My bibliography
Save this item
Role of the Minimal State Variable Criterion in Rational Expectations Models
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Edward Herbst & David Lopez-Salido & Christopher Gust, 2017.
"Forward Guidance with Bayesian Learning and Estimation,"
2017 Meeting Papers
1189, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Christopher J. Gust & Edward P. Herbst & J. David López-Salido, 2018. "Forward Guidance with Bayesian Learning and Estimation," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2018-072, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Ibrahim Chowdhury & Andreas Schabert, "undated".
"Assessing Money Supply Rules,"
Working Papers
2003_9, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, revised May 2003.
- Ibrahim Chowdhury & Andreas Schabert, 2004. "Assessing money supply rules," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 15, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- McCallum, Bennett T., 2004.
"On the relationship between determinate and MSV solutions in linear RE models,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 55-60, July.
- Bennett McCallum, "undated". "On the Relationship Between Determinate and MSV Solutions in Linear RE Models," GSIA Working Papers 2003-E78, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business.
- Bennett McCallum, 2004. "On the Relationship Between Determinate and MSV Solutions in Linear RE Models," NBER Technical Working Papers 0297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Florin O. Bilbiie & Andr… Meier & Gernot J. M‹Ller, 2008.
"What Accounts for the Changes in U.S. Fiscal Policy Transmission?,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(7), pages 1439-1470, October.
- Florin O. Bilbiie & André Meier & Gernot J. Müller, 2008. "What Accounts for the Changes in U.S. Fiscal Policy Transmission?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(7), pages 1439-1470, October.
- Florin Bilbiie & G. Mueller & A. Meier, 2006. "What Accounts for the Change in U.S Fiscal Policy Transmission ?," Working Papers hal-00515666, HAL.
- Florin Bilbiie & Gernot Mueller & Andre Meier, 2008. "What Accounts for the Change in U.S. Fiscal Policy Transmission?," Post-Print hal-00622867, HAL.
- Bilbiie, Florin O. & Meier, André & Müller, Gernot J., 2006. "What accounts for the changes in U.S. fiscal policy transmission?," Working Paper Series 582, European Central Bank.
- Florin Bilbiie & Gernot Mueller & Andre Meier, 2008. "What Accounts for the Change in U.S. Fiscal Policy Transmission?," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-00622867, HAL.
- Cho, Seonghoon & Moreno, Antonio, 2011. "The forward method as a solution refinement in rational expectations models," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 257-272, March.
- McGough, Bruce & Rudebusch, Glenn D. & Williams, John C., 2005.
"Using a long-term interest rate as the monetary policy instrument,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(5), pages 855-879, July.
- Bruce McGough & Glenn D. Rudebusch & John C. Williams, 2004. "Using a long-term interest rate as the monetary policy instrument," Working Paper Series 2004-22, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Alvaro Aguiar & Inês Drumond, 2007. "Monetary Policy Amplification Effects through a Bank Capital Channel," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2006 47, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 2004.
"Timeless perspective vs. discretionary monetary policy in forward-looking models,"
Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 86(Mar), pages 43-56.
- Bennett T. McCallum & Edward Nelson, 2000. "Timeless Perspectives vs. Discretionary Monetary Policy In Forward-Looking Models," NBER Working Papers 7915, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- McCallum, Bennett T & Nelson, Edward, 2001. "Timeless Perspective Vs Discretionary Monetary Policy in Forward-Looking Models," CEPR Discussion Papers 2752, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Bruckner, Matthias & Schabert, Andreas, 2006.
"Can money matter for interest rate policy?,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 2823-2857, December.
- Matthias BrÑŒckner & Andreas Schabert, 2004. "Can Money Matter for Interest Rate Policy?," Working Paper Series in Economics 6, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.
- McCallum, Bennett T., 2003.
"Multiple-solution indeterminacies in monetary policy analysis,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 1153-1175, July.
