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Access Statistics for Massimiliano Marcellino

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Working Paper File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 0 582 1 1 5 1,692
A Comparison of Direct and Iterated Multistep AR Methods for Forecasting Macroeconomic Time Series 0 0 0 251 0 2 5 724
A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 0 4 0 1 4 25
A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 25
A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Modelling Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 1 147 1 2 6 269
A Markov-Switching Vector Equilibrium Correction Model of the UK Labour Market 0 0 0 571 0 0 1 1,538
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 0 2 41 0 4 8 170
A Measure for Credibility: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 0 0 56 0 0 1 169
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 2 5 90 0 4 15 306
A Monthly Indicator of the Euro Area GDP 0 0 1 217 0 0 3 464
A Parametric Estimation Method for Dynamic Factor Models of Large Dimensions 0 0 0 188 0 1 2 615
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 17
A Shrinkage Instrumental Variable Estimator for Large Datasets 0 0 0 7 0 1 1 38
A Similarity-based Approach for Macroeconomic Forecasting 0 0 1 61 1 3 5 98
A Simple Benchmark for Forecasts of Growth and Inflation 0 0 0 190 0 0 2 597
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 0 1 3 157 0 2 9 339
A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data 0 0 4 275 1 3 18 589
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 9 115 1 4 30 227
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 2 5 37 1 5 10 86
Addressing COVID-19 outliers in BVARs with stochastic volatility 0 1 8 41 0 5 29 90
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 2 5 202 0 6 15 215
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 0 0 118 0 0 4 270
An estimated DSGE model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union: Forecasting and Structural Analysis 0 0 0 151 1 1 5 234
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for U.S. Inflation and GDP Growth? 1 1 2 575 1 1 5 2,406
Are There Any Reliable Leading Indicators for US Inflation and GDP Growth? 0 0 1 304 0 1 2 996
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 50 0 1 2 71
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 15 0 0 0 39
Assessing International Commonality in Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Its Effects 0 0 0 67 0 0 0 119
Asymmetries in Financial Spillovers 6 7 7 7 5 8 8 8
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 1 1 1 1 2 4 4 4
Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis 0 0 7 131 2 2 21 42
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 0 0 3 183 0 0 7 429
Bayesian VARs: specification choices and forecast accuracy 3 5 6 429 4 9 13 660
Bayesian modelling of VAR precision matrices using stochastic block networks 1 11 12 12 2 5 7 7
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 1 9 20 20 1 12 45 45
Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Big Data Econometrics: Now Casting and Early Estimates 0 0 6 203 2 2 18 269
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 0 1 12 64 1 4 22 44
Blended Identification in Structural VARs 1 1 3 6 2 6 10 17
Boosting the Forecasting Power of Conditional Heteroskedasticity Models to Account for Covid-19 Outbreaks 0 0 2 86 0 2 5 54
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 3 44 0 0 9 68
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 25 0 0 3 103
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 0 0 1 9 13
Can Machine Learning Catch the COVID-19 Recession? 0 0 0 8 0 0 3 28
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 2 3 4 10 3 13 24 37
Capturing Macroeconomic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 1 2 5 211 1 4 12 317
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 196 0 0 0 531
Characterising the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 0 0 312 0 1 4 699
Characterizing the Business Cycle for Accession Countries 0 1 2 175 0 1 3 543
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - Estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 1 1 114 0 1 3 352
