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nep-cis New Economics Papers
on Confederation of Independent States
Issue of 2024–12–16
six papers chosen by
Alexander Harin


  1. Fertility Intentions under the Shock Conditions: the Case of Russian Exodus By Vladimir Kozlov; Ekaterina Sokolova; Olga Veselovskaya; Daria Saitova
  2. Social capital development after migration: the role of employment, children and gender factors for Russian post-2022 migrants By Vladimir Kozlov; Ekaterina Sokolova; Olga Veselovskaya; Daria Saitova
  3. Risk Attitudes and Informal Employment in Ukraine By Thomas Dohmen; Melanie Khamis; Hartmut Lehmann; Norberto Pignatti
  4. The rise of mega-regions: Eurasia, the Indo-Pacific, and the transatlantic alliance in a reshaped world order By Paikin, Zachary; Toygür, Ilke; Quencez, Martin; Nagy, Stephen R.
  5. Modernization of the Public Governance System in the Age of Information Platforms : Monograph By Kud, Aleksandr
  6. Techno-economic Assessment of Wind Energy Storage Technologies via Decision-Making Modelling By Hasan Dinçer; Serhat Yüksel; Bijan Abadi

  1. By: Vladimir Kozlov (Leibniz-Institute for East and Southeast European Studies (IOS)); Ekaterina Sokolova (Eurasian Technological University Kazakhstan); Olga Veselovskaya (Eurasian Technological University Kazakhstan); Daria Saitova (Eurasian Technological University Kazakhstan.)
    Abstract: The paper is devoted to the fertility intentions of the migrants from Russia belonging to the recent wave of so called ‘Exodus’ caused by Russia’s invasion in Ukraine in 2022 and its social impact on Russian society. The authors use the disruption hypothesis and predict the drop in the fertility intentions of new-wave Russian migrants in comparison with the old- wave Russian migrants and stayers, matching and controlling for their socio-economic status. Although the new-wave migrants are in the active reproductive age, partnered and in many cases childless, the authors find a strong intention to the fertility postponement and even cancellation among them. The research is based on two on-line surveys organized in April – October 2023 via online social media and by the snowball method. The first survey provided authors with empirical data on old-wave and new-wave migrants, the second one – on stayers, who have close socio-economic characteristics to the migrants. As a result not only the lower birth intentions of the new-wave migrants was observed, but the positive effect on fertility intentions of the subjective income and willingness to stay in the host country. Especially it is obvious for the countries beyond the EU (mainly for post-Soviet and the Balkan ones). On the other hand for the countries of EU (welfare states) the fertility intentions are the highest
    Keywords: Fertility intensions, fertility among migrants, disruption, forced migration, Russian migrants
    JEL: D10 J13 J15 J18
    Date: 2023–10
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ost:wpaper:403
  2. By: Vladimir Kozlov (Leibniz-Institute for East and Southeast European Studies (IOS)); Ekaterina Sokolova (Eurasian Technological University Kazakhstan); Olga Veselovskaya (Eurasian Technological Universit Kazakhstan); Daria Saitova (Eurasian Technological Universit Kazakhstan)
    Abstract: A significant part of Russian migrants, who fled the country after February 2022, are qualified professionals, and almost half have moved with their partners and children. For them, the social capital required for integration in the host country is closely linked to family issues and daily routines. Defining social capital as a combination of relationships and attitudes, this study examines the role of employment, children, and gender in its development after migration. Empirical data were obtained from online surveys conducted among Russian migrants around the world, as well as among those who stayed in Russia. Quantitative analysis of the data shows that employment, children, and gender are related to the formation of migrants' social capital. In addition to the role of employment, we show that in migration women are more sociable and open to interaction, and having children widens their social circle and increases the number of acquaintances, which in turn contributes to the formation of social capital. Based on the above, it can be concluded that migrant families with children have a great potential for integration into the host society.
    Keywords: Migration, social capital, integration, families, gender
    JEL: F22 J12 J13 J15 I31
    Date: 2024–11
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ost:wpaper:405
  3. By: Thomas Dohmen (Bonn University, University of Maastricht and IZA); Melanie Khamis (Wesleyan University and IZA); Hartmut Lehmann (Leibniz Institute for East and Southeast European Studies, University of Regensburg, University of Bologna and IZA); Norberto Pignatti (ISET, HCEO and IZA)
