Division of Moncrieff

Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.^[1]

 

The division was created in 1984 and is named after Gladys Moncrieff, an Australian singer who resided in the Gold Coast.

Moncrieff is based on Surfers Paradise and the central portion of the Gold Coast. While the Gold Coast has always been a rather conservative area, Surfers Paradise is considered particularly conservative even by Gold Coast standards. As a result, Moncrieff has been a comfortably safe Liberal seat for its entire existence. Indeed, most of the area has been represented by centre-right MPs without interruption since 1906; the Surfers Paradise area was part of Moreton before 1949, and then part of McPherson from 1949 to 1984. The Liberals have never won less than 59 percent of the two-party vote, and from 1993 until 2019 have won enough primary votes to retain the seat without the need for preferences.

It is currently the ninth-safest Coalition seat in Australia and the third-safest for either side of politics in Queensland, with a 17-point swing needed for Labor to win it.

Although Labor to date has never won Moncrieff, it did win the primary vote in 1984 and 1987. This was due to the Liberal and National parties fielding candidates against each other and therefore splitting the anti-Labor primary vote. On both those occasions, however, the Liberals retained the seat after Nstional preferences flowed overwhelmingly to them.

In 2022, sitting Liberal National MP Angie Bell was reelected with less than 50% of the primary vote, the first time that a non-Labor candidate has done so without the presence of a second major party non-Labor candidate.

This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Queensland § Moncrieff.[edit]

2022 Australian federal election: Moncrieff^[2]

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Liberal National	Angie Bell	45,104	45.94	−5.58
	Labor	Glen Palmer	20,430	20.81	−0.75
	Greens	April Broadbent	11,850	12.07	+2.39
	One Nation	Leeanne Schultz	6,981	7.11	+0.67
	United Australia	Diane Happ	5,482	5.58	+1.86
	Liberal Democrats	Diane Demetre	4,305	4.38	+2.42
	Animal Justice	Sonia Berry-Law	2,384	2.43	−1.43
	Informed Medical Options	Timothy Cudmore	997	1.02	+1.02
	Federation	James Tayler	645	0.66	+0.66
Total formal votes			98,178	94.22	+0.66
Informal votes			6,020	5.78	−0.66
Turnout			104,198	85.03	−3.17
Two-party-preferred result
	Liberal National	Angie Bell	60,080	61.19	−4.17
	Labor	Glen Palmer	38,098	38.81	+4.17
	Liberal National hold		Swing	−4.17

 

  National

• Division of Moncrieff (Qld) — Australian Electoral Commission

28°00′29″S 153°23′06″E / 28.008°S 153.385°E / -28.008; 153.385