Classical time-varying FAVAR models - estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 4 660 3 7 22 1,547
Coarsened Bayesian VARs -- Correcting BVARs for Incorrect Specification 1 2 4 34 1 4 8 25
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 40 0 0 1 144
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 1 1 116 0 1 2 262
Common drifting volatility in large Bayesian VARs 0 0 1 97 0 1 3 273
Cross-sectional Averaging and Instrumental Variable Estimation with Many Weak Instruments 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 25
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 1 2 345 0 1 2 1,131
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 1 1 426 0 1 1 1,341
Dating the Euro Area Business Cycle 0 1 2 312 1 4 5 1,069
Econometric analyses with backdated data: unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 63 0 0 2 271
Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts 0 0 0 8 0 0 2 60
Empirical simultaneous confidence regions for path-forecasts 0 0 0 46 0 0 1 149
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 0 0 0 57 0 0 0 140
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 90 0 0 2 192
Endogenous Monetary Policy Regimes and the Great Moderation 0 0 0 35 1 1 1 193
Endogenous Uncertainty 0 0 0 166 0 2 6 400
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro 0 1 1 61 0 1 2 120
EuroMInd-C: a Disaggregate Monthly Indicator of Economic Activity for the Euro Area and member countries 0 0 1 68 0 0 2 147
Ex Post and Ex Ante Analysis of Provisional Data 0 0 0 240 0 0 1 2,045
Explaining the Time-varying Effects Of Oil Market Shocks On U.S. Stock Returns 0 1 4 77 0 2 8 184
Factor Analysis in a Model with Rational Expectations 0 0 0 118 0 0 1 349
Factor Analysis in a New-Keynesian Model 0 0 0 116 0 1 1 476
Factor Based Index Tracking 0 0 0 538 1 1 3 1,316
Factor Based Index Trading 0 0 1 453 0 0 2 1,343
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 1 191 0 0 1 530
Factor Forecasts for the UK 0 0 1 161 0 0 1 497
Factor analysis in a New-Keynesian model 0 0 0 198 0 0 0 556
Factor based identification-robust inference in IV regressions 0 0 0 47 0 1 2 91
Factor forecasts for the UK 0 0 3 176 0 0 4 584
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 0 23 0 0 3 106
Factor-GMM Estimation with Large Sets of Possibly Weak Instruments 0 0 0 3 0 0 4 21
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 0 0 0 143 0 1 3 416
Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP1 0 1 2 93 0 1 5 396
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: A model comparison for German GDP 0 2 2 218 0 2 6 713
Factor-MIDAS for now- and forecasting with ragged-edge data: a model comparison for German GDP 0 1 2 199 0 3 6 702
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 3 175 0 0 4 353
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 2 199 0 1 5 518
Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 1 1 4 360 2 4 12 917
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 435
Fiscal Forecasting: the Track Record of the IMF, OECD, and EC 0 0 0 171 1 1 3 587
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 1 1 1 200 2 2 3 646
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 1 289 0 0 5 803
Fiscal Solvency and Fiscal Forecasting in Europe 0 0 0 1 1 1 3 345
Forecast Pooling for Short Time Series of Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 274 0 0 1 876
Forecast pooling for short time series of macroeconomic variables 0 1 3 420 0 2 10 1,566
Forecasting EMU Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 302 0 0 0 1,847
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 0 324 1 3 4 1,809
Forecasting Euro-Area Variables with German Pre-EMU Data 0 0 0 54 0 0 0 300
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 2 74 0 1 6 266
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 0 10 0 0 8 36
Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR 0 0 1 173 1 2 5 414
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 36 1 2 2 138
Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs 0 0 0 9 0 1 2 41
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 144 0 0 2 308
Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 62 0 0 1 209