    Abstract: Using data from the four waves of the Ukrainian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey – ULMS (2003, 2004, 2007 and 2012), we analyze whether workers with a higher willingness to take risks are more likely to select into informal employment contracts. The data permit us to distinguish between five employment states: formal and informal self-employment, formal salaried employment, voluntary informal salaried employment, and involuntary informal salaried employment. The empirical evidence reveals risk attitudes as a strong causal determinant of the incidence of all types of informal employment but involuntary informal salaried employment. We also provide evidence that our results are not driven by reverse causality: risk attitudes impact on the choice of employment state whilst this latter does not influence risk attitudes. Linking risk attitudes with selection into employment states, we also can establish that along the formal-informal divide the Ukrainian labor market is predominantly segmented for salaried workers whilst it is integrated for the self-employed.
    Keywords: Risk attitudes, informal employment, labor market segmentation, Ukraine
    JEL: D91 J42 J46 P23
    Date: 2023–10
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:ost:wpaper:401
  4. By: Paikin, Zachary; Toygür, Ilke; Quencez, Martin; Nagy, Stephen R.
    Abstract: For the past several years, two ‘mega-regions’ have been forming in global politics – Eurasia and the Indo-Pacific. Both have become a shorthand for shaping the future rules and norms of international order in the face of a global power shift. ‘Eurasia’ has served to illustrate Moscow’s commitment to deepening its strategic partnership with Beijing and creating a new distribution of influence in world politics – one in which the West lies at the periphery rather than the centre. Meanwhile, the term ‘Indo-Pacific’ has taken off in response to the deepening Sino-American rivalry and (disputed) assertions of a budding global contest between democracies and autocracies. This CEPS In-Depth Analysis paper offers an overview of these two mega-regions, including the key geopolitical and governance questions that have been shaping them over recent years and whether great power dynamics in these theatres have shifted since the start of the Ukraine War. It concludes with observations on how these shifts stand to structure transatlantic relations beyond the horizon of the current war.
    Date: 2022–12
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:eps:cepswp:38936
  5. By: Kud, Aleksandr
    Abstract: The monograph considers scientific and theoretical as well as modern practical issues of modernization of public governance in Ukraine and in the world using information platforms, defines the conditions and limitations of modernization processes and the current state of tools and digital solutions in platform governance, offers approaches to modernization of public governance as a system by changing the regulatory framework and organizational model “Government as a Platform” in creating greater public value, without limitation to a single country, and mobilizing public and private resources to arrange various configurations of public services. For scientists and specialists in the field of public governance, digital and platform governance as well as teachers, postgraduates and students of higher educational institutions who study in the specialty “Public Governance” and interdisciplinary specialty “E-Governance”.
    Date: 2022–11–13
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:osf:osfxxx:e47zv
  6. By: Hasan Dinçer (The School of Business, ?stanbul Medipol University); Serhat Yüksel (The School of Business, ?stanbul Medipol University); Bijan Abadi (University of Maragheh)
    Abstract: Wind energy storage technologies should be improved by taking appropriate actions. However, all improvements increase the operational costs for the companies. Therefore, the most essential criteria should be identified to implement these actions efficiently. Accordingly, the purpose of this study is to understand the key issues for wind energy storage technologies. For this situation, a new model is established by using DEMATEL and TOPSIS techniques. Firstly, selected indicators are weighted via DEMATEL. Secondly, emerging seven economies are ranked with the help of TOPSIS. Hence, the main contribution of this study to the literature is that prior strategies can be identified for the improvements of the wind energy storage technologies by creating a new model. The results of this study can pave the way for the investors to increase the effectiveness of these projects. The findings indicate that technological development is the most critical issue for the performance improvements of the wind energy storage technologies. Durable materials and storage capacity are other critical factors for the development of these technologies. It is also stated that durable material is the most influencing factor since it affects all other criteria. On the other hand, storage capacity is the most influenced determinants because it is affected from all other items. In addition to them, it is also concluded that China is the most successful country with respect to the wind energy storage technology performance. Russia is another important emerging country in this framework.
    Keywords: Wind Energy; Energy Storage; Techno-economic Assessment
    URL: https://d.repec.org/n?u=RePEc:sek:iefpro:14716414

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