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Expectation errors, uncertainty, and economic activity
Citations
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Cited by:
- Binge, Laurie H. & Boshoff, Willem H., 2020. "Economic uncertainty in South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 113-131.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018.
"“A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”,"
IREA Working Papers
201806, University of Barcelona, Research Institute of Applied Economics, revised Mar 2018.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2018. "“A geometric approach to proxy economic uncertainty by a metric of disagreement among qualitative expectations”," AQR Working Papers 201803, University of Barcelona, Regional Quantitative Analysis Group, revised Jun 2018.
- Scott R Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Stephen J Terry, 2024.
"Using Disasters to Estimate the Impact of Uncertainty,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(2), pages 720-747.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Stephen J. Terry, 2020. "Using Disasters to Estimate the Impact of Uncertainty," NBER Working Papers 27167, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- MORIKAWA Masayuki, 2017. "Uncertainty over Production Forecasts: An empirical analysis using monthly firm survey data," Discussion papers 17081, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Mustafa Bulut & Hatice Gokce Karasoy, 2016.
"Para Politikasi Belirsizligi Altinda Aktarim Mekanizmasi : Turkiye ornegi,"
CBT Research Notes in Economics
1621, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Bulut, Mustafa & Karasoy, Hatice Gökçe, 2016. "Para Politikası Belirsizliği Altında Aktarım Mekanizması: Türkiye Örneği [Transmission Mechanism Under Monetary Policy Uncertainty: The Case of Turkey]," MPRA Paper 71215, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Aslıhan Atabek Demirhan & Burcu Gürcihan Yüncüler, 2017. "Employment growth and uncertainty: evidence from Turkey," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Uses of central balance sheet data offices' information, volume 45, Bank for International Settlements.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Cisil Sarisoy & Juan M. Londono & Bo Sun & Deepa D. Datta & Thiago Ferreira & Olesya Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius Rodriguez & Ilk, 2023.
"What Is Certain about Uncertainty?,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(2), pages 624-654, June.
- Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia & Deepa Dhume Datta & Thiago Revil T. Ferreira & Olesya V. Grishchenko & Mohammad R. Jahan-Parvar & Juan M. Londono & Francesca Loria & Sai Ma & Marius del Giudice Rodriguez & J, 2020. "What is Certain about Uncertainty?," International Finance Discussion Papers 1294, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Niemann, Rainer & Sureth-Sloane, Caren, 2015. "Investment effects of wealth taxes under uncertainty and irreversibility," arqus Discussion Papers in Quantitative Tax Research 192, arqus - Arbeitskreis Quantitative Steuerlehre.
- Michael Ryan, 2020. "An Anchor in Stormy Seas: Does Reforming Economic Institutions Reduce Uncertainty? Evidence from New Zealand," Working Papers in Economics 20/11, University of Waikato.
- Basile, Roberto & Girardi, Alessandro, 2018. "Uncertainty and Business Cycle: A Review of the Literature and Some Evidence from the Spanish Economy/Incertidumbre y Ciclo Empresarial: Revisión de la literatura y evidencia en la economía española," Estudios de Economia Aplicada, Estudios de Economia Aplicada, vol. 36, pages 235-250, Enero.
- Morikawa, Masayuki, 2019. "Uncertainty over production forecasts: An empirical analysis using monthly quantitative survey data," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 163-179.
- Nicoletta Pashourtidou, 2022. "Survey-derived proxies for uncertainty: the case of Cyprus," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 16(2), pages 27-56, December.
- MORIKAWA Masayuki, 2018. "Measuring Firm-level Uncertainty: New evidence from a business outlook survey," Discussion papers 18030, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Morikawa, Masayuki, 2022.
"Uncertainty in long-term macroeconomic forecasts: Ex post evaluation of forecasts by economics researchers,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 8-15.
- MORIKAWA Masayuki, 2019. "Uncertainty in Long-Term Macroeconomic Forecasts: Ex post Evaluation of Forecasts by Economics Researchers," Discussion papers 19084, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Saygin Sahinoz & Evren Erdogan Cosar, 2020.
"Quantifying uncertainty and identifying its impacts on the Turkish economy,"
Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(2), pages 365-387, May.
- Evren Erdogan Cosar & Sayg�n Sahinoz, 2018. "Quantifying Uncertainty and Identifying its Impacts on the Turkish Economy," Working Papers 1806, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
- Corinna Ghirelli & María Gil & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2021.
"Measuring economic and economic policy uncertainty and their macroeconomic effects: the case of Spain,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 869-892, February.
- Corinna Ghirelli & María Gil & Javier J. Pérez & Alberto Urtasun, 2019. "Measuring economic and economic policy uncertainty, and their macroeconomic effects: the case of Spain," Working Papers 1905, Banco de España.
- Michael Ryan, 2020. "A Narrative Approach to Creating Instruments with Unstructured and Voluminous Text: An Application to Policy Uncertainty," Working Papers in Economics 20/10, University of Waikato.
- Oscar Claveria & Enric Monte & Salvador Torra, 2019. "Economic Uncertainty: A Geometric Indicator of Discrepancy Among Experts’ Expectations," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 143(1), pages 95-114, May.
- Morikawa, Masayuki, 2016.
"Business uncertainty and investment: Evidence from Japanese companies,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 224-236.
- MORIKAWA Masayuki, 2016. "Business Uncertainty and Investment: Evidence from Japanese companies," Discussion papers 16014, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2020.
"A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in the mean model with time-varying parameters,"
Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 47(3), pages 611-641, August.
- Mehmet Balcilar & Zeynel Abidin Ozdemir, 2017. "A re-examination of growth and growth uncertainty relationship in a stochastic volatility in mean model with time-varying parameters," Working Papers 15-32, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
- Masahito Ambashi & Fusanori Iwasaki & Keita Oikawa, 2022. "Prediction Errors of Macroeconomic Indicators and Economic Shocks for ASEAN Member States, 1990-2021," KIER Working Papers 1088, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
- Baker, Scott R. & Bloom, Nicholas, 2013.
"Does uncertainty reduce growth? Using disasters as natural experiments,"
LSE Research Online Documents on Economics
121906, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments," NBER Working Papers 19475, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom, 2013. "Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments," CEP Discussion Papers dp1243, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
- Miss Stephanie Denis & Mr. Prakash Kannan, 2013. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks on the UK Economy," IMF Working Papers 2013/066, International Monetary Fund.
- Wei‐Fong Pan & James Reade & Shixuan Wang, 2022. "Measuring US regional economic uncertainty," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(4), pages 1149-1178, September.
- Christian Glocker & Werner Hölzl, 2019. "Assessing the Economic Content of Direct and Indirect Business Uncertainty Measures," WIFO Working Papers 576, WIFO.
- Albert, Juan-Francisco & Gómez Fernández, Nerea, 2018. "The impact of uncertainty shocks in Spain: SVAR approach with sign restrictions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 90402, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Rainer Niemann & Caren Sureth-Sloane, 2015. "Investment Effects of Wealth Taxes under Uncertainty and Irreversibility," CESifo Working Paper Series 5610, CESifo.