Forecasting Large Datasets with Reduced Rank Multivariate Models 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 1 2 219 0 1 9 636
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 1 1 141 0 3 7 552
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 1 126 0 0 3 683
Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables for the Acceding Countries 0 1 2 120 0 1 4 577
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 0 1 30 0 0 8 86
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 2 6 28 2 5 18 53
Forecasting US Inflation Using Bayesian Nonparametric Models 0 1 2 121 1 3 8 108
Forecasting economic activity with higher frequency targeted predictors 0 0 0 151 0 0 1 250
Forecasting euro-area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 193
Forecasting macroeconomic variables for the new member states of the European Union 0 0 1 192 1 1 5 703
Forecasting the COVID-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2
Forecasting the Covid-19 Recession and Recovery: Lessons from the Financial Crisis 0 0 0 127 0 1 3 274
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 24 0 0 0 60
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 54
Forecasting with Dynamic Models using Shrinkage-based Estimation 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 16
Forecasting with Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 4 204 0 0 6 362
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 1 60 0 0 3 228
Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models 0 0 0 101 0 0 1 233
Forecasting with Large Unbalanced Datasets: The Mixed-Frequency Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 2 166 2 3 7 300
Forecasting with Shadow-Rate VARs 0 0 1 48 0 0 3 87
Further Results on MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 62 0 0 1 474
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 4
Gaussian Process Vector Autoregressions and Macroeconomic Uncertainty 0 0 6 152 2 2 18 95
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 43 0 0 2 77
Have Standard VARs Remained Stable since the Crisis? 0 0 0 91 0 1 2 210
Have standard VARs remained stable since the crisis? 0 0 0 114 3 6 13 246
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models: A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 144 0 0 0 528
Impulse Response Functions from Structural Dynamic Factor Models:A Monte Carlo Evaluation 0 0 0 348 0 0 4 1,050
Instability and Non-Linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 100 0 1 1 330
Instability and non-linearity in the EMU 0 0 0 122 0 0 0 536
Interpolation and Backdating with A Large Information Set 0 0 0 96 1 1 2 343
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 0 129 0 0 1 424
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 6
Investigating Growth at Risk Using a Multi-country Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 1 35 0 0 4 49
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 75
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 17
LSM: A DSGE Model for Luxembourg 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 13
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 0 2 112 1 2 6 635
Large Datasets, Small Models and Monetary Policy in Europe 0 0 0 152 0 1 3 990
Large Time-Varying Parameter VARs: A Non-Parametric Approach 0 0 1 85 0 1 3 121
Large Vector Autoregressions with Asymmetric Priors 0 0 0 6 0 0 1 37
Large Vector Autoregressions with Stochastic Volatility and Flexible Priors 0 0 6 206 0 1 11 372
Large time-varying parameter VARs: a non-parametric approach 0 0 1 121 1 2 7 179
Leading Indicators for Euro Area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 0 1 343 0 0 4 1,054
Leading Indicators for Euro-area Inflation and GDP Growth 0 1 2 668 3 4 13 1,843
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 0 0 0 385 0 0 1 626
Leading Indicators: What Have We Learned? 0 1 1 234 0 1 4 474
Linear Aggregation with Common Trends and Cycles 0 0 0 63 0 0 0 219
MIDAS versus mixed-frequency VAR: nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 2 4 449 0 3 19 1,111
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 0 1 2 120 0 2 10 480
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area 0 0 1 133 0 0 4 414
