retailers; bayesian information update; two-period inventory allocation model

Bayesian sequential update for monitoring and control of high-dimensional processes,
Sangahn Kim and Mehmet Turkoz, in Annals of Operations Research (2022)
Keywords: Bayesian sequential update, High-dimensional process, Statistical process monitoring, Variable selection

Conflict resolution through mutuality: Lessons from Bayesian updating,
Srijit Mishra, from Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India (2011)
Keywords: Bayesian updating, belief polarization, conflict resolution, fundamentalist belief, interaction, mutual respect, reasonable pluralism

Reverse Bayesianism: Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events,
Eugenio Proto, Christoph Becker, Tigran Melkonyan, Andis Sofianos and Stefan Trautmann, from C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers (2020)
Keywords: Reverse bayesianism; Unforeseen; Unawareness; Bayesian updating

Reverse Bayesianism: Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events,
Christoph K. Becker, Tigran Melkonyan, Eugenio Proto, Andis Sofianos and Stefan Trautmann, from CESifo (2020)
Keywords: reverse Bayesianism, unforeseen, unawareness, Bayesian updating

Reverse Bayesianism: Revising Beliefs in Light of Unforeseen Events,
Christoph K. Becker, Tigran Melkonyan, Eugenio Proto, Andis Sofianos and Stefan Trautmann, from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2020)
Keywords: reverse Bayesianism, unforeseen, unawareness, Bayesian Updating

Updating preferences with multiple priors,
, and ,, in Theoretical Economics (2007)
Keywords: Updating, dynamic consistency, ambiguity, Ellsberg, Bayesian, consequentialism

Learning and Bayesian updating in long cycle made-to-order (MTO) production,
Norman Womer, H. Li, J. Camm, C. Osterman and R. Radhakrishnan, in Omega (2017)
Keywords: Made-to-order; Project management; Production planning; Learning; Stochastic dynamic programming; Nonlinear programming; Incomplete information process; Bayesian updating;

Modelling Biased Judgement with Weighted Updating,
Jesse Zinn, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2013)
Keywords: Bayesian Updating, Cognative Biases, Learning, Uncertainty

Anodal transcranial direct current stimulation over the right dorsolateral prefrontal cortex: Less risk taking or more reflective? A tDCS study based on a Bayesian-updating task,
Daqiang Huang, Yuzhen Li and Jiahui Li, in Journal of Economic Psychology (2023)
Keywords: tDCS; DLPFC; Inhibition; Bayesian updating; Reinforcement heuristic; Risk preference;

Pathwise concentration bounds for Bayesian beliefs,
Drew Fudenberg, Giacomo Lanzani and Philipp Strack, in Theoretical Economics (2023)
Keywords: Learning, misspecification, Bayesian updating, consistency, concentration of beliefs

A sequential multi-prior integration and updating method for complex multi-level system based on Bayesian melding method,
Yingchun Xu, Xiaohu Zheng, Wen Yao, Ning Wang and Xiaoqian Chen, in Journal of Risk and Reliability (2021)
Keywords: Bayesian melding method; Kullback-Leibler Divergence; multi-prior integration and updating; multi-level system structure

Information management for estimating system reliability using imprecise probabilities and precise Bayesian updating,
J.M. Aughenbaugh and J.W. Herrmann, in International Journal of Reliability and Safety (2009)
Keywords: reliability assessment; imprecise probabilities; information management; system reliability; precise Bayesian updating; engineering design; component reliability data.

Implementation of an adaptive meta-model for Bayesian finite element model updating in time domain,
H.A. Jensen, C. Esse, V. Araya and C. Papadimitriou, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2017)
Keywords: Advanced simulation methods; Bayesian model updating; Kriging approximation; Reduced-order models; Transitional Markov chain Monte Carlo;

An efficient analytical Bayesian method for reliability and system response updating based on Laplace and inverse first-order reliability computations,
Xuefei Guan, Jingjing He, Ratneshwar Jha and Yongming Liu, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2012)
Keywords: Reliability updating; Bayesian; First-order reliability method; FORM; Inverse reliability method; Inverse FORM; Laplace;

An effective implementation of reliability methods for Bayesian model updating of structural dynamic models with multiple uncertain parameters,
D.J. Jerez, H.A. Jensen and M. Beer, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2022)
Keywords: Bayesian analysis; Identification; Markov chain Monte Carlo; Model updating; Reliability analysis; Structural dynamics; Subset simulation;

Individual and Group Decision Making Under Risk: An Experimental Study of Bayesian Updating and Violations of First-order Stochastic Dominance,
Gary Charness and Edi Karni, from Department of Economics, UC Santa Barbara (2007)
Keywords: Decision making under risk, group decisions, Bayesian updating, first-order stochastic dominance.

