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Dynamic Connectedness of UK Regional Property Prices

Nikolaos Antonakakis, Ioannis Chatziantoniou and Christos Floros

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In this study we examine the network topology of UK regional property prices using a dynamic measure of connectedness developed by Diebold and Yilmaz (2014) over the period 1973Q4-2014Q4. Our findings suggest that the transmission of inter-regional property returns shocks is an important source of regional property return fluctuations in the UK. The UK regions of South West, Outer South East, East Midlands and Northern Ireland seem to be the dominant transmitters of property returns shocks throughout our sample period. Moreover, the results indicate that regional housing markets in the UK are highly interconnected and extreme-economic-event dependent. In addition, the dynamic framework of our analysis provides further insights regarding the ripple effect, while, emphasis is also placed on the fact that London may also act as a net recipient of shocks from other regions. Findings are important for policy makers purporting to alleviate regional imbalances and achieve balanced growth, as well as, investors who formulate portfolio diversification strategies. Our results exhibit robustness to a series of tests.

Keywords: UK; Housing; Market; Connectedness; Vector; Autoregression; Variance; Decomposition; Ripple; Effect (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 G10 G20 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015-12-17
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eur and nep-ure
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