- Bennett McCallum, "undated". "Multiple-Solution Indeterminacies in Monetary Policy Analysis," GSIA Working Papers 2003-E77, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business.
- Bennett T. McCallum, 2003. "Multiple-Solution Indeterminacies in Monetary Policy Analysis," NBER Working Papers 9837, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Milani, Fabio, 2008.
"Learning, monetary policy rules, and macroeconomic stability,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(10), pages 3148-3165, October.
- Fabio Milani, 2005. "Learning, Monetary Policy Rules, and Macroeconomic Stability," Macroeconomics 0508019, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Mariana García-Schmidt & Michael Woodford, 2019.
"Are Low Interest Rates Deflationary? A Paradox of Perfect-Foresight Analysis,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(1), pages 86-120, January.
- Mariana García-Schmidt & Michael Woodford, 2015. "Are Low Interest Rates Deflationary? A Paradox of Perfect-Foresight Analysis," NBER Working Papers 21614, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mariana García-Schmidt & Michael Woodford, 2016. "Are Low Interest Rates Deflationary? A Paradox of Perfect-Foresight Analysis," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 797, Central Bank of Chile.
- Mariana Garcia-Schmidt & Michael Woodford, 2015. "Are Low Interest Rates Deflationary? A Paradox of Perfect-Foresight Analysis," Working Papers Series 18, Institute for New Economic Thinking.
- Woodford, Michael & Garcia-Schmidt, Mariana, 2015. "Are Low Interest Rates Deflationary? A Paradox of Perfect-Foresight Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 10893, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Eagle, David, 2007. "Revealing the naked truth behind price determinacy, infinite-horizon rational expectations, and inflation targeting," MPRA Paper 1538, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Eagle, David, 2006. "The Eventual Failure and Price Indeterminacy of Inflation Targeting," MPRA Paper 1240, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 13 Dec 2006.
- Berardi, Michele, 2007.
"Heterogeneity and misspecifications in learning,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(10), pages 3203-3227, October.
- Michele Berardi, 2006. "Heterogeneity and misspecifications in learning," Economics Discussion Paper Series 0636, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Leitemo, Kai, 2006.
"Targeting inflation by forecast feedback rules in small open economies,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 393-413, March.
- Kai Leitemo, 2004. "Targeting Inflation by Forecast Feedback Rules in Small Open Economies," Computing in Economics and Finance 2004 18, Society for Computational Economics.
- Olivier Loisel, 2004. "Monetary policy rules to preclude booms and busts," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2003 56, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Ragna Alstadheim & Øistein Røisland, 2017.
"When Preferences for a Stable Interest Rate Become Self‐Defeating,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 49(2-3), pages 393-415, March.
- Ragna Alstadheim & Øistein Røisland, 2016. "When preferences for a stable interest rate become self-defeating," Working Paper 2016/8, Norges Bank.
- Driskill, Robert, 2006. "Multiple equilibria in dynamic rational expectations models: A critical review," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 171-210, January.
- Linnemann, Ludger & Schabert, Andreas, 2003. "Fiscal Policy in the New Neoclassical Synthesis," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 35(6), pages 911-929, December.
- Ariane Szafarz, 2009.
"How Did Financial-Crisis-Based Criticisms of Market Efficiency Get It So Wrong?,"
Working Papers CEB
09-048.RS, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Ariane Szafarz, 2010. "How Did Financial-Crisis-Based Criticisms of Market Efficiency Get It So Wrong?," DULBEA Working Papers 10-01.RS., ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
- Richard Mash, 2003. "A Note on Simple MSV Solution Methods for Rational Expectations Models of Monetary Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 173, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Diba, Behzad & Loisel, Olivier, 2021.
"Pegging the interest rate on bank reserves: A resolution of New Keynesian puzzles and paradoxes,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 230-244.
- Behzad Diba & Olivier Loisel, 2019. "Pegging the Interest Rate on Bank Reserves: A Resolution of New Keynesian Puzzles and Paradoxes," Working Papers gueconwpa~19-19-05, Georgetown University, Department of Economics.