Bayesian Updates for an Extreme Value Distribution Model of Bridge Traffic Load Effect Based on SHM Data,
Xin Gao, Gengxin Duan and Chunguang Lan, in Sustainability (2021)
Keywords: Bayesian updates; bridge; extreme value distribution; traffic load effect; structural health monitoring

Individual and group decision making under risk: An experimental study of Bayesian updating and violations of first-order stochastic dominance,
Gary Charness, Edi Karni and Dan Levin, in Journal of Risk and Uncertainty (2007)
Keywords: Decision making under risk, Group decisions, Bayesian updating, First-order stochastic dominance, D80, C91, C92,

Demand Forecasting in the Early Stage of the Technology’s Life Cycle Using a Bayesian Update,
Chul-Yong Lee and Min-Kyu Lee, in Sustainability (2017)
Keywords: demand forecasting; conjoint analysis; Bayesian update; broadband internet service; hazard rate model

Updating of moments,
Klaus Pötzelberger, in Journal of Multivariate Analysis (1990)
Keywords: updating of moments exponential families Bayesian analysis characterization of distributions

Belief updating under ambiguity: A numerical simulation analysis,
Zhenxing Huang, Wengang Li and Jia Yang, in Economics Letters (2023)
Keywords: Bayesian updating; Gilboa and Schmeidler (GS) updating; Dempster–Shafer (DS) updating; Information;

Alternatives to Bayesian Updating,
Pietro Ortoleva, in Annual Review of Economics (2024)
Keywords: hypothesis testing, cognitive noise, conservatism, non-Bayesian behavior, Bayes’ rule, base-rate neglect

Fishermen's location choice under spatio-temporal update of expectations,
Barbara Hutniczak and Angela Münch, in Journal of choice modelling (2018)
Keywords: Bayesian updating; Location choice; Spatio-temporal data;

Bayesian entropy network for fusion of different types of information,
Yuhao Wang and Yongming Liu, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2020)
Keywords: Bayesian network; Maximum entropy; Probability; Updating; Classification;

A three-state recursive sequential Bayesian algorithm for biosurveillance,
K.D. Zamba, Panagiotis Tsiamyrtzis and Douglas M. Hawkins, in Computational Statistics & Data Analysis (2013)
Keywords: Bayesian sequential update; Dynamic control; Syndromic surveillance;

Bayesian Social Learning from Consumer Reviews,
Bar Ifrach, Costis Maglaras, Marco Scarsini and Anna Zseleva, in Operations Research (2019)
Keywords: social learning; Bayesian update; reviews; optimal pricing

Updating Choquet Beliefs,
Jürgen Eichberger, Simon Grant and David Kelsey, from University of Exeter, Department of Economics (2006)
Keywords: updating ambiguous beliefs, Full Bayesian Updating, Choquet Expected Utility, optimism, pessimism, recursive preferences.

Bayesian optimism,
Nick Saponara, in Economic Theory (2018)
Keywords: Optimism, Non-Bayesian updating, Motivated reasoning, Subjective information

Fast or Rational? A Response-Times Study of Bayesian Updating,
Anja Achtziger and Carlos Alós-Ferrer, in Management Science (2014)
Keywords: belief updating, dual processes, reinforcement, response times

Reexamination on updating Choquet beliefs,
Mayumi Horie, in Journal of Mathematical Economics (2013)
Keywords: Bayesian update; Capacity; Conditional preference; Choquet expected utility;

Expanding the Weighted Updating Model,
Jesse Zinn, in Economics Bulletin (2015)
Keywords: Bayesian Updating, Cognitive Biases, Heuristics, Learning, Risk, Uncertainty

A Rule For Updating Ambiguous Beliefs,
Cesaltina Pires, in Theory and Decision (2002)
Keywords: Ambiguous beliefs, Bayesian updating, Dynamic choice, Multiple priors, Uncertainty aversion,

Updating Ambiguity Averse Preferences,
Hanany Eran and Klibanoff Peter, in The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics (2009)
Keywords: updating, dynamic consistency, ambiguity, regret, Ellsberg, Bayesian, consequentialism, smooth ambiguity

Updating Ambiguity Averse Preferences,
Eran Hanany and Peter Klibanoff, from Northwestern University, Center for Mathematical Studies in Economics and Management Science (2008)
Keywords: Updating, Dynamic Consistency, Ambiguity, Regret, Ellsberg, Bayesian, Consequentialism, Smooth Ambiguity