Macro Uncertainty in the Long Run 0 1 2 4 0 1 3 10
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 0 0 0 6 0 2 2 18
Macroeconomic Forecasting in a Multi-country Context 0 1 2 67 0 1 5 56
Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Euro Area: Country Specific versus Area-Wide Information 0 0 5 678 0 1 11 1,829
Macroeconomic activity and risk indicators: an unstable relationship 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 52
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 178 1 2 5 455
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 58 0 0 0 145
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: the return of non-linearity? 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 30
Markov-Switching Mixed-Frequency VAR Models 0 0 0 125 0 0 4 278
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 0 26 0 1 2 116
Markov-switching MIDAS models 0 0 2 115 0 3 12 463
Markov-switching three-pass regression filter 0 0 0 33 0 0 1 97
Mean Group Instrumental Variable Estimation of Time-Varying Large Heterogeneous Panels with Endogenous Regressors 0 1 17 17 1 3 15 16
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 0 1 11 0 0 2 31
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 0 1 2 57 0 3 7 123
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 1 3 74 0 7 16 140
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 0 0 200 1 2 2 354
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 0 33 1 1 5 101
Mixed frequency models with MA components 0 0 0 79 0 1 2 117
Mixed frequency structural VARs 0 0 1 195 0 0 6 335
Mixed frequency structural models: estimation, and policy analysis 0 0 0 124 0 0 1 196
Model Selection for Non-Linear Dynamic Models 0 0 0 235 0 0 1 665
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area 1 1 6 303 1 2 9 639
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the euro Area 0 0 0 134 0 0 2 382
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland, and the UK 0 0 0 333 0 1 1 1,476
Monetary, Fiscal and Oil Shocks: Evidence based on Mixed Frequency Structural FAVARs 0 0 1 122 0 0 3 209
Monitoring the Economy of the Euro Area: A Comparison of Composite Coincident Indexes 0 0 0 101 0 0 1 402
No Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 1 72 0 0 1 140
No-Arbitrage Priors, Drifting Volatilities, and the Term Structure of Interest Rates 0 0 0 44 0 1 1 40
Nowcasting Tail Risk to Economic Activity at a Weekly Frequency 0 0 1 37 2 2 6 92
Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators 0 0 1 96 1 2 9 226
Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes 1 3 35 35 3 6 31 31
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price setting 0 0 0 18 0 0 2 70
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 1 71 0 0 1 227
On the importance of sectoral and regional shocks for price-setting 0 0 1 36 0 0 1 128
On the importance of sectoral shocks for price-setting 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 54
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 1 33 0 0 1 86
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 2 13 0 1 4 80
Path Forecast Evaluation 0 0 0 74 0 0 0 181
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 2 83 2 4 13 180
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time-varying parameter models 0 0 0 38 0 1 1 65
Pooling versus Model Selection for Nowcasting with Many Predictors: An Application to German GDP 0 1 2 122 0 1 3 316
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: An application to German GDP 0 0 0 82 0 0 0 284
Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors: an application to German GDP 0 0 0 86 0 0 0 259
Pooling-based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 80 0 0 3 300
Pooling-based data interpolation and backdating 0 0 0 64 0 0 0 325
Principal components at work: The empirical analysis of monetary policy with large datasets 0 0 1 791 0 0 2 2,347
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 0 0 1 458 0 0 3 1,225
Real time estimates of the euro area output gap: reliability and forecasting performance 0 0 1 150 0 2 7 457
Real-Time Nowcasting with a Bayesian Mixed Frequency Model with Stochastic Volatility 0 0 1 74 0 0 4 244
Real-time nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 0 0 228 0 1 8 458
