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Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data. (2004). Fair, Ray.
In: Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers.
RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1496.

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  1. [1] Brams, StevenJ., andMortonD.Davis, 1974, The3/2sRuleinPresidential Campaigning, The American Political Science Review, 68 (March), 113134.
    Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now

  2. [2] Kaplan, Edward H., and Arnold Barnett, 2003, A New Approach to Estimating the Probability of Winning the Presidency, Operations Research, 51 (January/February), 32-4.

  3. [3] Manski, Charles F., 2004, Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets, February.

  4. [4] Snyder, James M., 1989, Election Goals and the Allocation of Campaign Resources, Econometrica, 57 (May), 637-660.

  5. [5] Strömberg, David, 2002, Optimal Campaigning in Presidential Elections: The Probability of Being Florida, Seminar Paper No. 706, Institute for International Economic Studies, Stockholm University.

  6. [6] Wolfers, Justin, and Eric Zitzewitz, 2004a, Prediction Markets, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18 (Spring), 107-126.

  7. [7] Wolfers, Justin, andEricZitzewitz, 2004b, UsingMarketstoInformPolicy: The Case of the Iraq War, June.

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  40. Predicting Electoral College Victory Probabilities from State Probability Data. (2004). Fair, Ray.
    In: Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:cwl:cwldpp:1496.

    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

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