- Milani, Fabio, 2007.
"Expectations, learning and macroeconomic persistence,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 2065-2082, October.
- Fabio Milani, 2005. "Expectations, Learning and Macroeconomic Persistence," Macroeconomics 0510022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Fabio Milani, 2005. "Expectations, Learning and Macroeconomic Persistence," Working Papers 050608, University of California-Irvine, Department of Economics.
- Georges, Christophre, 2003. "Adjustment costs, learning, and indeterminacy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 101-116, October.
- Petia Ivanova, 2007. "The Fiscal Theory for the Cost Level and Monetarism," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 60-79.
- Antonio Moreno, 2003.
"Reaching Inflation Stability,"
Faculty Working Papers
13/03, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Antonio Moreno, 2004. "Reaching Inflation Stability," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 269, Econometric Society.
- Lansing, Kevin J., 2021.
"Endogenous forecast switching near the zero lower bound,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 153-169.
- Kevin J. Lansing, 2019. "Endogenous Forecast Switching Near the Zero Lower Bound," Working Paper Series 2017-24, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Ellison, Martin & Pearlman, Joseph, 2011.
"Saddlepath learning,"
Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(4), pages 1500-1519, July.
- Martin Ellison & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "Saddlepath Learning," Economics Series Working Papers 505, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Martin Ellison & Joseph Pearlman, 2010. "Saddlepath Learning," CDMA Conference Paper Series 0710, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis.
- Schabert, Andreas, 2005.
"Identifying monetary policy shocks with changes in open market operations,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(3), pages 561-577, April.
- Andreas Schabert, "undated". "Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks with Changes in Open Market Operations," Working Papers 2003_10, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, revised Jun 2003.
- McCallum, Bennett T., 2001.
"Indeterminacy, bubbles, and the fiscal theory of price level determination,"
Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 19-30, February.
- Bennett T. McCallum, "undated". "Indeterminacy, Bubbles, and the Fiscal Theory of Price Level Determination," GSIA Working Papers 1998-19, Carnegie Mellon University, Tepper School of Business.
- Bennett T. McCallum, 1998. "Indeterminacy, Bubbles, and the Fiscal Theory of Price Level Determination," NBER Working Papers 6456, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Holden, Tom, 2008. "Rational macroeconomic learning in linear expectational models," MPRA Paper 10872, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Martin ZUMPE, 2010. "Monetary Policy Rules, Learning and Stability: a Survey of the Recent Literature (In French)," Cahiers du GREThA (2007-2019) 2010-01, Groupe de Recherche en Economie Théorique et Appliquée (GREThA).
- Jensen, Christian & McCallum, Bennett T., 2002.
"The non-optimality of proposed monetary policy rules under timeless perspective commitment,"
Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(2), pages 163-168, October.
- Christian Jensen & Bennett C. McCallum, 2002. "The Non-Optimality of Proposed Monetary Policy Rules Under Timeless-Perspective Commitment," NBER Working Papers 8882, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Berardi, Michele, 2013.
"Escape Dynamics And Policy Specification,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(1), pages 123-142, January.
- Michele Berardi, 2009. "Escape Dynamics and Policy Specification," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 117, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Sauer, Stephan, 2007. "Discretion rather than rules? When is discretionary policy-making better than the timeless perspective?," Working Paper Series 717, European Central Bank.
- Andreas Schabert, "undated". "On the Equivalence of Money Growth and Interest Rate Policy," Working Papers 2003_6, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, revised Apr 2003.
- Massimiliano Rigon & Francesco Zanetti, 2018.
"Optimal Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy Interaction in a Non-Ricardian Economy,"
International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 14(3), pages 389-436, June.