Reexamination on Updating Choquet Beliefs,
Mayumi Horie, from Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research (2007)
Keywords: Bayesian update, capacity, conditional preference, Choquet expected utility

Improved Bayesian Model Updating Method for Frequency Response Function with Metrics Utilizing NHBFT-PCA,
Jinhui Li, Zhenhong Deng, Yong Tang, Siqi Wang, Zhe Yang, Huageng Luo, Wujun Feng and Baoqiang Zhang, in Mathematics (2024)
Keywords: uncertainty quantification; Bayesian model updating; principal component analysis (PCA); normalized half-power bandwidth frequency transformation (NHBFT); frequency response function (FRF)

Capturing cognitive causal paths in human reliability analysis with Bayesian network models,
Kilian Zwirglmaier, Daniel Straub and Katrina M. Groth, in Reliability Engineering and System Safety (2017)
Keywords: HRA; Bayesian networks; Bayesian updating; Cognitive factors; Causal paths;

Updating beliefs about variables given new information on how those variables relate,
Robert Bordley and Vicki Bier, in European Journal of Operational Research (2009)
Keywords: Probability updating Modeling Simulation Bayesian synthesis Bayesian melding Borel's Paradox

Ensemble updating of categorical state vectors,
Margrethe Kvale Loe and Håkon Tjelmeland, in Computational Statistics (2022)
Keywords: Bayesian statistics, Data assimilation, Ensemble updating, Markov chains

Non-Bayesian updating in a social learning experiment,
Roberta De Filippis, Antonio Guarino, Philippe Jehiel and Toru Kitagawa, in Journal of Economic Theory (2022)
Keywords: Ambiguous belief updating; Multiple priors; Social learning; Experiment;

Non-Bayesian updating in a social learning experiment,
Roberta de Filippis, Antonio Guarino, Philippe Jehiel and Toru Kitagawa, from HAL (2022)
Keywords: Ambiguous belief updating,Multiple priors,Social learning,Experiment

Non-Bayesian updating in a social learning experiment,
Roberta de Filippis, Antonio Guarino, Philippe Jehiel and Toru Kitagawa, from HAL (2022)
Keywords: Ambiguous belief updating,Multiple priors,Social learning,Experiment

Overconfidence by Bayesian-Rational Agents,
Eric Van den Steen, in Management Science (2011)
Keywords: overconfidence, decision analysis, risk, Bayesian updating, differing priors, heterogeneous priors

A Bayesian Model of Panic in Belief,
Carter Butts, in Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory (1998)
Keywords: panic, belief, social influence, social networks, Bayesian updating

On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models,
Gary Koop, Mohammad Pesaran and Ronald Smith, from CESifo (2011)
Keywords: Bayesian identification, DSGE models, posterior updating, New Keynesian Phillips Curve

On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models*,
Gary Koop, Mohammad Pesaran and Ronald Smith, from University of Strathclyde Business School, Department of Economics (2011)
Keywords: Bayesian identification, DSGE models, posterior updating, New Keynesian Phillips Curve.

On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models,
Gary Koop, Mohammad Pesaran and Ronald Smith, from Institute of Labor Economics (IZA) (2011)
Keywords: posterior updating, DSGE models, Bayesian identification, New Keynesian Phillips Curve

On Identification of Bayesian DSGE Models,
Gary Koop, Mohammad Pesaran and Ronald Smith, from Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge (2011)
Keywords: Bayesian identification, DSGE models, posterior updating, New Keynesian Phillips Curve.

Relative Maximum Likelihood updating of ambiguous beliefs,
Xiaoyu Cheng, in Journal of Mathematical Economics (2022)
Keywords: Ambiguity; Updating; Maximum likelihood; Full Bayesian; Contingent reasoning; Dynamic consistency;

Information-Theoretic Foundation for the Weighted Updating Model,
Jesse Zinn, in Review of Behavioral Economics (2019)
Keywords: Bayesian Updating, Cognitive Biases, Irrational Expectations, Learning, Uncertainty

Dynamic Adverse Selection and Belief Update in Credit Markets,
Kee-Youn Kang and Inkee Jang, from University Library of Munich, Germany (2020)
Keywords: Adverse selection, Bayesian learning, Debt contracts, Belief update

Comparing three ways to update Choquet beliefs,
Jürgen Eichberger, Simon Grant and David Kelsey, in Economics Letters (2010)
Keywords: Choquet Expected Utility Generalized Bayesian Updating Neo-additive capacity