2008 Montana gubernatorial election
(Redirected from Montana gubernatorial election, 2008)
The 2008 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2008, to elect the governor and lieutenant governor of the U.S. state of Montana. Incumbent governor Brian Schweitzer, a Democrat who was elected to his first four-year term in 2004, was elected to a second term with 65.5% of the vote. Incumbent lieutenant governor John Bohlinger, a Republican who was once again Schweitzer's running mate, was reelected to a second term. The Republican nominee was Roy Brown, a member of the Montana Senate. Brown's running mate was businessman Steve Daines, a future U.S. Representative and a future U.S. Senator.
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| Turnout | 74.5% 3.1[1] | |||||||||||||||||||
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 County results Schweitzer: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% Brown: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic primary
editCandidates
edit- Brian Schweitzer, incumbent governor of Montana, 2000 U.S. Senate nominee and rancher
- John Bohlinger, incumbent lieutenant governor of Montana and former Republican member of the Montana House of Representatives and Montana Senate
- William Fischer, small businessman involved in the logging industry in Lakeside, Montana
- Steve White, small business owner in the telecommunications industry in Kalispell, Montana
- Don Pogreba, Shelby native, English and debate teacher at Helena High School
- Jason Neiffer, Great Falls native, history teacher at Capital High School
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Schweitzer (incumbent) | 159,820 | 91.30 | |
| Democratic | William Fischer | 9,865 | 5.64 | |
| Democratic | Donald Pogreba | 5,358 | 3.06 | |
| Total votes | 175,043 | 100.00 | ||
Republican primary
editCandidates
edit- Roy Brown, businessman, member of the Montana Senate and former Majority Leader of the Montana House of Representatives
- Steve Daines, businessman
- Larry H. Steele, 2007 candidate for Mayor of Great Falls and 2006 candidate for the Montana House of Representatives
- Harold Luce
Primary results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Roy Brown | 65,883 | 80.81 | |
| Republican | Larry Steele | 15,643 | 19.19 | |
| Total votes | 81,526 | 100.00 | ||
Libertarian primary
editCandidates
edit- Stan Jones, business consultant and United States Air Force veteran
- Michael Baker
General election
editPredictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[3] | Safe D | October 16, 2008 |
| Rothenberg Political Report[4] | Safe D | November 2, 2008 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[5] | Safe D | November 3, 2008 |
| Real Clear Politics[6] | Safe D | November 4, 2008 |
Polling
edit| Poll source | Dates administered | Brian Schweitzer (D) |
Roy Brown (R) |
Stan Jones (L) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling[7] | November 2, 2008 | 62% | 36% | – |
| Rasmussen Reports[8] | October 1, 2008 | 56% | 41% | – |
| The Mellman Group (D)[9] | September 16–18, 2008 | 63% | 24% | – |
| Rasmussen Reports[10] | July 29, 2008 | 56% | 32% | 3% |
| Rasmussen Reports[11] | June 30, 2008 | 61% | 32% | 3% |
| Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers[12] | May 19–21, 2008 | 55% | 30% | – |
| Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers[13] | December 17–19, 2007 | 55% | 30% | – |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Brian Schweitzer (incumbent) | 318,670 | 65.47% | +15.04% | |
| Republican | Roy Brown | 158,268 | 32.52% | −13.50% | |
| Libertarian | Stan Jones | 9,796 | 2.01% | +0.35% | |
| Total votes | 486,734 | 100.00% | N/A | ||
| Democratic hold | |||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
edit- Beaverhead (largest city: Dillon)
- Broadwater (largest city: Townsend)
- Custer (largest city: Miles City)
- Daniels (largest city: Scobey)
- Fallon (largest city: Baker)
- Fergus (largest city: Lewistown)
- Flathead (largest city: Kalispell)
- Golden Valley (largest city: Ryegate)
- Granite (largest city: Philipsburg)
- Jefferson (largest city: Clancy)
- Judith Basin (largest city: Stanford)
- Liberty (largest city: Chester)
- Lincoln (largest city: Libby)
- Madison (largest city: Ennis)
- McCone (largest city: Circle)
- Phillips (largest city: Malta)
- Pondera (largest city: Conrad)
- Powell (largest city: Deer Lodge)
- Prairie (largest city: Terry)
- Ravalli (largest city: Hamilton)
- Richland (largest city: Sidney)
- Rosebud (largest city: Colstrip)
- Dawson (Largest city: Glendive)
- Mineral (Largest city: Superior)
- Gallatin (largest city: Bozeman)
- Chouteau (largest municipality: Fort Benton)
- Sanders (largest city: Thompson Falls)
- Stillwater (largest city: Columbus)
- Teton (largest city: Choteau)
- Toole (largest city: Shelby)
- Wheatland (largest city: Harlowton)
- Wibaux (largest city: Wibaux)
References
edit- ^ "Montana Voter Turnout". Montana Secretary of State. Retrieved May 26, 2022.
- ^ a b "2008 Statewide Primary Canvass - June 3rd, 2008" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on May 8, 2013. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
- ^ "2008 Governor Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 4, 2021.
- ^ "2008 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved May 25, 2021.
- ^ "THE LAST LAST WORD The Crystal Ball's Final Projections for the 2008 Election". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved December 25, 2021.
- ^ "2008 Montana Governor Race". RealClearPolitics. November 4, 2008. Retrieved March 5, 2021.
- ^ Public Policy Polling
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ The Mellman Group (D)
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Rasmussen Reports
- ^ Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers
- ^ Mason Dixon/Lee Newspapers
- ^ "2008 Statewide General Canvass - November 4th, 2008" (PDF). Montana Secretary of State. Archived from the original (PDF) on March 4, 2016. Retrieved July 2, 2014.
External links
edit- Campaign contributions from Follow the Money
- Brown (R) vs Schweitzer (D-i) graph of collected poll results from Pollster.com
- Roy Brown for Governor
- Brian Schweitzer for Governor