- Massimiliano Rigon & Francesco Zanetti, 2017. "Optimal monetary policy and fiscal interactions in a non-Ricardian economy," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1155, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Massimiliano Rigon & Francesco Zanetti, 2017. "Optimal Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy Interaction in a non-Ricardian Economy," BCAM Working Papers 1708, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
- Norman, Thomas W.L., 2020. "Market selection with an endogenous state," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 51-59.
- Granato, Jim & Guse, Eran A. & Wong, M. C. Sunny, 2008.
"Learning From The Expectations Of Others,"
Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 345-377, June.
- Jim Granato & Eran Guse & Sunny Wong, 2006. "Learning From the Expectations of Others," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 449, Society for Computational Economics.
- Granato, J. & Guse, E. & Sunny Wong, M.C., 2006. "Learning from the Expectations of Others," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 0605, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
- Volker Böhm & Tomoo Kikuchi & George Vachadze, 2008. "Asset Pricing and Productivity Growth: The Role of Consumption Scenarios," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 32(1), pages 163-181, September.
- Mash, Richard, 2007. "Endogenous Indexing and Monetary Policy Models," Kiel Working Papers 1358, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
- Meyer-Gohde, Alexander, 2008. "The natural rate hypothesis and real determinacy," SFB 649 Discussion Papers 2008-054, Humboldt University Berlin, Collaborative Research Center 649: Economic Risk.
- Ludger Linnemann, 2004. "Tax Base and Crowding‐in Effects of Balanced Budget Fiscal Policy," Scandinavian Journal of Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 106(2), pages 273-297, June.
- Andreas Schabert, 2003.
"On the Relevance of Open Market Operations,"
Working Paper Series in Economics
4, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.
- Andreas Schabert, 2004. "On the Relevance of Open Market Operations," 2004 Meeting Papers 272, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Schabert, Andreas, 2004. "On the Relevance of Open Market Operations," HWWA Discussion Papers 257, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA).
- Jean-Marc Natal, 2012.
"Monetary Policy Response to Oil Price Shocks,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(1), pages 53-101, February.
- Jean‐Marc Natal, 2012. "Monetary Policy Response to Oil Price Shocks," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(1), pages 53-101, February.
- Jean-Marc Natal, 2009. "Monetary policy response to oil price shocks," Working Paper Series 2009-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Jean-Marc Natal, 2010. "Monerary Policy Response to Oil Price Shocks," Working Papers 2010-15, Swiss National Bank.
- Michele Berardi, 2009. "Expectations, learning and policy rule," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 112, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Böhm, Volker & Vachadze, George, 2008. "Capital accumulation with tangible assets," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 248-257, October.
- Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno, 2003. "A Structural Estimation and Interpretation of the New Keynesian Macro Model," Faculty Working Papers 14/03, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Schabert, Andreas, 2005.
"Money Supply and the Implementation of Interest Rate Targets,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
5094, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Andreas Schabert, 2005. "Money Supply and the Implementation of Interest Rate Targets," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-059/2, Tinbergen Institute.
- Schabert, Andreas, 2005. "Money supply and the implementation of interest rate targets," Working Paper Series 483, European Central Bank.
- repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2008-054 is not listed on IDEAS
- Seonghoon Cho & Antonio Moreno, 2007. "The Forward Solution for Linear Rational Expectations Models," Faculty Working Papers 07/07, School of Economics and Business Administration, University of Navarra.
- Andreas Schabert & Sweder van Wijnbergen, 2006.
"Debt, Deficits, and Destabilizing Monetary Policy in Open Economies,"
Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers
06-045/2, Tinbergen Institute.
- van Wijnbergen, Sweder & Schabert, Andreas, 2006. "Debt, Deficits and Destabilizing Monetary Policy in Open Economies," CEPR Discussion Papers 5590, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Schabert, Andreas, 2004. "On the Relevance of Open Market Operations," Discussion Paper Series 26344, Hamburg Institute of International Economics.
- Lin, Yo-Long, 2017. "Is the price path learnable under a fixed exchange rate regime?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 355-366.