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-Off 0 0 0 39 0 0 1 163
Regime Switches in the Risk-Return Trade-off 0 0 0 46 0 0 0 51
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area Countries and a Comparison with the US 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 56
Regional Inflation Dynamics within and across Euro Area and a Comparison with the US 0 0 0 125 0 0 1 331
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 0 0 12 0 0 2 82
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the US 0 1 1 202 0 3 4 712
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails 0 2 11 11 0 7 25 25
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 10
STOCHASTIC PROCESSES SUBJECT TO TIME SCALE TRANSFORMATIONS: AN APPLICATION TO HIGH-FREQUENCY FX DATA 0 0 0 102 0 0 0 539
Sectoral Survey-based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 0 51 0 0 1 248
Selecting predictors by using Bayesian model averaging in bridge models 0 0 0 70 0 0 1 186
Shadow-rate VARs 1 2 8 29 1 5 34 54
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 1 8 405 1 2 16 870
Short-term GDP forecasting with a mixed frequency dynamic factor model with stochastic volatility 0 0 1 172 0 1 4 418
Small system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 251 0 0 0 994
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-Economic Data 0 1 6 438 0 1 7 1,056
Some Cautions on the Use of Panel Methods for Integrated Series of Macro-economic Data 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 474
Some Stylized Facts on Non-Systematic Fiscal Policy in the Euro Area 0 0 1 115 0 0 1 434
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 1 1 356 0 1 2 960
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 2 2 6 75 2 3 17 68
Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics 3 3 3 3 5 6 6 6
Stochastic Processes Subject to Time-Scale Transformations: An Application to High-Frequency FX Data 0 0 0 164 0 0 2 771
Structural Analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index Models 0 1 2 86 0 1 3 119
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large-scale structural FAVAR models 0 0 1 90 0 0 2 186
Survey Data as Coicident or Leading Indicators 0 0 0 71 0 0 1 201
Survey Data as Coincident or Leading Indicators 0 0 1 37 0 0 4 165
TFP, Costs, and Public Infrastructure: An Equivocal Relationship 1 1 2 395 1 1 4 1,031
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 0 78 0 0 1 87
Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees 0 0 2 4 3 4 10 14
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 0 0 0 122 0 1 2 132
Temporal Disaggregation, Missing Observations, Outliers, and Forecasting: A Unifying Non-Model Based Procedures 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 316
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 1 309 0 0 1 615
Testing for PPP: Should We Use Panel Methods? 0 0 0 471 0 0 5 1,586
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time-Varying FAVAR 0 0 2 76 1 1 4 254
The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 17 0 0 0 84
The Global Component of Inflation Volatility 0 0 0 41 0 1 5 151
The Multiscale Causal Dynamics of Foreign Exchange Markets 0 0 0 64 0 0 1 163
The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap 0 0 0 32 0 0 1 167
The Role of Search Frictions and Bargaining for Inflation Dynamics 0 0 0 41 1 1 3 175
The Transmission Mechanism in a Changing World 0 0 0 134 0 0 0 499
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 0 0 178 0 0 2 347
The banking and distribution sectors in a small open economy DSGE Model 0 0 0 29 0 0 1 88
The changing international transmission of financial shocks: evidence from a classical time-varying FAVAR 0 1 3 280 2 4 10 672
The demand and supply of information about inflation 0 0 3 19 0 2 6 28
The demand and supply of information about inflation 0 0 5 29 6 12 32 63
The economic drivers of volatility and uncertainty 0 0 0 68 0 0 5 115
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 25 0 1 2 62
The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 11
The global component of inflation volatility 0 0 0 147 0 1 3 372
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 0 214 0 0 1 526
