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Agent-Based Modeling of the Prediction Markets. (2011). Yu, Tongkui ; Chen, Shu-Heng.
In: ASSRU Discussion Papers.
RePEc:trn:utwpas:1119.

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  1. 1. Wolfers J., Zitzewitz E.: Prediction Markets. J. Econ. Perspect. 18(2), 107-126 (2004) For example, as one of the referees has correctly pointed out that our zero-intelligence design means that an agent that believes the share is worth 0.5 is equally likely not to sell it for 0.6 or 0.9. Tongkui Yu, Shu-Heng Chen 2. Arrow K. J., Forsythe R., Gorham M., et al.: The Promise of Prediction Markets. Science. 320, 877-878 (2008) 3. Forsythe R., Nelson F., Neumann G., Wright J.: Anatomy of an Experimental Political Stock Market. Am. Econ. Rev. 82(5), 1142-1161 (1992) 4. Manski C. F.: Interpreting the Predictions of Prediction Markets. Econ. Lett. 91(3), 425-429 (2006) 5. Wolfers J., Zitzewitz E.: Five Open Questions About Prediction Markets. In: R.

  2. NBER Working Paper No. 10359 (2005) 7. Snowberg E., Wolfers J.: Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or Misperceptions? J. Polit. Econ. 118(4), 723-746 (2010) 8. Gode D., Sunder S.: Allocative Eïciency of Markets with Zero-Intelligence Traders: Market as a Partial Substitute for Individual Rationality. J. of Polit. Econ. 101(1), 119-137 (1993) 9. Othman A.: Zero-intelligence Agents in Prediction Markets. In: Proceedings of AAMAS 2008, pp. 879-886 (2008) 10. Schelling T (1971) Dynamic models of segregation. Journal of Mathematical Sociology 1:143-186.

  3. W. Hahn (eds.) Information Markets: A New Way of Making Decisions. AEI Press (2008) 6. Wolfers J., Zitzewitz E.: Interpreting Prediction Market Prices as Probabilities.

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    In: ASSRU Discussion Papers.
    RePEc:trn:utwpas:1119.

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  21. Consumer Confidence and Elections. (2007). Thomakos, Dimitrios.
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  22. Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin.
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  23. Prediction Markets in Theory and Practice. (2006). Zitzewitz, Eric ; Wolfers, Justin.
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  24. The effect of malicious manipulations on prediction market accuracy. (). Obrien, Fergal ; Buckley, Patrick.
    In: Information Systems Frontiers.
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    Full description at Econpapers || Download paper

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