- Hirokuni Iiboshi & Mototsugu Shintani & Kozo Ueda, 2022.
"Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with the Zero Lower Bound for Japan,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 54(6), pages 1637-1671, September.
- Hirokuni Iiboshi & Mototsugu Shintani & Kozo Ueda, 2018. "Estimating a nonlinear new Keynesian model with the zero lower bound for Japan," CAMA Working Papers 2018-37, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- Hirokuni Iiboshi & Mototsugu Shintani & Kozo Ueda, 2018. "Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with a Zero Lower Bound for Japan," Working Papers e120, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
- Hirokuni Iiboshi & Mototsugu Shintani & Kozo Ueda, 2020. "Estimating a Nonlinear New Keynesian Model with the Zero Lower Bound for Japan," Working Papers e154, Tokyo Center for Economic Research.
- Jääskelä, Jarkko P. & Kulish, Mariano, 2010.
"The butterfly effect of small open economies,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(7), pages 1295-1304, July.
- Jarkko Jääskelä & Mariano Kulish, 2007. "The Butterfly Effect of Small Open Economies," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2007-06, Reserve Bank of Australia.
- Sujit Kapadia, 2005. "Optimal Monetary Policy under Hysteresis," Economics Series Working Papers 250, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Shamik Dhar & Stephen P Millard, 2000. "A limited participation model of the monetary transmission mechanism in the United Kingdom," Bank of England working papers 117, Bank of England.
- Berardi, Michele, 2011.
"Fundamentalists vs. chartists: Learning and predictor choice dynamics,"
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 776-792, May.
- Michele Berardi, 2008. "Fundamentalists vs. chartists: learning and predictor choice dynamics," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 104, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Michele Berardi, 2011. "Fundamentalists vs. chartists: Learning and predictor choice dynamics," Post-Print hal-00796301, HAL.
- Raffaella Giacomini, 2013. "The relationship between DSGE and VAR models," CeMMAP working papers CWP21/13, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
- Emmet Hall-Hoffarth, 2022. "Causal Discovery of Macroeconomic State-Space Models," Papers 2204.02374, arXiv.org.
- Loisel, Olivier, 2009. "Bubble-free policy feedback rules," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 144(4), pages 1521-1559, July.
- Gauthier, Stephane, 2004.
"Determinacy in linear rational expectations models,"
Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(7), pages 815-830, November.
- Stéphane Gauthier, 2004. "Determinacy in Linear Rational Expectations Models," Post-Print hal-00731138, HAL.
- Teruyoshi Kobayashi, 2004. "On the Relationship Between Short‐ and Long‐term Interest Rates," International Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 7(2), pages 261-286, July.
- Francisco Palomino, 2012.
"Bond Risk Premiums and Optimal Monetary Policy,"
Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 15(1), pages 19-40, January.
- Francisco Palomino, 2010. "Code and data files for "Bond Risk Premiums and Optimal Monetary Policy"," Computer Codes 09-159, Review of Economic Dynamics.
- Georges, Christophre & Wallace, John C., 2009. "Learning Dynamics And Nonlinear Misspecification In An Artificial Financial Market," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(5), pages 625-655, November.
- Klaeffling, Matt, 2003. "Macroeconomic modelling of monetary policy," Working Paper Series 257, European Central Bank.
- Óscar J. Arce, 2005. "Reflections on fiscalist divergent price-paths," Working Papers 0533, Banco de España.
- Michele Berardi, 2011. "On the stability properties of optimal interest rules under learning," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 155, Economics, The University of Manchester.
- Yoichiro Tamanyu, 2020. "The Role of Nonlinearity in Indeterminate Models: An Application to Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps," Keio-IES Discussion Paper Series 2020-023, Institute for Economics Studies, Keio University.
- Wenzelburger, Jan, 2006. "Learning in linear models with expectational leads," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(7-8), pages 854-884, November.