Time Variation in Macro-Financial Linkages 0 0 1 59 0 1 2 183
Time Varying Three Pass Regression Filter 0 2 2 2 1 3 3 3
Time variation in macro-financial linkages 0 0 2 172 0 0 2 428
Time-Scale Transformations of Discrete-Time Processes 0 0 1 2 0 0 5 17
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 0 40 0 1 2 97
Time-Varying Instrumental Variable Estimation 0 0 0 49 0 0 1 64
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 2 4 30 577 4 14 98 1,998
U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 1 8 98 1 2 22 321
Uncertainty Through the Lenses of A Mixed-Frequency Bayesian Panel Markov Switching Model 0 0 1 53 2 2 4 106
Using Time-Varying Volatility for Identification in Vector Autoregressions: An Application to Endogenous Uncertainty 0 0 2 22 0 0 3 54
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 1 1 5 141 2 5 19 225
Wages, Prices, Productivity, Inflation and Unemployment in Italy 1970-1994 0 1 2 702 0 2 3 2,892
interpolation with a large information set 0 0 0 55 0 0 0 252
the Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap 0 0 0 53 0 0 0 157
Total Working Papers 33 113 460 36,038 113 366 1,462 105,509
11 registered items for which data could not be found


Journal Article File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
A Credibility Proxy: Tracking US Monetary Developments 0 1 3 101 1 2 6 269
A Markov-switching vector equilibrium correction model of the UK labour market 0 0 0 309 0 0 1 914
A SHRINKAGE INSTRUMENTAL VARIABLE ESTIMATOR FOR LARGE DATASETS 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 47
A comparison of direct and iterated multistep AR methods for forecasting macroeconomic time series 0 3 10 415 17 45 105 1,180
A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK 1 1 1 57 1 2 4 158
A comparison of mixed frequency approaches for nowcasting Euro area macroeconomic aggregates 0 2 12 176 0 5 41 368
A daily indicator of economic growth for the euro area 0 0 2 43 0 0 3 107
A linear benchmark for forecasting GDP growth and inflation? 0 0 2 194 0 1 5 523
A macroeconometric model for the Euro economy 0 1 2 139 0 3 6 360
A parametric estimation method for dynamic factor models of large dimensions 0 0 1 64 0 1 2 151
A similarity‐based approach for macroeconomic forecasting 0 0 1 28 0 1 14 100
Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 0 2 2 2 8 31 31 31
Are there any reliable leading indicators for US inflation and GDP growth? 2 2 5 203 3 4 12 547
Assessing international commonality in macroeconomic uncertainty and its effects 0 0 2 26 0 1 5 79
Bayesian VARs: Specification Choices and Forecast Accuracy 0 0 4 117 1 3 11 322
Blended identification in structural VARs 1 5 5 5 2 17 17 17
Business Cycles in the New EU Member Countries and their Conformity with the Euro Area 0 0 0 80 0 1 1 213
CAN MACHINE LEARNING CATCH THE COVID-19 RECESSION? 0 0 0 14 0 0 1 28
Capturing Macro‐Economic Tail Risks with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions 1 4 4 4 1 10 10 10
Classical time varying factor-augmented vector auto-regressive models—estimation, forecasting and structural analysis 0 0 1 74 0 1 4 161
Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs 0 1 9 55 0 3 21 154
Cross-sectional averaging and instrumental variable estimation with many weak instruments 0 0 0 33 0 0 1 96
Dating Business Cycles: A Methodological Contribution with an Application to the Euro Area 0 1 2 194 2 4 7 562
EUROMIND: a monthly indicator of the euro area economic conditions 0 0 0 0 6 8 10 216
Econometric analyses with backdated data: Unified Germany and the euro area 0 0 0 19 0 0 0 121
Empirical simultaneous prediction regions for path-forecasts 1 1 2 27 1 1 2 99
EuroMInd-C: A disaggregate monthly indicator of economic activity for the Euro area and member countries 0 0 1 11 0 0 3 67
Explaining the time-varying effects of oil market shocks on US stock returns 0 0 3 42 0 0 6 131
Factor MIDAS for Nowcasting and Forecasting with Ragged‐Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP 0 3 13 202 4 13 46 490
Factor analysis in a model with rational expectations 0 0 0 79 1 1 1 425
Factor based index tracking 0 1 5 157 0 5 19 399
Factor-GMM estimation with large sets of possibly weak instruments 1 1 5 102 2 3 9 230
Factor‐Based Identification‐Robust Interference in IV Regressions 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 37
Fiscal forecasting: The track record of the IMF, OECD and EC 0 0 0 12 0 0 7 679
Forecast Bias and MSFE Encompassing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8
Forecast Pooling for European Macroeconomic Variables 0 0 0 32 0 0 0 168
Forecasting EMU macroeconomic variables 0 0 0 140 0 0 1 553
Forecasting economic activity by Bayesian bridge model averaging 0 1 4 39 0 1 6 105
Forecasting economic activity with targeted predictors 0 0 0 70 0 0 4 157
Forecasting euro area variables with German pre-EMU data 0 0 0 44 1 1 1 148
Forecasting exchange rates with a large Bayesian VAR 0 0 6 284 0 1 11 780
Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian vector autoregressions 0 1 3 138 0 2 9 348
Forecasting gross domestic product growth with large unbalanced data sets: the mixed frequency three‐pass regression filter 0 0 3 45 2 2 6 99
Forecasting inflation and GDP growth using heuristic optimisation of information criteria and variable reduction methods 0 0 1 23 0 1 4 70
Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 144
Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery: Lessons from the financial crisis 0 0 2 10 0 0 5 27
Forecasting with a DSGE Model of a Small Open Economy within the Monetary Union 0 0 1 33 1 3 12 106
Forecasting with factor-augmented error correction models 0 1 5 88 2 6 14 228
Foreword 0 0 0 6 0 1 1 42
Guest Editors’ Introduction to Special Issue on Encompassing 0 0 0 14 0 1 1 61
Have Standard VARS Remained Stable Since the Crisis? 0 0 0 15 0 1 4 102
Interpolation and backdating with a large information set 0 0 0 76 0 0 1 221
Introduction to advances in business cycle analysis and forecasting 0 0 0 43 0 2 2 117
Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Nonparametric Quantile Factor Model 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
LSM: A DSGE model for Luxembourg 0 0 2 49 0 0 7 190
Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with stochastic volatility and non-conjugate priors 4 6 19 155 7 16 50 443
Large time‐varying parameter VARs: A nonparametric approach 1 1 1 16 1 2 12 79
Leading Indicators for Euro‐area Inflation and GDP Growth* 0 0 3 250 1 2 8 880
Linear aggregation with common trends and cycles 0 0 1 14 1 1 2 81
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 0 0 2 67 0 1 9 320
MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the euro area 1 2 14 184 1 5 37 687
MIXED‐FREQUENCY STRUCTURAL MODELS: IDENTIFICATION, ESTIMATION, AND POLICY ANALYSIS 0 1 1 26 0 2 3 72
MODELING HIGH-FREQUENCY FOREIGN EXCHANGE DATA DYNAMICS 0 1 2 19 0 1 2 74
Macro uncertainty in the long run 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 3
Macroeconomic forecasting during the Great Recession: The return of non-linearity? 0 1 3 38 0 1 7 148
Macroeconomic forecasting in a multi‐country context 0 0 7 13 0 2 12 31
Macroeconomic forecasting in the Euro area: Country specific versus area-wide information 0 0 2 334 0 1 5 830
Markov-Switching MIDAS Models 1 2 5 208 2 9 21 714
Markov-Switching Three-Pass Regression Filter 0 0 3 35 0 1 6 104
Markov-switching mixed-frequency VAR models 0 0 2 85 0 3 8 311
Measuring Uncertainty and Its Impact on the Economy 0 0 23 183 4 10 68 568
Mixed frequency structural vector auto-regressive models 0 0 3 47 0 1 7 109
Mixed‐frequency models with moving‐average components 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 52
Model Selection for Nested and Overlapping Nonlinear, Dynamic and Possibly Mis‐specified Models* 0 0 3 31 0 0 3 128
Modelling and Forecasting Fiscal Variables for the Euro Area* 0 0 0 86 0 1 2 277
Modelling shifts in the wage-price and unemployment-inflation relationships in Italy, Poland and the UK 0 0 0 60 0 0 1 203
Monetary, fiscal and oil shocks: Evidence based on mixed frequency structural FAVARs 0 1 5 70 2 3 13 221
NOWCASTING GDP GROWTH IN A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY 0 0 6 24 1 1 22 71
Nowcasting tail risk to economic activity at a weekly frequency 0 1 6 24 1 3 14 63
No‐arbitrage priors, drifting volatilities, and the term structure of interest rates 0 0 0 7 0 1 3 29
On the Importance of Sectoral and Regional Shocks for Price‐Setting 0 0 2 20 0 0 4 117
POOLING VERSUS MODEL SELECTION FOR NOWCASTING GDP WITH MANY PREDICTORS: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FOR SIX INDUSTRIALIZED COUNTRIES 0 0 0 0 2 2 7 178
Path forecast evaluation 0 0 0 63 0 1 5 258
Point, interval and density forecasts of exchange rates with time varying parameter models 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 60
Pooling‐Based Data Interpolation and Backdating 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 87
Principal components at work: the empirical analysis of monetary policy with large data sets 1 1 1 456 2 2 12 1,336
Public Capital and Economic Performance: Evidence from Italy 0 0 0 0 1 2 7 297
ROBUST DECISION THEORY AND THE LUCAS CRITIQUE 0 0 0 11 0 0 1 66
Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility 0 0 1 48 0 2 8 209
Regime switches in the risk–return trade-off 0 0 0 32 1 1 3 114
Regional inflation dynamics within and across euro area countries and a comparison with the United States 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 7
Sectoral Survey‐based Confidence Indicators for Europe 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 80
Short-Term GDP Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency Dynamic Factor Model With Stochastic Volatility 1 1 11 45 2 3 21 147
Small-system modelling of real wages, inflation, unemployment and output per capita in Italy 1970-1994 0 0 0 164 0 0 0 847
Some Consequences of Temporal Aggregation in Empirical Analysis 0 0 0 0 1 2 8 535
Some cautions on the use of panel methods for integrated series of macroeconomic data 0 0 0 285 0 1 7 792
Some stylized facts on non-systematic fiscal policy in the Euro area 0 0 0 103 0 0 0 258
Structural FECM: Cointegration in large‐scale structural FAVAR models 0 0 2 25 0 0 3 83
Structural analysis with Multivariate Autoregressive Index models 0 0 0 43 0 0 3 197
Survey data as coincident or leading indicators 0 0 0 58 0 1 5 175
TAIL FORECASTING WITH MULTIVARIATE BAYESIAN ADDITIVE REGRESSION TREES 0 0 5 7 1 2 14 23
Tax shocks with high and low uncertainty 0 2 2 18 0 3 9 76
Testing for PPP: Should we use panel methods? 0 1 3 364 0 1 9 1,055
The Changing International Transmission of Financial Shocks: Evidence from a Classical Time‐Varying FAVAR 1 2 5 71 2 7 17 209
The effects of the monetary policy stance on the transmission mechanism 3 5 7 116 4 7 16 248
The global component of inflation volatility 0 0 2 9 0 0 3 28
The multiscale causal dynamics of foreign exchange markets 0 0 1 50 0 2 4 179
The reliability of real-time estimates of the euro area output gap 1 1 1 89 1 2 3 342
The transmission mechanism in a changing world 0 0 0 174 0 1 2 530
Time Variation in Macro‐Financial Linkages 0 1 6 28 0 3 11 115
Time-varying instrumental variable estimation 1 1 1 17 1 1 4 55
Time‐scale transformations of discrete time processes 0 0 0 30 0 0 0 245
Unrestricted mixed data sampling (MIDAS): MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials 0 3 6 153 2 8 23 394
Using low frequency information for predicting high frequency variables 1 3 9 99 1 4 29 392
Using time-varying volatility for identification in Vector Autoregressions: An application to endogenous uncertainty 0 0 5 28 0 1 14 69
Total Journal Articles 23 69 305 8,768 98 316 1,071 29,267
2 registered items for which data could not be found


Chapter File Downloads Abstract Views
Last month 3 months 12 months Total Last month 3 months 12 months Total
An Overview of the Factor-augmented Error-Correction Model 0 0 0 17 0 1 5 66
Chapter 4 Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Leading Indicators 2 3 13 318 2 6 25 753
Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregressive Models☆This views expressed herein are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Norges Bank. The usual disclaimers apply 0 1 2 3 1 4 10 14
Non-linearity and Instability in the Euro Area 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2
TEMPORAL DISAGGREGATION, MISSING OBSERVATIONS, OUTLIERS, AND FORECASTING 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1
Total Chapters 2 4 15 338 3 11 41 837
5 registered items for which data could not be found


Statistics updated 2024-12-04